2010 NFL System - JM and Modified

officepoolguy · 08-30-10, 10:45 PM

Interesting...how often do you get plays? How much are your chase bets?

chilidog · 08-30-10, 10:46 PM

i'm curious as to your modifications on this.

RANDAZZO · 08-30-10, 11:06 PM

Never heard of a 100% system....

officepoolguy · 08-30-10, 11:20 PM

It is a chase system so he is only counting the end result of the 3 game chase.

RANDAZZO · 08-30-10, 11:24 PM

Ah. Ok.

Hawk007 · 08-31-10, 12:30 AM

Looking forward to this.....

JW Cash · 08-31-10, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by on3

Hey everyone,

I ran the thread for the 2009 NFL JM System on another website last year and made some tweaks and hand a very profitable 2009, and looking to do the same this year. Last year's stats were 21-0 using the JM System and my Modified system gave us another 13 win to 0 losses.

Rules are this:
Chase a team for 3 games once they lose 3 games SU AND 3 ATS. Bet the ML for favorites, and take the points for dogs. Buy up (or down) if the line is close to a key number (3, 7, 10, 14, etc).

Updates for the modified system will be up soon.

Help keep the thread going with input once the season starts.

good job.......

cant wait for your stuff.....

anyone try it for college.....1 did and think the record was 26-3....

newguy · 09-01-10, 12:22 PM

I thought the Bears were a loser at some point last year right? I think it depended on the number you got on the B game - but there were some who lost a series on the Bears......

Just a point of reference if you haven't done this system before - it can get expensive - you can win 22 in a row and 1 series loss can cost you 25 units - so just be careful

alexy · 09-02-10, 12:35 AM

thank you for this advice

Wrecktangle · 09-02-10, 08:36 AM

don't fling yourself off a building when you lose 65 units at the end of a series, and wipe out your bankroll. Almost happened last year with this system.

thebestthereis · 09-02-10, 07:21 PM

where is the modification to the jizz M system?

on3 · 09-04-10, 12:44 PM

So the modification I made to the JM System is this: Play a team that has lost 2 SU and 2 ATS in a row, if and only if that team still as a record of .500 or better AFTER the 2 losses. This will be a 3 game chase, and only once did the series go to a C bet last year (NY Giants). There were no losses recorded under this system in 2009 or 2008.

I came up with the modification because I was nervous about betting on bad teams (which happens under the JM System), since the first plays are almost always teams which start off 0-3. Last year, KC, Tennessee, and Detroit were all early plays. Since I hate betting on bad teams, the modification makes sure you only bet on good teams with records of .500 or better.

Let me hear your thoughts.

on3 · 09-04-10, 12:50 PM

Also, the first play of the system that JM keeps trying to sell is the "Bet against the prior year Super Bowl winner" which has worked the last 30+ years. You fade the previous winner, this year is the New Orleans Saints, and chase their opponent for 3 games. No Super Bowl winner has come out the next year and won their first 3 games ATS. So the play is:

Thursday - Minnesota Vikings +4.5 (A Bet)

I am not counting this series towards the systems W-L record, because this is a different system (fade Super Bowl winner), but this will be the first play. BOL

Seth · 09-05-10, 12:18 AM

Your info sounds good On3, thanks for posting! I have a question, since you said you don't like to play bad teams did you only make your plays last year (the 13-0) and not play JM's plays at all (21-0)? Also, under this sytem, JM's and your modification, is it always betting ATS with -110 odds or are there sometimes big moneylines you have to bet on? Thanks!

DaProfessor23 · 09-05-10, 03:36 AM

i like vikings , jm system or not

Cyril · 09-05-10, 08:00 AM

I don't see the modifications..

Anyways here is the thread with the records in the past 12 years and the pdf of the system:

on3 · 09-05-10, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by Seth

Your info sounds good On3, thanks for posting! I have a question, since you said you don't like to play bad teams did you only make your plays last year (the 13-0) and not play JM's plays at all (21-0)? Also, under this sytem, JM's and your modification, is it always betting ATS with -110 odds or are there sometimes big moneylines you have to bet on? Thanks!

