2010 NFL System - JM and Modified

[knugen]

B bet NeXT week on Green bay?

[knugen]

How can that be, there were no A bet on them yesterday?

[dukipl]

Congrats on the nice win
PS. Why [b bet] on3?

[cmdyrds]

How can that be, there were no A bet on them yesterday?

read back a few posts it will make sense.

[on3]

How can that be, there were no A bet on them yesterday?

I have 3 systems going right now. 2 official (JM and Mod) and one in the test phase (LWL .500). Green Bay is a B bet in the test system (LWL .500). A bet on the official (Mod)

[CatPulp]

[FONT=verdana]i started combing through some numbers for last year. i found that teams who were .500 and better and who lost 2 out of 3 games in a L-W-L fashion (which elimates them from my mod system) went 7-1 in 2009 on a 3 game chase, with 5 games winning on the A game the winners were: balt, minn, nyj, nyg, packers, pats, chargers the loss was the jacksonville jaguars (they lost 4 in a row SU and ATS to end the season) teams who fit this criteria for next week are the Green Bay Packers and the Houston Texans. what do you guys think of this? does the theory sound good? is a +.500 team who loses 2 out of 3 any different than that same team losing two in a row?

On3, quick question, with the LWL pattern; is a loss considered a loss only when the team loses ATS and Straight Up?

[Kev the Brit]

bobby boucher:

what happens when you have miami +3 and it ends 20-20 then ot??

When you make the bet, you buy .5 point to take your spread bet to +3.5.

[dukipl]

Correct

[bobby boucher]

appreciated

[on3]

On3, quick question, with the LWL pattern; is a loss considered a loss only when the team loses ATS and Straight Up?

Yes, a loss is counted if it is SU and ATS.

[on3]

What's up fellas. I've been thinking about this LWL system, and I think the real value of it is not chasing, but to play them as one time games only. Last year, out of the 7 wins, 6 were on the A bet, which gives us a 6-2 record +3.8 units. This year, the record is 3-1 +1.9 units.

So scratch the B bet and proceed with the GB A bet and I recommend playing Chicago -2.5 against the redskins.

[on3]

FYI modified system is 40-3 dating back to 2004.

[bmoney1720]

anyone have college fball picks for this week? or a link to the ncaaf jm thread?

[windguy]

quick question ; how much point do i buy for Greenbay?

[dukipl]

I think the play is Greenbay ML or Greenbay +2,5 it depends

[imotiv8]

is there any college picks this week?

[jarrod]

your lucky to break even no one is a 100%

[blanc0]

hi !
First : nice work, appreciate it.

i got a request.
Could u maybe post your labby thingy in your weekly updates?
would be nice to see a season labby-line, with the sratched wins & added losses (chalked i guess?)

do with it as u want ofcourse, keep up the grat work

greetz

[series100]

On3,

For GB and CHI for Week 7, are these suppose to be ML or ATS?

[Thirsty P]

On3,

For GB and CHI for Week 7, are these suppose to be ML or ATS?

From On3's first post in this thread concerning the JM system. He didn't note any changes in his modified system for the betting strategy:

"Rules are this:
Chase a team for 3 games once they lose 3 games SU AND 3 ATS. Bet the ML for favorites, and take the points for dogs. Buy up (or down) if the line is close to a key number (3, 7, 10, 14, etc)."

So since GB and Chicago are both favorites, play the moneyline.

[hagball52]

is there any college picks this week?

As far as college football plays go, people in this thread have posted them according to jm's nfl system. But be careful because they are a little riskier. So far this season I think they have all covered by the C bet. This weeks plays are teams with 3 losses in a row SU and ATS. They are FAU @ Ark St, Cent Mich. @ N. Ill and Virginia vs E.Mich. Virginia is heavily favored so a moneyline bet would be out of the question. Maybe a tease or parlay but then it defeats the system. GL

[cmdyrds]

From On3's first post in this thread concerning the JM system. He didn't note any changes in his modified system for the betting strategy:

"Rules are this:
Chase a team for 3 games once they lose 3 games SU AND 3 ATS. Bet the ML for favorites, and take the points for dogs. Buy up (or down) if the line is close to a key number (3, 7, 10, 14, etc)."

So since GB and Chicago are both favorites, play the moneyline.

i assume chicago WLW system as they won in week five?

[imotiv8]

thanks Hagball52!

[palmer2712]

This week. NO NFL bets.

NCAA - A bets = Virginia, Florida, Memphis, Flr Atl., N. Texas, Texas A&M

Last Week, had 3 bets. E Mich B bet, and Boston College, Bowling Green A Bets. All 3 WON. No B or C pending anywhere.

GOod Luck all. See you next week when I log into. Twitter is better for gambling and quicker with the phones Peace

[jcygts6]

FOr NCAAF: FLorida, Memphis and N. Texas all have bye weeks.

[palmer2712]

FOr NCAAF: FLorida, Memphis and N. Texas all have bye weeks.

Well they are A bets next time they play

[hagball52]

This week. NO NFL bets.

NCAA - A bets = Virginia, Florida, Memphis, Flr Atl., N. Texas, Texas A&M

Last Week, had 3 bets. E Mich B bet, and Boston College, Bowling Green A Bets. All 3 WON. No B or C pending anywhere.

GOod Luck all. See you next week when I log into. Twitter is better for gambling and quicker with the phones Peace

Good job. Don't know how I missed Tex A&M. Didn't mention the others cause of the bye. Thanks for the correction.

[hagball52]

Cent. Mich is an A bet also.

[smcc716]

Good job. Don't know how I missed Tex A&M. Didn't mention the others cause of the bye. Thanks for the correction.

Quick question for anyone that may be able to answer?? Does anyone know how this system has performed historically over the years? The college system is what I am specifically asking about. Any information would be greatly appreciated!!

[knugen]

How do u play when mote than one À bet start at the same time?

[bobby boucher]

you just choose 1 of them, unless your bank is big enough to cover more

[imotiv8]

you just choose 1 of them, unless your bank is big enough to cover more

no matter what ur bankroll is, divide it up, play small on both

[knugen]

Can someone maybe confirm which are the plays for the NCAAF system tomorrow?

[GGPLAYER]

Cent. Mich is an A bet also.

Good catch. A bets: C. Mich, Vir, Fla Atl and Texas A&M. Bet them all!

[knugen]

Good catch. A bets: C. Mich, Vir, Fla Atl and Texas A&M. Bet them all!

Thx bud, and hey are all ATS i guess?