Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

[Dharmonize]

Downright brutal, sorry to see this happening to you, boys

[BetterBizness]

I"m moving on.. that's thats what the late game is for... recovery... Lets all have a drink and relax...

[DennisGreen]

Gentlemen, I hope you all realize I get "tilted"... and sometimes it works, sometimes it don't... but please.. don't be like me... play within your means... losing 2 dimes isn't fun no matter what...

Tough run lately man. The above paragraph describes me to a tee

Keep it at and you'll come out on top in the end.

[tension]

Go Bombers!

[BetterBizness]

Winnipeg @ BC -1.5 O/U 49.5
Winnipeg Past Results (Most Recent First)

Sask 11@BC 24 U49.5
BC 20@Win 25 U49.5
Win 33@Tor 24 – O49.5
Cal 21@Win 20 – U49.5
Tor 16@Win 22 – U49.5
Win 24@Ham 16 - U49.5

BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 16@Win 28 - U49.5
BC 20@ Win 25 – U49.5
Ham 39@BC 31 – O49.5
BC 17@Edm 33 – U49.5
Cal 34@BC 32 – O49.5
BC 26@Mon 30 – O49.5

Head to Head – 2010 (Tied 1-1)
(W14@BC) BC 16-14, (W15@Win) Win 47-35

So you’re telling me… a 5-1 team walks into a 1-5 Stadium and they are dogs, because why? Arland Bruce III, who apparently was a problem child in Hamilton, graces his presence to the West Coast… been with them for a week, and will magically work his way into the offense, and make Travis Lulay a star… Wow… This is the biggest trap ever or we are seriously f*d…

Think is though, we have Winnipeg that gives up just under 20 points a game, and BC that gives up almost 30… Yes, catching the ball will help, but I just don’t see the BC offense just turning in up because of a cast off (albeit very good) new receiver… Tell me what I’m missing??

Look at it this way, as inept as the Winnipeg offense is (152 points), they STILL outrank BC at 150…

I just don’t see the catch here… I really don’t…

5x Winnipeg +(Yes PLUS) 1.5
2x Under 49.5

Some days I wish I tilted at the right time...

Cash the 7, take away the 20...

Hope some of you cashed the night game....

[BetterBizness]

Tough run lately man. The above paragraph describes me to a tee

Keep it at and you'll come out on top in the end.

Tnx DG!

[Dharmonize]

Glad we cashed the Bombers! BB, no worries, losing two grand on one stupid meaningless game hurts like hell, but this is gambling after all, we simply can´t listen to reason and follow moneymanagement all the time I myself lost a similar sum in live betting on a soccer game two weeks ago. Took a break for a couple of days to calm down and then slowly made it back the following week. Which is exactly what we´re gonna do here next weekend! Till then, have a great week, everyone!

[memo99]

WOW Lions and Riders both 1-6

[BetterBizness]

Glad we cashed the Bombers! BB, no worries, losing two grand on one stupid meaningless game hurts like hell, but this is gambling after all, we simply can´t listen to reason and follow moneymanagement all the time I myself lost a similar sum in live betting on a soccer game two weeks ago. Took a break for a couple of days to calm down and then slowly made it back the following week. Which is exactly what we´re gonna do here next weekend! Till then, have a great week, everyone!

Ya.. funny though.. ok I'm not 'ok" with losing it, but I really thought that if THOSE 2 teams exceeded 25 points in BOTH halves.. Clearly It's just not a good night... Not to blame the zebras either, but didn't it feel like EVERY time there was a close play where the drive was about to end, THEY would find something to keep the drive alive and gain instant FG range...

[BetterBizness]

WOW Lions and Riders both 1-6

and both with a chance of making the playoffs... as does Toronto... first one with any sort of a run wins!

[JR007]

do not overlook nfl preseason

[tension]

Yea BB we will make it back, plenty of time left in the season. I just wish they would have a set schedule for games so I don't miss any.

NFL preseason has been great for me i'm 6-1 on my bets.

[memo99]

How is edm -6 vs BC when all 4 of their import receivers are injured who is Ray gonna pass to? They are way worse off than last week when they only had Stamps and Bowman out now Barnes(cracked ribs) and Henry(concussion) are out as well this could be an ugly game i think the under is definately worth a look Esks only have 6 points in their last 6 quarters

[DrSize]

BC might win this outright haha

[BetterBizness]

2 games this week boys... I can't get over the Bye in the CFL???

