I really believe the 2H slows down... then again... Glad I didn't bet the first half ...
3x Under 26.5 Mon/Tor
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#457
wow did we get hosed on the under with just seconds left... then again, with nothing on the line, they could have totally screwed us going for two and hitting.. so maybe we just let it be and take the 6 units...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#458
Watching this show.. "Extra Yard: Inside the Argos"... Man they can make ANYONE look good... with that said, it is produced well... and this episode was about Week 1 where the Argo's won in Calgary... This show wasn't so much reminding me that the Argo's are much of anything, but really, how BAD Calgary is... I think this may have just inspired a couple of more "xx's" unto Hamilton....
Comment
Dharmonize
SBR MVP
10-10-10
1991
#459
Let´s cash Montreal, sometimes it´s as easy as it gets Too bad the under didn´t come through. Nice profit anyway, looking forward to tomorrow! G´night, everyone!
Comment
TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#460
There are always breaks in ever game, Betterbiz. You got unlucky for the whole game total, but got lucky on the half-time total because of an goal-line turnover by the Alouettes in the second half.
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#461
Originally posted by TwoWays
There are always breaks in ever game, Betterbiz. You got unlucky for the whole game total, but got lucky on the half-time total because of an goal-line turnover by the Alouettes in the second half.
Exactly... and in the end Barker decides he wants to go for 2 and hits, and I lose it all... so as much as I like to complain, in the end I'm happy with the result despite being so close to getting all of it... I'm glad I didn't get NONE of it...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#462
I'm thining that as a pretty much straight up call, and Coach Reed back where he started... Good possibility that last wee kwas the "breather" game from the Esks, and they STILL won... not convinced yet, but I think this maybe a good spot here with good value in picking a SU winner...
Comment
memo99
SBR MVP
01-08-10
2368
#463
Esks win a TD
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#464
Initial thought: leaning on Bombers.
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#465
Originally posted by memo99
Esks win a TD
i know you're going to the game tonight Memo, are you a bombers fan?
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#466
Edmonton -1 @ Winnipeg O/U 50
Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Tor 25@Edm 26 - O50
Edm 24@Cal 19 – U50
BC 17@Edm 33 – O50
Ham 10@Edm 28 – U50
Edm 42@Sask 28 – O50
Winnipeg Past Results (Most Recent First)
BC 20@Win 25 U50
Win 33@Tor 24 – O50
Cal 21@Win 20 – U50
Tor 16@Win 22 – U50
Win 24@Ham 16 - U50
Head to Head 2010 1-1
(W4@Win) Win 47-21, (W18@Edm) Edm 16-13
Who would have thought 6 weeks in that Edmonton @ Winnipeg was going to be a battle of 5-0 vs 4-1? Well I’ve been thinking about this one all week… Pretty clear that Big Offense Vs Big Defense is the marketing matchup in this game. That’s for TSN to sell viewers… What I really think this game will be however, is can the Eskimo Defense stop the Winnipeg Offense? To me that is the intangible… Lets say the Esks are held to … 24 points... Then what? Can the Winnipeg Offense score 27? Needless to say, I’m leaning under in this game, but I’m also saying that Coach Reed, a defensive Specialist once Coaching the Winnipeg Defense, is going to bring the gameplan to make this game a game of field position.
Notice I say, Coach Reed is going to dictate the gameplan. I firmly believe, and with bias, that the Eskimos are going to dictate how this game is to be played. I believe QB Ray is going to do what he does best and follow the aggressive play calling of O Coordinator Crandell.
I see the Esks going to go 6-0 for the first time in 50 years. I say that the big factor here is that the Esks had their “rest” last week, and STILL came out ahead. Of course, this is personal bias in the way of what some may consider lack of common sense. But Winnipeg hasn’t had this type of pressure to perform, since what, the 80’s? Edmonton is back in the spotlight where they like to be, and I believe this pickem is essentially a gift from the oddsmakers. Lets see if I’m right.
BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
BC 20@ Win 25 U53.5
Ham 39@BC 31 – O53.5
BC 17@Edm 33 - U53.5
Cal 34@BC 32 – O53.5
BC 26@Mon 30 – O53.5
Head to Head 2010 – Saskatchewan 3-1 (Includes Playoff)
(W2@BC) Sask 27-18, (W7@Sask) Sask 37-17, (W18@BC) BC 23-17, (West Semi-Final@Sask) Sask 41-38
How long can I stay off the BC train? As long as it takes!!!
How can a team that hasn’t won a game, and was 1-3 vs their opponent last year be OVER a 3 point favorite. It feels like the oddsmakers are “Chasing” that the Lions will win.. EVENTUALLY… but really… what are the indicators? They played a couple of good teams tough for a while?
IF that was the case, so did the Riders, losing last week to Calgary, and BEATING the Al’s 2 weeks ago… really, the Riders are 1-4, but similar to the Lions, shouldn’t be. So should we dub this the “we shouldn’t be here bowl?”
Big thing I see with the Riders are that their Defense is actually IMPROVING, despite not getting the results. I thought last week Calgary was ready to explode, but just couldn’t. The week before they play a great game against the Als… In the Meanwhile BC is just rolling downhill, without anything to grab on to. I believe the Riders getting a field goal in this game is a huge advantage, and it literally may come down to the last kick. I Still don’t see BC getting it together, and after 5 games, LOOK like a defeated team.
The bottom line is that there is NO WAY I’m giving an 0-5 team, that LOOKS like an 0-5 team, -3.5 ..
4x Riders +3.5
1x BC/Sask Under 53.5
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#468
Small Parlay
1x Edm -1 + Sask +3.5
Comment
DrSize
SBR MVP
10-22-10
1027
#469
Love the write ups BB. I was never gifted in english and writing so I avoid it at all costs. I only post my plays here for discussion...not trying to highjack your thread by any means
I'm rolling with Winny +1 and U50(SI) and Sask +3.5 and O53(5 Dimes)
Comment
DrSize
SBR MVP
10-22-10
1027
#470
I have found for totals that line movement or lack there of has been hitting pretty constantly with who the books/money are siding with.
55% of bets on Over in Edm/Winny and Pinny and 5 Dimes have moved the line to 49 1/2 from 50
In the late game 75% on the Under and line has stayed at 53.5 pretty much across the board with the exception of 5 Dimes dropping it to 53.
Just some food for thought. Sides this strategy hasn't been hitting as high. For example over 60% was on Montreal and the line moved from -5 to -4 and we all know what happened there...luckily I didn't over think it and was on Mtl big.
Tonight the Winny/Edm is pretty split with no line movement
69% on BC and movement from -3 to -3.5 pretty much across the board
Comment
Dharmonize
SBR MVP
10-10-10
1991
#471
Thanx for the write-ups, BB. Great job again! I´m passing on the first game, but really like Sask ML tonight. GL all!
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#472
Originally posted by DrSize
Love the write ups BB. I was never gifted in english and writing so I avoid it at all costs. I only post my plays here for discussion...not trying to highjack your thread by any means
I'm rolling with Winny +1 and U50(SI) and Sask +3.5 and O53(5 Dimes)
Your plays are great Doc... but thanks for the compliment....
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#473
Originally posted by DrSize
I have found for totals that line movement or lack there of has been hitting pretty constantly with who the books/money are siding with.
55% of bets on Over in Edm/Winny and Pinny and 5 Dimes have moved the line to 49 1/2 from 50
In the late game 75% on the Under and line has stayed at 53.5 pretty much across the board with the exception of 5 Dimes dropping it to 53.
Just some food for thought. Sides this strategy hasn't been hitting as high. For example over 60% was on Montreal and the line moved from -5 to -4 and we all know what happened there...luckily I didn't over think it and was on Mtl big.
Tonight the Winny/Edm is pretty split with no line movement
69% on BC and movement from -3 to -3.5 pretty much across the board
Great comments on the movement....
