RLM System Plays

[Laissez Faire]

The warriors game is VERY interesting b/c 81% is on OKC...yet the line movement favors the Warriors....

I might take the Warriors 1st half spread bet of +1.5 due to this....

[Laissez Faire]

reposting for new page...

games to watch 2/07/12

based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt reverse line movement.

3. Using opening/current lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/nba.html then comparing them to your book.

4. Ncaab spreads 8pts & under, nba spreads 11pts & under (if you want)


ncaab

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers OPEN -8 NOW -9

9:00PM 727 Purdue Boilermakers OPEN +16 NOW +14


nba

7:35 pm 705 Charlotte Bobcats OPEN +14.5 NOW +14

10:35pm 712 Golden State Warriors OPEN +3 NOW +2.5

ytd: 71-50-1 58%


extra plays if you like: Ytd: 5-2

ncaab

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers 1st ML OPEN -325 NOW -450

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers 1st H ML OPEN -223 NOW -280

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers 1st H OPEN -4 NOW -5

8:00pm 720 Evansville Purple Aces ML OPEN +210 NOW +205


nba

7:35 pm 705 Charlotte Bobcats 1st QT ML OPEN +425 NOW +390

10:35pm 712 Golden State Warriors ML OPEN +122 NOW +120

[R19]

Went 3-1 last night, stupid missouri. Little bit of a streak here using this new strategy so I think I'm going to run with it. Let me get thru tonight's games and see if they do well, if they do I will explain this weird way of using RLM.

Already placed these bets for tonights games:
Alabama -5
Maryland +8
Iowa State +2
Creighton -5.5
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5
Oklahoma City Thunder -3

There is no wrong way to use anything, especially if it's producing. Keep in mind that RLM set ups will most likely change throughout the day until game time. It's early.

[crazed]

Any recommendations on an app for the iPhone for odds?

[Laissez Faire]

Evansville opens at +6 on SBR & at +5 on freesportsbet....this is a disparity due to the fact that Evansville sits at +5.5 currently, making it an RLM play if you go by SBR....but not an RLM play if you go by freesportsbet

[R19]

Any recommendations on an app for the iPhone for odds?

Someone mentioned iOdds previously.

[Night-Tripper]

games to watch 2/07/12

based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt reverse line movement.

3. Using opening/current lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/nba.html then comparing them to your book.

4. Ncaab spreads 8pts & under, nba spreads 11pts & under (if you want)


ncaab

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers OPEN -8 NOW -9

9:00PM 727 Purdue Boilermakers OPEN +16 NOW +14


nba

7:35 pm 705 Charlotte Bobcats OPEN +14.5 NOW +14

10:35pm 712 Golden State Warriors OPEN +3 NOW +2.5

ytd: 71-50-1 58%


extra plays if you like: Ytd: 5-2

ncaab

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers 1st ML OPEN -325 NOW -450

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers 1st H ML OPEN -223 NOW -280

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers 1st H OPEN -4 NOW -5

8:00pm 720 Evansville Purple Aces ML OPEN +210 NOW +205


nba

7:35 pm 705 Charlotte Bobcats 1st QT ML OPEN +425 NOW +390

10:35pm 712 Golden State Warriors ML OPEN +122 NOW +120

I'm going to give wiseguy an assist...

71-50-1 as of 2-6-12

[detroitigerz]

Any recommendations on an app for the iPhone for odds?

iOdds is great and is what I use.

Also yeah I thought about that after I made the bets this morning. But most of the lines I figured I were going to go against me, so I figured I should just take them.

Also... this OKC and Golden State game line is super weird. I feel like somebody knows something I don't.... I have the game handicapped at OKC winning by about 5.5 points...

[DirkDiggs]

I feel like somebody knows something I don't.... I have the game handicapped at OKC winning by about 5.5 points...

Did u factor in homecourt and the b2b?

[wiseguy007]

Thanks everyone for the help.

Im going to start tracking daily as well as YTD.

We need to see which days are stronger then others.

RECORD 2/6/12: 1-1

YTD: 71-50-1 59%

[detroitigerz]

Did u factor in homecourt and the b2b?

Yeah I did home court, what is b2b? back to back or something?

Just added Providence +8.5 btw too...

Total card for the evening (I AM going to not bet the ohio state game as much as I want to take Ohio State)

Providence +8.5
Alabama -5
Maryland +8
Iowa State +2
Creighton -5.5
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5
Oklahoma City Thunder -3

BOL all!

[Reno Gambler]

See if I'm getting this: as of 11:51pst.
NBA
CLAVS .5^ TO 13.5 (13.0)
BOBCATS .5 TO 14.0 (14.5)
WARRIORS .5 TO 2.5 (3.0)

CBB
CLEM 1.0^ -9.0 (-8.0)
EVEANSVILLE .5^ 5.5 (5.0)
PURDUE 2.0 14.0 (16.0)

Am I with the program??