[BetterBizness]

Saskatchewan @ Toronto -3 O/U 54

Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Cal 45@Sask 35 - O54
Sask 11@BC 24 – U54
Cal 22@Sask 18 – U54
Sask 27@Mon 24 – U54
Sask 3@Ham 33 – U54
Mon 39@Sask 25 – O54
Edm 42@Sask 28 – O54

Toronto Past Results (Most Recent First)
Tor 32@Ham 37 - O54
Mon 36@Tor 23 – O54
Tor 25@Edm 26 – U54
Win 33@Tor 24 – O54
Tor 17@Mon 40 – O54
Tor 16@Win 22 – U54
Tor 23@Cal 21 – U54

Head to Head 2010 - Tied 1-1
(W14@Tor) Sask 27-16, (W15@Sask) Tor 24-19

Interesting to think that this game maybe pivotal to get a "stranglehold" on the playoffs, but at worst it definitely plays a huge role to this "1 fer" teams. Thing is Toronto has, in their overall gross record, actually played "not bad", losing really 1 big game to the Al's, but obviously competing in the other 3 vs Winnipeg, Hamilton, and Edmonton. Quite honestly, the fact that most of these games have been "overs", and not because they've been getting lit up, says alot about their offense. In fact, I recently looked at an article that says QB Lemon is avg'ing a 102 QB rating in his last 4 with just 1 int. They had 500+ yards last week in offense. I'm wondering how its possible to be 0-4?

Part of me want to buck this Over trend that the Argo's are showing, but it's hard to think that between the 67% completion ratio the Riders are allowing, and the Argo's allowing just a shade under 72%, that this won't be another shootout. Then again, last year, these same 2 teams a year removed scored just 43 points in each game.

I'm having problems, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary, believing Toronto is an "Over" team right now. I believe the public is driving this number high because of stats like the ones I just threw out within the scheme of terrible defense. At some point I believe a regression to the mean is likely, and as football coaches will do, they will adjust. The Riders don't want to get into a shootout, and I believe that this is the type of game that will be played with playoff like atmosphere, meaning field position, and longer drives.

I've been getting whooped with big plays lately, so I'm going to just go medium on this one on the under, with the Argo's getting the best of the 3 points they're given.

5x Tor/Sask Under 54
2x Tor -3

[Dharmonize]

I can´t force myself to put any money on the Argos... it´s either Sask or nothing for me in this one. And the total Byes have never treated me good... dunno dunno... GL anyway!

[Scully]

I like that total play myself BB but am thinking of buying a .5 and taking the visitors in this one. Bol.

[Scully]

Yea BB we will make it back, plenty of time left in the season. I just wish they would have a set schedule for games so I don't miss any.

NFL preseason has been great for me i'm 6-1 on my bets.

Tension have you made any plays yet for week 2 in the NFL?

[BetterBizness]

Hey is anyone here in Vancouver or Seattle and would like to go to the Game Saturday in what was once known as Qwest field... Free 2 tickets... PM me...

[Scully]

Getting a strong feeling that Greg Marshall won't be around much longer as the Saskatchewan head coach.

[Scully]

The Green Riders are a disgusting bunch at this time---seems like they have no interest whatsoever and I wouldn't be surprised one bit if Marshall gets the hook after this game. I mean they're horrible and Durant should be benched---period---I don't care who the backup is either. He certainly can't be any worse than this asshole!!!!

[Dharmonize]

Toronto and under looking good so far for ya, BB. Fook me for taking Sask ml and Sask team total over 25.5. I deserve what I´m getting Ridiculous, especially that over

[Dharmonize]

It´s hard to believe that this team was competing for the Grey Cup in two previous seasons. They certainly won´t get a sniff of it this year.

[BetterBizness]

Riders aren't to be trusted... Kicking problems aren't helping either...

[xraygord]

Nice picks tonight Biz.

[Dharmonize]

Nice hit, BB, congrats! I´m glad the Riders at least scored some, I also have them + 8 in a teaser with Indiana (wnba), so my bet is still alive

[bigsmitty]

Cheers on TOR BB.