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#474
Originally posted by Dharmonize
Thanx for the write-ups, BB. Great job again! I´m passing on the first game, but really like Sask ML tonight. GL all!
I know Dharm... that's probably the right play... Great discipline...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#475
Going to pass on the 2H in this game... Although the early steam is all on Winnipeg and Under.. Ugh! Was actually hoping Pierce wouldn't score his FOURTY EIGHT yard run and try and middle the second half...never mind...
Comment
DrSize
SBR MVP
10-22-10
1027
#476
Let's hope this game slows down so we can cash the under. Gonna be close
Comment
tension
SBR High Roller
08-11-10
192
#477
I had to go to work today so I didnt catch your plays BB
I did manage to make a couple plays just from my gut and both were total opposite to yours, I hate when I'm on the other end. I think for Esks to cover now it has to go over
Comment
Dharmonize
SBR MVP
10-10-10
1991
#478
Esks falling apart. You gotta hope for them to have a great 4th q!
Comment
TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#479
Eskimo coach should have challenged that catch in the third quarter by the Bomber receiver. The ball hit the ground.
Comment
DrSize
SBR MVP
10-22-10
1027
#480
That was a sweat but under comes through for us. Now let's go Sask
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#481
Well that sucks as a fan of the Eskimos and a fan of a man who bet them and going up 10-0...
Alas... Sure hoping the Riders show up...
Comment
Sniperpicks
SBR MVP
01-14-11
4717
#482
I took BC on 1st half -2
just playing the home team for some late fun
wishing BRUCE was playing but he is not active from what i read
Comment
Dharmonize
SBR MVP
10-10-10
1991
#483
And Sask not looking good either... I´m off to bed...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#484
Looks like BC is a lock... sorry boys tough night...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#485
Originally posted by Sniperpicks
I took BC on 1st half -2
just playing the home team for some late fun
wishing BRUCE was playing but he is not active from what i read
Dancing Fn
Comment
Sniperpicks
SBR MVP
01-14-11
4717
#486
took a 2h over 26 , small play , way less than what i just cashed
Comment
Dharmonize
SBR MVP
10-10-10
1991
#487
Oh, terrible night yesterday! I avoided the first game only to lose 2 u on the second, as I took both Sask ml and the spread. Looks like when you´re destined to lose, nothing can stop that. Need a little comeback today. I´d personally go huge on Galgary, but I´m afraid that BB´s love for the Cats is gonna continue
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#488
Tough pair of games last night fellows but I'm quite sure you'll bounce back in fine fashion very quickly. Was planning on playing the Bombers last night but unfortunately went for a nap and woke up midway through the third quarter. As the saying goes, "you snooze, you lose" I suppose. Simply couldn't get a handle on the late game at all.
With that being said, as I was watching Saskatchewan play the Lions I came to the conclusion Greg Marshall and his club aren't as good as many believe them to be in this league. BC on the other hand, even though their record is now identical to that of the Riders at 1-5, has lost four of its' five games by margins of 4, 2, 8 and 5 points. That's four losses by a combined total of only 19 points. In essence with any luck and some unnessesary errors at critical junctures in those games as I recall, the Lions could very well be sitting at .500 a third of the way into the season at this point.
Comment
Dharmonize
SBR MVP
10-10-10
1991
#489
I must leave, have an important meeting in down-town. I can´t cap this game for the life of me, wanted to pull the trigger on the Stamps, but everything in me was screaming that Hamilton is the right play... so I really don´t know. I like over 50.5 concerning the total, but the only reason for it is that both games yesterday went under. Really "sharp" angle Therefore, as much as I hate to do so, I am forced to pass on this game, as I can´t wait for BB´s write-up, which I consider more than essential before putting a penny on this game. GL whatever you take tonight, gents!
Comment
memo99
SBR MVP
01-08-10
2368
#490
man did my Esks blow it in the 2nd half Reed won't be very happy but he made one of the biggest mistakes of the game by not throwing that challenge flag in the 3Q on that 30 yard Bomber catch that should have been a non catch