2010 NFL System - JM and Modified

[pollito]

Hi guys:
Anyone knows if according to the system rules there are any official plays this week?

Thanks in advance

[cleonhr]

"

[hagball52]

Thx bud, and hey are all ATS i guess?

Cent Mich and FAU are getting points but Tex A&M and Virg are heavily favored. It would be impossible to play the favs on the moneyline if anything I might put the 2 favs together and then tease them down but you increase risk by playing the 2 teamer. To each his own. GL

[bauerranch]

Thanks and BOL

[knugen]

So the picks for tomorrow are, Green bay and Chicago, both on ML , is that right?

[GGPLAYER]

Good catch. A bets: C. Mich, Vir, Fla Atl and Texas A&M. Bet them all!

Mutha f**kers. 28 pts they gave up in the 4th Quarter! I'm 5-2 on the day now thanks to Mich St putting up 21 in the 4th of their game. Unreal beats so far. Let's go C. Mich!

[dukipl]

what is the play fellas?

[hitman2010]

Washington and washington ml.

[bauerranch]

How many threads do we have going here?

[knugen]

Any1 here?
Is it ML bet on Packers and Chicago tonight?

[Seth]

There are no system bets in NFL, for invincible or ultimate. If no one is answering you here in the thread, do this. Go to vegasinsider and look at teams past performances against the spread, this way you can verify if the team qualifies for a play this week. No team qualifies for a play this week.

[knugen]

People talked esrlier in the thread about bet on packers and bears, under the modified system?

[Mashaka]

system record: 1-0

system week 7 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

none

system week 8 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Cincinnati
Dallas
Buffalo
Cleveland
San Diego
Denver

mod system record: 1-0

mod system week 7 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Green Bay

mod system week 8 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Baltimore

LWL .500 system (3-0, 1 series pending with Green Bay)

week 7 plays:

Green Bay -- B bet
Chicago Bears

Are those bets on the ML or spread?

[knugen]

Always favs on ML

[knugen]

What haopened to on3?

[on3]

What haopened to on3?

Right here fellas. All of the quesyions asked regarding the plays can be answered by reading the thread. I don't babysit the thread. I update once or twice a week and that's it.

The Chicago play was a single play, based on a trend, not a chase. The only other play is Green Bay tonight for 1 unit. Play it on the ML or the 2.5. The system says play it on the ML.

[dukipl]

GL all with Green Bay [a bet]

[DustyDiamond]

Best of luck everyone today. This has been a crazy season so far

[on3]

Good win today fellas with GB. I'll be back with a full update, but it looks like next week will have at least three plays.

[jphil]

mod. sys: 2-0

LWL sys: 4-2

JM sys: stagnant @ 1-0


hell of a gnb gm.!

[on3]

system record: 1-0

system week 8 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Cincinnati
San Diego
Denver
Dallas (pending)

system week 9 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Jacksonville

mod system record: 2-0

mod system week 8 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

none

mod system week 9 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Chicago (definite play)
New Orleans
Philadelphia

LWL .500 system

New Orleans

[jphil]

system record: 1-0

system week 8 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Cincinnati
San Diego
Denver
Dallas (pending)

system week 9 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

Jacksonville

mod system record: 2-0

mod system week 8 plays (.500 or better record, lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

none

mod system week 9 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Chicago (definite play)
New Orleans
Philadelphia

LWL .500 system

New Orleans

on3: with your test system, are you strictly playing only LWL in that order, to qualify for a play? or are ya using LLW & WLL(mod.) also? couldn't quite grasp what ya meant on a couple of your posts.
And once a team has won, do ya start the cycle all over again before qualifying for the next play? you also stated you were playing them as single (not chase) games, is that right?

sorry, guess my deciphering skills are lacking sometimes thanx.

[dukipl]

28-24 Green Bay baby

[on3]

on3: with your test system, are you strictly playing only LWL in that order, to qualify for a play? or are ya using LLW & WLL(mod.) also? couldn't quite grasp what ya meant on a couple of your posts.
And once a team has won, do ya start the cycle all over again before qualifying for the next play? you also stated you were playing them as single (not chase) games, is that right?

sorry, guess my deciphering skills are lacking sometimes thanx.

With the LWL or WWL or LLW, whatever you want to call it, all I am doing is trying to find a trend that leads to a profitable wager. I took the theory I based my modified system on, "good teams who lose a few games are more likely to win/cover than bad teams", and applied it to teams that didnt necessarily lose 2 in a row but lose 2 out of 3 and still had a .500 record or better.

In doing so, I found that most good teams win on the first leg (A bet, if you will), and it has a 60%+ win margin for straight bets. So I am just trying to make single plays to add a little more money in our pockets in addition to the system plays.