[BetterBizness]

Saskatchewan @ Toronto -3 O/U 54

Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Cal 45@Sask 35 - O54
Sask 11@BC 24 – U54
Cal 22@Sask 18 – U54
Sask 27@Mon 24 – U54
Sask 3@Ham 33 – U54
Mon 39@Sask 25 – O54
Edm 42@Sask 28 – O54

Toronto Past Results (Most Recent First)
Tor 32@Ham 37 - O54
Mon 36@Tor 23 – O54
Tor 25@Edm 26 – U54
Win 33@Tor 24 – O54
Tor 17@Mon 40 – O54
Tor 16@Win 22 – U54
Tor 23@Cal 21 – U54

Head to Head 2010 - Tied 1-1
(W14@Tor) Sask 27-16, (W15@Sask) Tor 24-19

Interesting to think that this game maybe pivotal to get a "stranglehold" on the playoffs, but at worst it definitely plays a huge role to this "1 fer" teams. Thing is Toronto has, in their overall gross record, actually played "not bad", losing really 1 big game to the Al's, but obviously competing in the other 3 vs Winnipeg, Hamilton, and Edmonton. Quite honestly, the fact that most of these games have been "overs", and not because they've been getting lit up, says alot about their offense. In fact, I recently looked at an article that says QB Lemon is avg'ing a 102 QB rating in his last 4 with just 1 int. They had 500+ yards last week in offense. I'm wondering how its possible to be 0-4?

Part of me want to buck this Over trend that the Argo's are showing, but it's hard to think that between the 67% completion ratio the Riders are allowing, and the Argo's allowing just a shade under 72%, that this won't be another shootout. Then again, last year, these same 2 teams a year removed scored just 43 points in each game.

I'm having problems, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary, believing Toronto is an "Over" team right now. I believe the public is driving this number high because of stats like the ones I just threw out within the scheme of terrible defense. At some point I believe a regression to the mean is likely, and as football coaches will do, they will adjust. The Riders don't want to get into a shootout, and I believe that this is the type of game that will be played with playoff like atmosphere, meaning field position, and longer drives.

I've been getting whooped with big plays lately, so I'm going to just go medium on this one on the under, with the Argo's getting the best of the 3 points they're given.

5x Tor/Sask Under 54
2x Tor -3

how neat... something I wrote up actually kinda happened...

[BetterBizness]

If you didnt know the score and saw the stats Durant had 384 yards passing to Lemons 169, I'm pretty sure you'd think they won by 30...

[BetterBizness]

BC @ Edmonton -5.5 O/U 50.5

BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 16@Win 28 - U49.5
BC 20@ Win 25 – U49.5
Ham 39@BC 31 – O49.5
BC 17@Edm 33 – U49.5
Cal 34@BC 32 – O49.5
BC 26@Mon 30 – O49.5

Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 16@Win 28 – U54.5
Tor 25@Edm 26 – U54.5
Edm 24@Cal 19 – U54.5
BC 17@Edm 33 – U54.5
Ham 10@Edm 28 – U54.5
Edm 42@Sask 28 – O54.5

Head to Head 2011 Edm1-0
(W3@Edm) - Edm 33-17

Head to Head 2010 Edm 2-1
Edmonton 2-1, (W1@Edm) BC 25-10, (W5@Edm) Edm 28-25, (W16@BC) Edm 31-28

“We're going to have to refine our [offensive] package so that our guys are comfortable and the coaches are comfortable,” head coach Kavis Reed assessed. “We're not going to have our full playbook available to us this week. Sometimes that's good. When you become myopic in your play calling, you tend to be a lot more efficient.”

This pretty much sells me on betting the under here. The Eskimos are beat up in every position, and the Lions just can't beat anyone up but themselves. I'm not going to go to huge on this one, but it's pretty telling when the coach is saying he's going to keep things simple and not use the entire playbook they spent the entire off season making. Clearly the big deal here is if the Lions offense can get going with their big play threats in WR Simon and WR Bruce III, but I'm thinking that Coach Reed is going to make some defensive adjustments here that will turn this game into a freekin' snails pace that looked like the first 3 quarters of the Toronto game last night...

I'm really not going to bet the side here because I'm an Esks fan, but moreso, I'm also a fan of, when I'm in my sane and rational mind, not betting a 1-6 team on the road to "turn it around" ... I'm hoping for the Esks, but I wouldn't touch the 5.5 with a 10 foot pole.

5 Units BC/Edm Under
Leaving the side alone

[bigsmitty]

I hear you BB with the concerns on BC and I've certainly ripped on them this year. Probably a sensible call laying off the side if you're an EDM fan. BC with the points is my play-I don't do totals but I agree with everything you explained. Good luck.

[Scully]

Bol with the under play tonight BB.

[(Reyes)]

Come on boys!

[memo99]

16-13 Eskimos in one ugly game