I played the JM system and ny modified system, but like with all systems, it is just a tool to help in your evaluation of picks. So even thoug you can lay chalk at -110, sometimes I wasnt comfortable giving the points so sometimes I played a ML at -300 if the situation called for it. Hope that helps.

on3 · 09-07-10, 07:28 PM

[quote=Cyril;6224021]I don't see the modifications..

Anyways here is the thread with the records in the past 12 years and the pdf of the system:

The modification is taking teams that lose 2 SU and 2 ATS in a row, but still have a .500 record or better after the two losses on a 3 game chase. JM system calls for taking teams after they have lost 3 SU and 3 ATS in a row.

bauerranch · 09-07-10, 08:04 PM

sounds interesting ?

cmdyrds · 09-08-10, 08:50 AM

on3 thanks for the research here bud.

LerpF51 · 09-08-10, 04:17 PM

Anyone playing a JM system should NOT use "BetUs.Com" When you signed up with JM in the past he would direct you to them and give you a Bonus # to give BetUs. This was supposed to insure BetUs gave you a special deal that JM had worked out in advance. The way I see it now, when you log on, you will notice that all the JM plays are padded with .3 to .6 EXTRA juice on the play. So rather than have odds, at say, -130, it's more like -150 to -170. They know your chances of winning are good, but if you lose the ADDED juice is murder. Since you used your "bonus number" when you signed up they automatically know you're a JM system player. A word to the wise.

bauerranch · 09-08-10, 06:12 PM

Great observation and I agree

chilidog · 09-08-10, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by LerpF51

Anyone playing a JM system should NOT use "BetUs.Com" When you signed up with JM in the past he would direct you to them and give you a Bonus # to give BetUs. This was supposed to insure BetUs gave you a special deal that JM had worked out in advance. The way I see it now, when you log on, you will notice that all the JM plays are padded with .3 to .6 EXTRA juice on the play. So rather than have odds, at say, -130, it's more like -150 to -170. They know your chances of winning are good, but if you lose the ADDED juice is murder. Since you used your "bonus number" when you signed up they automatically know you're a JM system player. A word to the wise.

I had a BetUS account before I bought JM's stuff, and I never gave BetUS or John my account info, and I still have different lines on my account than what they show on their website if you don't login. I guess they know the pattern for the customers that plays JM's systems.

knugen · 09-09-10, 03:35 AM

So tonight there is à bet on MIN ?

dukipl · 09-09-10, 03:58 AM

We'll see how the nfl system goes this year. Hope not the same as baseball ...

knugen · 09-09-10, 06:13 AM

Do we buy any points in this system ?

on3 · 09-10-10, 02:10 AM

Originally posted by knugen

Do we buy any points in this system ?

You only buy one point max and that is only if the the already is around a key number. 2.5, 6.5, 9.5, etc. I will post all plays in this forumand drtail of poibts were bought or not.

on3 · 09-10-10, 02:14 AM

So a blocked extra point coat us our first W. Hopefully some got the closing number at +5, and pushed...if that's the case, then don't chase the next two games. For those who lost tonight (like me) stay tuned for the next play.

cmdyrds · 09-10-10, 07:39 AM

can you post what morrison says in his email. some how he will have the game as a win and somewhere got the line at 5.5. thanks.

bauerranch · 09-10-10, 07:07 PM

Yes please post what JM says

Rig · 09-10-10, 07:42 PM

What was the overall win loss percent last year not including units?

knugen · 09-11-10, 12:27 AM

Can you guess the result? Yep: Yesterday my Never Lost NFL Betting
System won again, in style! The system is still 100% PERFECT since
the very first day the NFL began over 88 years ago!

dukipl · 09-11-10, 01:54 AM

so the play according to jm should have been: Thursday - Minnesota Vikings +5.5 (A Bet) / if the bet won on "A"

knugen · 09-11-10, 02:21 AM

Exactly! So i don't know if i gonna play this serie any mote!