The Giants and Cowboys usually trade wins during the season. The Cowboys already won the season opener. The way the season has been evolving for both teams though, NYG has to have a GIANT meltdown to lose this game.
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OK...NYG/DAL...the football gods took it into the last second, literally. Trying to channel a feel from them for tonight's SNF game.Comment -
NO @ DEN (1st half): NO +3.5, 2 UnitsComment -
DEN is a slow starting team. New Orleans plays just the opposite. There are two nationally televised games tonight. The NFL is competing with MLB. The football gods want the attention, which equals viewership which equals ratings. A close game between the Broncos and the Saints will do it.Comment -
NO @ DEN (2nd half): U 27, 4.5 UnitsComment -
SF/AZ
This game has all the looks of a blowout. I believe the 49ers are going to do to the Cardinals what they did to the New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills. 2nd Half pick good possibility depending on the line.Comment -
SF @ ARI (2nd Half): SF -1, 7 unitsComment -
Wow, line now at -2.5. Incredible!Comment -
My site went from -.5 to -1.5 to -3 in a matter of seconds. every time I tried to confirm a bet it canceled out. Only 1 unit on the -3. Figured that it will at least push, but still think it hits.Comment -
Seems like it's going up every minute. Now at -3.Comment -
SF @ ARI (2nd Half): SF -1, 7 units WComment -
Didn't do a Pixster Week 7 review. Here it is, followed by Week 8's results...
Week 7
SEA @ SF: SEA +8, 5 Units W
GB @ STL: U 46 (bought hook), 3.5 Units L
NYJ @ NE: U 48 (bought hook) 3 Units L
NO @ TB: TB +2 (bought hook) 2 units L
PIT/CIN (2nd Half): O 23, 4.5 units L
DET/CHI (1st Half): U 24 (bought hook) 7.5 Units W
DET/CHI (2nd Half): 0 20, 4.5 Units L
Week 7 Results
2 W - 5 L, Units: -5 UnitsComment -
Week 8
TB @ MIN (1st Half): TB +3.5, 5 Units W
SD @ CLE (1st Half): SD -1.5, 3 Units L
SEA @ DET (1st half): U 21.5, 1.5 Unit L
SEA @ DET (2nd Half): O 21 (bought hook), 1.5 Units P
WAS @ PIT (1st Half): WAS +3, 4 Units L
WAS @ PIT (2nd Half): PIT +0.5, 1.5 Units W
NYG @ DAL (1st Half): NYG -0.5, 1 Unit W
NYG @ DAL (Full Game) NYG -2.5, 5 Units W
NO @ DEN (1st half): NO +3.5, 2 Units L
NO @ DEN (2nd half): U 27, 4.5 Units W
SF @ ARI (1st half): Cards +4, 1.5 Units L
SF @ ARI (2nd Half): SF -1, 7 Units W
Pix Update for Week 8
6 W - 5 L - 1 P, Units: +12Comment -
Unit Amount
5 – 12.5 units: 12-3-0
0.5-4.5 units: 25-42 -2
Overall
37 - 45, +29.5 units
by Days of the Week
Thursday: 8-2
Monday: 8-7
Sunday: Everything ElseComment -
Just about at the halfway point, folks. My database tells me I should lay off the high-unit Sunday bets. 2 units or less on those for now on. Maybe the same for MNF. Killin' it on Thursday, though. See ya' in a few days.Comment -
KC @ SD (1st Half) SD -4.5, 3.5 UnitsComment -
Based on everything I've read, and seeing how things have materialized for these teams thus far, I'm thinking that the Chargers will come out with their namesake leading the way in this game.
KC is near the bottom in virtually every offensive scoring category; one of the worst on the road in the first half. As for SD, despite what happened to them last week, the Chargers still have a good first half scoring avg, even more so when playing the Chiefs the last few meetings in San Diego.
The Chargers have a lot at stake in this game, so a loss will hurt them more exponentially than a Chiefs' loss. Plus, its hard for me to believe that KC QB Cassel will of all sudden have a breakout game, which is what they'll miraculously need to supplement their one-man show named J. Charles.
That said, this is the NFL, and this is a game where the Chargers will be playing. So just about anything can happen. Still, I'll take my chances with the Bolts - at least up until halftime.Comment -
KC @ SD (1st Half) SD -4.5, 3.5 Units WComment -
On to Sunday's games...got my eye on the two marquee matchups:
DAL @ ATL
PIT @ NYG
As far as a lean goes, I've have a strong initial feel for each game. Gonna do some more research though, then check out the line movements before I lock in my picks. May even try a 2nd half pick if warranted. But gonna stick to my new rule: no more than 2 units per pick on Sundays.Comment -
DAL @ ATL: DAL +4, 2 UnitsComment -
PIT @ NYG: NYG -3, 2 Units
I'm going against the grain, fellas.Comment -
DAL @ ATL
Most everyone who follows the NFL astutely knows that when the Dallas Cowboys play, the game will more than likely hinge on one player - Tony Romo. We know that if Romo plays well all four quarters, the Cowboy's chances of winning are very good against any opponent. But what are Dallas' chances if Romo has a bad game? Their chances of winning obviously diminish, but not by much most of the time thanks to a top defense that keep them in the hunt.