[detroitigerz]

See if I'm getting this: as of 11:51pst.
NBA
CLAVS .5^ TO 13.5 (13.0)
BOBCATS .5 TO 14.0 (14.5)
WARRIORS .5 TO 2.5 (3.0)

CBB
CLEM 1.0^ -9.0 (-8.0)
EVEANSVILLE .5^ 5.5 (5.0)
PURDUE 2.0 14.0 (16.0)

Am I with the program??

Not Evansville, or Cavaliers.

Still confused at this OKC Golden state game... Sharps are SUPER heavy on golden state. 80% public consensus for OKC... weird.

[Reno Gambler]

Call me stupid,but why not Cle and Evans?? Is it that they reach over 3,000 bets??

[R19]

Page 1. And many here are using variations of the original system.

[detroitigerz]

Call me stupid,but why not Cle and Evans?? Is it that they reach over 3,000 bets??

No problem man just takes a bit to get used too.

Evansville opened at +5 now it is at +5.5. That line is moving in the wrong direction. The way I like to think about this is... ok the 63% or greater is favoring Creighton so I look at evansville. It opened at +5 and went UP to 5.5. This is HELPING Evansville. If the line movement is HELPING the team not favored then it's not RLM. If the line moved to +4.5 that would be HURTING Evansville (yet the public consensus is still much lower) meaning that the sharps are on evansville. And that is what were trying to do in here, is play with the sharps/books.

With that said, look at the cavalier game. It's not RLM for same reason as Evansville. Miami is favored so I look at Cavaliers. They opened at +13 now they're at +13.5. This +.5 movement is HELPING the books to try and get more bets on the cavaliers side.

In summary, my steps go:
1.) make sure over 3000 bets (total)
2.) make sure one of the percentages is >=63%
3.) check the spread on the team that is not favored heavily. if the movement is HELPING them it's not a play. If it is HURTING them it is considered RLM.

Hope this helps... totally ignore my last few posts in here, those are my picks based on different factors other than RLM.

[hessy1225]

Tonight I have:
Maryland +9
OKC -2.5
Suns +7.5
Creighton -5.5

[detroitigerz]

Tonight I have:
Maryland +9
OKC -2.5
Suns +7.5
Creighton -5.5

Thanks for the heads, up I almost missed the Suns game, looks like we have 4 in common! good luck tonight!
...
In other news I decided I'm going to keep track of my record, cause my sports book (sportsbook.ag) won't let me look back very far in my wagering history. Starting tonight I'll keep it updated. 1 unit = 10$... will be specified after the x in my posts. I know it's very little money but I wanna come up with a good strategy and while in this process I don't want to lose big and fast. Plus I'm a college student struggling for cash haha.

My total card for the evening is:

Providence +8.5 x1
Alabama -5 x1
Maryland +8 x1
Iowa State +2 x1
Creighton -5.5 x1
Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 x1
Oklahoma City Thunder -3 x1
Phoenix Suns +7.5 x1

[Reno Gambler]

Thanks!! Much clearer.

[Night-Tripper]

Thanks everyone for the help.

Im going to start tracking daily as well as YTD.

We need to see which days are stronger then others.

RECORD 2/6/12: 1-1

YTD: 71-50-1 59%

Now... this is nothing more than my opinion... but I don't think there are days that are stronger than others. What I have noticed... is (like yesterday) when there are days with light cards... you have to be careful when placing bets early... because there can be a huge fluctuation in betting percentages as well as the lines themselves... which can make plays become no-plays before tipoff. When there is a heavy card... there are very few early RLM's that become non-RLM's. Following all three of our requirements... the only true play yesterday was Oklahoma.

So... my advice is to be very careful when there aren't a lot of games on the slate... and if you're going to bet early... pick a game that has extremely stong RLM tendencies. The only game that looks like it'll maintain its form at the present time is Clemson/Maryland. Ohio State/Purdue has the line move, but is sitting at only 64%. The Bobcats and Warriors are only showing a .5 move.. and they could go back to static at any moment. I'm going to play the Warriors and Clemson now, simply because I don't think there'll be a line correction. But... if there is... it will no longer be a RLM play.

[Laissez Faire]

I'm going to give wiseguy an assist...

71-50-1 as of 2-6-12

agreed

[Night-Tripper]

Tonight I have:
Maryland +9
OKC -2.5
Suns +7.5
Creighton -5.5

Suns don't have the percentages to qualify and Creighton, Thunder and Maryland are anti-RLM plays.

Good luck!

