2010 NFL System - JM and Modified

balazsk · 09-30-10, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by on3

Yes, buy to +14.5

I don't understand, different books offer different spread... how can I decide which is good and how many points I should buy? Does JM suggest something in his pick's mail?

B

scratbandit · 09-30-10, 02:41 PM

the college system works well. kansas was the only loser last year...

chilidog · 09-30-10, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by scratbandit

the college system works well. kansas was the only loser last year...

there were 3 losses last year, and all at the final weeks of the system; i ran the thread last year.

dwang0725 · 09-30-10, 03:03 PM

Originally posted by on3

here we go boys, we finally have a play for week 4!

modified system record: 0-0

system week 4 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

Carolina

system week 5 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

NY Giants
Jacksonville

mod system week 5 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

New Orleans
Tampa Bay
Houston
Chicago (pending)
Green Bay (pending)

on3,
Gotta question for you. I was looking at the schedule for Carolina and for week 6 they have a bye that week. Say for instance this play goes to the thrid tier (game 3), ie. Carolina loses the next 2 games ATS. Does the week 6 bye week (third game of the play) change anything? How is the bye factored into the play? Thanks.

on3 · 09-30-10, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by dwang0725

on3,
Gotta question for you. I was looking at the schedule for Carolina and for week 6 they have a bye that week. Say for instance this play goes to the thrid tier (game 3), ie. Carolina loses the next 2 games ATS. Does the week 6 bye week (third game of the play) change anything? How is the bye factored into the play? Thanks.

You play the team for 3 games, not 3 week. Bye in week 6? Then play in week 7.

dwang0725 · 09-30-10, 03:51 PM

Originally posted by on3

You play the team for 3 games, not 3 week. Bye in week 6? Then play in week 7.

Great, thanks for the reply.

jcygts6 · 09-30-10, 11:40 PM

Originally posted by chilidog

there were 3 losses last year, and all at the final weeks of the system; i ran the thread last year.

Hey Chili, do you still have your thread from last year that I can look at?

If not what was the final record for the NCAAF system implementing this method?

knugen · 10-01-10, 04:07 AM

On3 do u gonna list all he's NCAAF plays also? Georgia ths week u Said, only Georgia not
Georgia tech?

dukipl · 10-01-10, 05:11 AM

Originally posted by balazsk

I don't understand, different books offer different spread... how can I decide which is good and how many points I should buy? Does JM suggest something in his pick's mail?

B

You should look at the OPENER http://odds.sbrforum.com/#/odds/nfl/...intspread.html . Different books offer different point spreads. I am always looking for the highest, so in these case when I saw that sportbet had them +15, I bought 2 points @bet365 to be more sure of the play. Everybody has its own system of the plays. GL

clbonham2 · 10-01-10, 05:52 AM

Any parlay plays in mind?

on3 · 10-01-10, 11:17 AM

So one thing I noticed in last years system was that every week had a play after week 4. This means either the A bet lost and we placed a B bet, or teams that were potential plays the week before lost 1 more SU and ATS and became eligible. Basically, what I am trying to say is that one of the potential week 5 teams listed previously (giants, jags, packers, saints, texans) will lose this wknd. If we eliminate double digit favs, we get giants, jags, and texans.

If we can use the system to generate good single game plays then its just more $$$ for us.

I am going to fade this three teams this wknd and see what happens. I will play the colts, raiders, and bears for .25 units. This is a trial run, and is not a system play, simply an assisted play.

Thoughts?

SuperCoolBeez · 10-01-10, 03:27 PM

Is it possible to start a NCAA thread in that section to maybe make it easier? Also, what was the line used on the BYU game? Just trying to decided if I should play or not

million2one · 10-01-10, 03:39 PM

Math Man's Stat Picks NFL Season 2010

good luck

on3 · 10-01-10, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by SuperCoolBeez

Is it possible to start a NCAA thread in that section to maybe make it easier? Also, what was the line used on the BYU game? Just trying to decided if I should play or not

I played it at -2.5.

jcygts6 · 10-01-10, 09:08 PM

according to my search, Buffalo and Duke are also NCAAF system plays for tomarrow since both teams lost 3 SU and ATS in a row.