And no, once a team wins, the cycle does not start over again. Because lets say they go LWL then a W and then LL, chances are they wont be .500 or better losing 4 out of 6.

Hope that helps.

[on3]

Labby line clarification:

We have three plays next week (maybe 4), the chances of all 3 (or 4) teams winning is slim. So we will get to see the labby line in action for the first time where we divide our losses and carry them forward.

As always, you play the first and last number of your line to find the amount of your wager.

I will be playing to win $100 per game. So, assuming 3 games, my line will look like:

50-50-50-50-50-50
50-50-50-50
50-50-50-50

If one team wins and two teams lose (+100, - 220), my labby line will look like:

x-50-50-50-50-x-55-55
50-50-50-50-55-55
50-50-50-50

If two teams win and one team loses (+200, -110):

x-x-50-50-x-x-55
50-50-50-50-55
50-50-50-50

Sometimes you will end up with an odd number of plays in your line (like 3 or 5), in which I would re-shuffle my lines to make it easier. I will go over that once the situation arises.

[Hawk007]

This thread is OC

[hitman2010]

good luck to9 G3.

[imotiv8]

thanks

[palmer2712]

This week. NO NFL bets.

NCAA - A bets = Virginia, Florida, Memphis, Flr Atl., N. Texas, Texas A&M

Last Week, had 3 bets. E Mich B bet, and Boston College, Bowling Green A Bets. All 3 WON. No B or C pending anywhere.

GOod Luck all. See you next week when I log into. Twitter is better for gambling and quicker with the phones Peace

2 and 1 in College this week. Hit Texas A&M and Virginia on Spread, Lost Flr Atl. Flr Atl goes to B Bet. A bets = Florida, memphis, N.Texas. maybe more to come soon

NFL - Broncos, Bengals, Chargers all A bets this coming week.

Note: If Favorite you play ML, but I dont, i just play the lines. Espeically since those 2 college teams were highly Favs. GL> peace

[imotiv8]

Wasnt Central Mich a loss?

[hunter8720]

some people need to read the thread title. NFL, take all that college talk and start a new thread

[imotiv8]

some people need to read the thread title. NFL, take all that college talk and start a new thread

ok, here it is. I'll need everyones help who is interested in this college system to help post plays

http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-football-handicapping/750059-jm-like-college-system.html#post7069735

[jphil]

With the LWL or WWL or LLW, whatever you want to call it, all I am doing is trying to find a trend that leads to a profitable wager. I took the theory I based my modified system on, "good teams who lose a few games are more likely to win/cover than bad teams", and applied it to teams that didnt necessarily lose 2 in a row but lose 2 out of 3 and still had a .500 record or better.

In doing so, I found that most good teams win on the first leg (A bet, if you will), and it has a 60%+ win margin for straight bets. So I am just trying to make single plays to add a little more money in our pockets in addition to the system plays.

And no, once a team wins, the cycle does not start over again. Because lets say they go LWL then a W and then LL, chances are they wont be .500 or better losing 4 out of 6.

Hope that helps.

thanx. Yeh, gotta remember that .500 record at all times. So then the LWL sys. record that ya have listed w/ the other 2 systems in your updates are for your LWL category plays only? or any 2 losses out of 3? Just wondering for tracking purposes if they're 2 separate entities or not (w/ no chasing involved either way).

It seems that if ya were playing teams w/ ANY 2 losses out of 3, that gnb would be a play again next week w/a LLW record & .571% goin into the gm. And also the bears w/ a WLL & .571% would also qualify, (along w/ the mod. sys.) in 2 wks.

great job!

[knugen]

Labby line clarification:

We have three plays next week (maybe 4), the chances of all 3 (or 4) teams winning is slim. So we will get to see the labby line in action for the first time where we divide our losses and carry them forward.

As always, you play the first and last number of your line to find the amount of your wager.

I will be playing to win $100 per game. So, assuming 3 games, my line will look like:

50-50-50-50-50-50
50-50-50-50
50-50-50-50

If one team wins and two teams lose (+100, - 220), my labby line will look like:

x-50-50-50-50-x-55-55
50-50-50-50-55-55
50-50-50-50

If two teams win and one team loses (+200, -110):

x-x-50-50-x-x-55
50-50-50-50-55
50-50-50-50

Sometimes you will end up with an odd number of plays in your line (like 3 or 5), in which I would re-shuffle my lines to make it easier. I will go over that once the situation arises.

Stupid question maybe, but id your lines 3 different lines, and uf it is 3 different, why? Or is it only one wery long?

[teecee]

jm system says to play on a team that has lost 3 su and ats? well, shi'ite!! i've been playing on teams that have simply lost 3 ats. durrr!