[Night-Tripper]

How did true RLM's do last night? Wasn't feeling it so I left it alone.

Technically 1-1... although OKlahoma was the only play that actually met the requirements when the game started.

SMU eh?

Just how big a boy are ya?

[Galante118]

anyone track this for the nhl? it seems like the few picks people have posted in nhl have done quite well

[Night-Tripper]

You didn't take Ducks ML's?

No... I don't like paying a lot of juice. I'd rather roll with the puck-line and get positive odds. I'm probably going to mess around with pucks again tonight... especially since I took the plunge and ordered DTV's *NHL Center Ice* last night (to go with my NBA League Pass, ESPN Game Plan and NFL Sunday Ticket).

One of these days my wife is going to ask me why our bill is running $15,000/month.

[Night-Tripper]

anyone track this for the nhl? it seems like the few picks people have posted in nhl have done quite well

Laissez Faire is tracking NHL.

[SMU77]

Got some picks on tonight's games? How about it Night-tripper?Wiseguy?

[wiseguy007]

Now... this is nothing more than my opinion... but I don't think there are days that are stronger than others. What I have noticed... is (like yesterday) when there are days with light cards... you have to be careful when placing bets early... because there can be a huge fluctuation in betting percentages as well as the lines themselves... which can make plays become no-plays before tipoff. When there is a heavy card... there are very few early RLM's that become non-RLM's. Following all three of our requirements... the only true play yesterday was Oklahoma.

So... my advice is to be very careful when there aren't a lot of games on the slate... and if you're going to bet early... pick a game that has extremely stong RLM tendencies. The only game that looks like it'll maintain its form at the present time is Clemson/Maryland. Ohio State/Purdue has the line move, but is sitting at only 64%. The Bobcats and Warriors are only showing a .5 move.. and they could go back to static at any moment. I'm going to play the Warriors and Clemson now, simply because I don't think there'll be a line correction. But... if there is... it will no longer be a RLM play.

Yeah I think you could be right, just hope to find a hole if there is one. Bottom line is the system is winning in the long run and that is all the matters now.

Good to just keep it simple and count the money.

[Night-Tripper]

Got some picks on tonight's games? How about it Night-tripper?Wiseguy?

Jesus... patience ain't never been one of your strong suits.

Here... these currently meet RLM criteria:

Clemson
Purdue
Bobcats
Warriors

Get back to work!

[wiseguy007]

UPDATE 5:06PM
Games to Watch 2/07/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF YOU WANT)



NCAAB

7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers OPEN -8 NOW -9

9:00PM 727 Purdue Boilermakers OPEN +16 NOW +14


NBA

7:35 pm 705 Charlotte Bobcats OPEN +14.5 NOW +14

10:35pm 712 Golden State Warriors OPEN +3 NOW +2.5


RECORD 2/6/12: 1-1

YTD: 71-50-1 59%




***EXTRA PLAYS IF YOU LIKE ***

YTD: 5-2

RECORD 2/6/12: 2-1

NCAAB


7:00pm 718 Clemson Tigers 1st H OPEN -4 NOW -5

8:00pm 720 Evansville Purple Aces ML OPEN +210 NOW +205


NBA

7:35 pm 705 Charlotte Bobcats 1st QT ML OPEN +425 NOW +390

10:35pm 712 Golden State Warriors ML OPEN +122 NOW +120

[Night-Tripper]

Yeah I think you could be right, just hope to find a hole if there is one. Bottom line is the system is winning in the long run and that is all the matters now.

Good to just keep it simple and count the money.

Yep... I'm gonna leave the tweaking to others. I've been making money doing just what we're doing. Only thing I may do differently... is to wait a while longer on questionable plays... to make sure they are gonna stay RLM.

Ohio State/Purdue has firmed up by another 2%... I'm now comfortable enough to play them now instead of waiting around to lose another .5 point.

[crockje]

Went 3-1 last night, stupid missouri. Little bit of a streak here using this new strategy so I think I'm going to run with it. Let me get thru tonight's games and see if they do well, if they do I will explain this weird way of using RLM. Already placed these bets for tonights games: Alabama -5 Maryland +8 Iowa State +2 Creighton -5.5 Minnesota Timberwolves -6.5 Oklahoma City Thunder -3

Det your sheet has most teams at between 20-23 games however most have play about between 30-33 are you updating with current stats?

[R19]

NHL - Looking at Blue Jackets, Islanders, Panthers, Senators, and Maple Leafs.

[Night-Tripper]

NHL - Looking at Blue Jackets, Islanders, and Panthers.

Thanks... I got hoops down... but gotta do some studying on pucks.

[R19]

Thanks... I got hoops down... but gotta do some studying on pucks.

Updated to add Senators and Maple Leafs.