Please confirm this for me someone?

jcygts6 · 10-02-10, 02:12 AM

duke and new mexico should also be plays for ncaaf

knugen · 10-02-10, 08:37 AM

Ok, anyone herr that know 100% which the NCAAF picks are?!

knugen · 10-02-10, 09:25 AM

If dike and new Mexico are plays, how Will you do, i mean they start at the same time...?

million2one · 10-02-10, 11:34 AM

What do you think about 49ers tomorrow?
They are 0 - 3 or 1 -2 to the spread depending on what number you use.

jcygts6 · 10-02-10, 02:25 PM

well what I did was check covers for each team and saw which ones lost 3 SU + 3 ATS in a row. If they did, they should be a play

alexy · 10-02-10, 06:48 PM

Congrats on 3

I THINK BETTORS HAVE TO FIND NEW WAYS IN GETTING MORE PROFITS AND NOT ONLY PUT UP WITH FEW UNITS (DOLLARS) AT THE END OF THE SEASON. GL ON3

Originally posted by on3

So one thing I noticed in last years system was that every week had a play after week 4. This means either the A bet lost and we placed a B bet, or teams that were potential plays the week before lost 1 more SU and ATS and became eligible. Basically, what I am trying to say is that one of the potential week 5 teams listed previously (giants, jags, packers, saints, texans) will lose this wknd. If we eliminate double digit favs, we get giants, jags, and texans.

If we can use the system to generate good single game plays then its just more $$$ for us.

I am going to fade this three teams this wknd and see what happens. I will play the colts, raiders, and bears for .25 units. This is a trial run, and is not a system play, simply an assisted play.

Thoughts?

hitman2010 · 10-02-10, 10:31 PM

Originally posted by million2one

What do you think about 49ers tomorrow?
They are 0 - 3 or 1 -2 to the spread depending on what number you use.

new OC may spark the O line.

on3 · 10-03-10, 01:28 PM

So far so good. Hopefully we get a good 2nd half and we get the cover.

knugen · 10-03-10, 01:39 PM

**** ASS, i totally forgot about the Carolina game...

But good lucv to u WHO played it

smcc716 · 10-03-10, 02:00 PM

on3...Are you playing the NCAA games as well, and if so, can you post a link on where I can obtain them? Thanks, and good luck the rest of the day!!

on3 · 10-03-10, 03:04 PM

great win fellas. i'll be back with an update later.

dukipl · 10-03-10, 03:56 PM

Win on [a bet]

bobby boucher · 10-03-10, 05:53 PM

winner winner chicken dinner. thanks on3 great to have a winning A bet

windguy · 10-03-10, 08:28 PM

it's worked.. thanks. I wait your update for the next week..

SECOND SHIFT · 10-03-10, 11:05 PM

I could be mistaken; I don't see a play for week 5 in either system. This is the first time I've seen this method. I used covers and espn to review the streaks.I did play Carolina today. Thank you on3 for sharing.
Your friend,
Lou

hitman2010 · 10-03-10, 11:25 PM

Originally posted by on3

great win fellas. i'll be back with an update later.

on3 · 10-04-10, 10:57 AM

system record: 1-0

system week 5 plays (lost 3 SU and 3 ATS):

None

system week 6 potential plays (lost 2 SU and 2 ATS):

None

mod system week 6 potential plays (.500 or better record, lost 1 SU and 1 ATS):

Tampa Bay
Chicago

No plays next week, hopefully we get a couple plays in for Week 6. Good win with Carolina, let's see what else this system can do.

bobby boucher · 10-04-10, 12:40 PM

on3 do you get jm's plays and filter them then post them here or are these your plays.

hagball52 · 10-04-10, 12:55 PM

Has anyone heard of James Jones reverse line movement system? He's been trying to sell it to me, claims it's undefeated. It's in college football.

imotiv8 · 10-04-10, 04:02 PM

Are there any B bets for college football this week?