On their home turf, the Falcons' have won by only a combined total of 12 points this season. Two of those games (against lowly Carolina & Oakland) were decided late in the fourth quarter. Needless to say, Dallas' stats are better then the Panthers and the Raiders, and even better than the Falcons on a certain level.
Will the Falcons at some point be distracted by their undefeated record, and suffer a loss? Will the Cowboys, hungry for a victory at any cost, be the ones to hand it to them? We'll shall wager and see.Comment -
PIT @ NYG
The Pittsburgh Steelers. Since when have they become a sure team to bet on when facing a good team? Hmmm...
Let's first take a look at who they have lost to: the Raiders and Titans. But surely, they've beaten some quality teams? Let's take a look at that: the Jets, Eagles, Bengals, and Redskins. Hmmm, again.
Now if the Black and Gold can rise above the remnants of Team Hurricane Sandy, let Mother Nature declare no equal.Comment -
For those who have been following this thread, you know that sometimes I like to go in at the 2nd half of some games. I'm going in this this one...Comment -
DAL @ ATL (2nd Half): U 23, 4.5 UnitsComment -
DAL @ ATL (2nd Half) DAL: +3, 2 UnitsComment -
PHI @ NO (1st half): O 26, 5 Units
PHI's 1st half scoring avg on the road is a dismal 3.3 pts. I think we can safely assume the Eagles will score more than that tonight as they'll be facing one of the worst defensive squads - the Saints. Since New Orleans already has scoring capabilities of their own, I believe its feasible that each team (taking PHI's current defensive struggles into account, too) should be able to score at least 13 pts by halftime.Comment -
WOW, the Eagles are pathetic. Couldn't even score squat on the Saint's D.Comment -
2nd Half Avg's
PHI (Road) 9.0 pts
NO (Home) 16.3
Since PHI is staying true to form (1st Half), odds are they'll continue this way in the 2nd half.
PHI @ NO (2nd Half): NO +1.5, 10 UnitsComment -
IND @ JAX (1st Half): U 21, 4.5 Units
IND @ JAX (Full game): IND -3, 2 Units
Excerpt from ESPN
"The Jaguars have lost eight of their past nine prime-time games...the Jaguars are 0-4 at home, having been outscored by a total of 92 points in those games…the teams (Colts/Jags) have played three common opponents. Against Minnesota, Green Bay and Chicago, the Colts are 3-0 and the Jaguars are 1-2."
But, Jacksonville has won its past three against Indianapolis. However, any team could have beaten the Manning-less Colts in 2011. In the most recent matchup between IND and JAX (September), the new-look Colts were leading with 45 seconds to go in the game before the Jaguars scored a touchdown.
Fast forward. Indy is rolling; JAX is rolling downhill. Without RB Jones-Drew, the 1-7 Jags are going to need something really out of the ordinary happen to stay competitive in this game.
2012 1st Half Stats
Jags home avg is 2.5 pts
Colts road avg is 7.7 ptsComment -
IND @ JAX (1st Half): U 21, 4.5 Units W
Colts have to be careful here. In their September matchup, IND was leading 14 - 3 at halftime but let JAX sneak up on them to win the game.
No 2nd Half pick. Go Colts!Comment -
IND @ JAX (1st Half): U 21, 4.5 Units W
IND @ JAX (Full game): IND -3, 2 Units W
Starting off Week 10 on a good note: 2 W - 0 L, +6.5 Units. Now, if only I can keep it going through the weekend. Anyway, still killin' it on TNF (10 - 2). Be back in a few days, fellas.Comment -
DEN @ CAR (1st half): CAR +3, 2 Units
DEN @ CAR (1st half) U 24 (bought hook), 2 Units
Known fact: DEN is a prolific scoring 2nd half team. They suck in quarters 1 & 2, ranking 26th in 1st half pts. So how does CAR fare? The Panthers rank 25th.
Defensively, both teams have squads that rank about the same, too, but much higher in efficiency. Quoting ESPN, "...the Broncos could have trouble against a Carolina defense that has allowed one passing touchdown or less in seven of eight games." The article goes on to say, "the Carolina receivers face a tough test against the Broncos' stingy secondary. Denver cornerbacks have allowed just 23 completions in 59 attempts on the season."
DEN is traveling east 2 time zones, which I'm betting (literally) may develop into another slow start for the team.Comment -
TEN @ MIA: O 44, 1 Unit
One big stat stands out here...Tennessee is allowing an NFL-worst 34.2 points per game. So, theoretically, all the Dolphins have to do is to match that average, and all the Titans have to do is score at least 10 freakin' points...which I think they can do given MIA's sub-par passing d. TEN QB Locker will get the start, and may provide a fresh boost to the offense. The Titans avg 17 pts a game, so the Dolphins will only have to score at least 27 for a chance at the Over. MIA's home pt avg is 24. But, when facing the Titans, most teams score above their avg.Comment -
NYJ @ SEA (1st Half): SEA -3.5, 1.5 units
In week 8, the Jets hosted the Miami Dolphins. In a game the Jets put a huge amount of importance on, they faltered big time scoring zero points in the first 30 minutes. Home field advantage - not. Now, NYJ is on the road at SEA. If Sanchez and Co. can't make it in New York, they can't make it anywhere, especially Seattle. Pardon the Sinatra jab.Comment