RLM System Plays

**southpaw74** · 02-05-12, 01:35 PM

Night...who you taking in the big bowl today?

**R19** · 02-05-12, 01:43 PM

Loyola-Chicago - Seeing some +4.5's and probably holding off. Thoughts? This sucks having Free Sports Bet down.

**wiseguy007** · 02-05-12, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Duke line is going right direction... Miami should be changed to a no-play.

Ok thanks

**wiseguy007** · 02-05-12, 01:45 PM

UPDATE: 1:45PM

Games to Watch 2/05/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF YOU WANT)

NCAAB

3:00pm 819 Northwestern Wildcats OPEN +6 NOW +5

NBA

1:05pm 803 Toronto Raptors OPEN +16.5 NOW +16

YTD: 68-49-1 58%

EXTRA PLAYS IF YOU LIKE:

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles OPEN +5.5 NOW +4

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles 1ST H OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 W

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles 1ST H ML OPEN +145 NOW +130 W

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles/822 Rider Broncs OVER 154

**Dogball** · 02-05-12, 01:49 PM

solid thread

good luck today, going to keep eye on this one and tailed on Toronto + Niagra

**Laissez Faire** · 02-05-12, 01:54 PM

I'm removing Miami from my list as well..along w/ Loyola Chicago

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by southpaw74

Night...who you taking in the big bowl today?

Intended to play the 49ers. Since that ain't happening, I'm on the Giants for a couple of big ones.

As is always the case... I'm hoping the Patriots get them down by seven early in the game so that I can toss some coin on the Giants at a juicy + moneyline.

**R19** · 02-05-12, 01:58 PM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

I'm removing Miami from my list as well..along w/ Loyola Chicago

Yeah, holding off on Loyola-Chicago. That's what you get on Super Bowl Sunday.

**Laissez Faire** · 02-05-12, 01:59 PM

UPDATE 2:01 pm

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

games I'm watching this afternoon:

NCAAB

Niagara +4

Niagara +155

Niagara +2.5 1st half WIN

Niagara +130 1st half WIN

Nebraska pk

Nebraska .5 1st half WIN

Illinois Chicago +9.5

Illinois Chicago +5.5 1st half

Northwestern +5

Northwestern +3 1st half

NBA

Grizzlies +4.5

Grizzlies +160

Grizzlies +2.5 1st half LOSS

Grizzlies +140 1st half LOSS

Raptors +16

NHL

Winnipeg Jets +1.5

Winniped Jets +110

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by wiseguy007

UPDATE: 1:45PM

Games to Watch 2/05/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF YOU WANT)

NCAAB

3:00pm 819 Northwestern Wildcats OPEN +6 NOW +5

NBA

1:05pm 803 Toronto Raptors OPEN +16.5 NOW +16

YTD: 68-49-1 58%

Northwestern is now a no-play also... I already have them locked, so I'm going to let it ride. In fact, if Niagra wins the game outright... I may toss some more on them.

**CheckYaPulse** · 02-05-12, 02:06 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

wiseguy... do you remember any of the freesports stats from the Fairfield/Siena game?

Fairfield/Siena opened +/- 11 and is currently +/- 11.5
3,066 (52%) Fairfield
2,812 (48%) Siena

I got these from iOdds. Hope it helps Night

**R19** · 02-05-12, 02:09 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Northwestern is now a no-play also... I already have them locked, so I'm going to let it ride. In fact, if Niagra wins the game outright... I may toss some more on them.

Free Sports Bet back up. Northwestern is staying at +6 on a 65%/35%. Night-Tripper are you still playing static spreads? Thanks.

**Tower** · 02-05-12, 02:10 PM

scoresandodds is another site that you guys can use for line info if freesportsbet is down. I usually like comparing both of them.

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by CheckYaPulse

Fairfield/Siena opened +/- 11 and is currently +/- 11.5
3,066 (52%) Fairfield
2,812 (48%) Siena

I got these from iOdds. Hope it helps Night

Thanks...

**Laissez Faire** · 02-05-12, 02:14 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Northwestern is now a no-play also... I already have them locked, so I'm going to let it ride. In fact, if Niagra wins the game outright... I may toss some more on them.

I'm pulling for Niagara to finish strong as well..i'm locked on Northwestern too

**R19** · 02-05-12, 02:15 PM

825 Siena Saints 3067 52% 745 15% O 447 62%
826 Fairfield Stags 2814 48% 4197 85% U 272 38%

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 02:17 PM

Originally posted by R19

Free Sports Bet back up. Northwestern is staying at +6 on a 65%/35%. Night-Tripper are you still playing static spreads? Thanks.

Yes I am. Not all of the time, but when there is a huge disparity in betting percentages, I will. Since I was already playing Northwestern on the moneyline, the point move didn't bother me. But, for our tracking purposes... I wanted to point it out.

Same with the percentages... we're using a 63% minimum... but I'll play something on my own if it's a little less. (That's the built-in *fat* that I mentioned in a post within the past week-and-a-half.)

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 02:18 PM

Originally posted by R19

825 Siena Saints 3067 52% 745 15% O 447 62%
826 Fairfield Stags 2814 48% 4197 85% U 272 38%

Yep... been eyeing that one... percentages are nowhere near what they should be, but I have a hankering to toss me some cash on Fairfield -11.5.

**detroitigerz** · 02-05-12, 02:26 PM

wow crazy night last night. lost big on penn state and got more than what i started with back with 7 other games haha. got a little money on the patriots on the spread for the game and my IDIOT friend is SO confident in the patriots we took a side bet and I'm getting the Giants +14 haha so hopin for patriots to win by >3 and <14! Not seeing any basketball bets today I like, except northwestern... which if that line gets .5 movement before 3 I will be taking.
BOL all!

**Laissez Faire** · 02-05-12, 02:40 PM

GL to everyone today..will be updating record for my picks tonight after Super Bowl....time to grill out haha

here's a tangent for you...read this article about Super Bowl ad in Michigan and found it interesting
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0212/72466.html (check out if you have any free time)

**Laissez Faire** · 02-05-12, 02:42 PM

O...and here are Super Bowl prop bets I thought I'd share...

Brady over 320.5 passing yards (-115)
Brady over 3.5 TD passes (+270)
BenJarvus Green-Ellis over 47.5 rushing yds (-115)
Gronkowski: will he score touchdown in 1st half? YES (+160)
Ochocinco: will he have at least 1 reception? YES (-115)
Zoltan Mesko: will a punt result in a touchback? YES (+190)

Manning over 2.5 TD passes (+170)
Brandon Jacobs: will he score touchdown? YES (+180)
Victor Cruz: Will he score touchdown? YES (+120)
Mario Manningham over 3.5 receptions (+130)
Mario Manningham: will he score touchdown? YES (+170)
Travis Beckum over 1.5 receptions (+115)
Steve Weatherford: will a punt result in a touchback? YES (+150)

**TripleDDD** · 02-05-12, 02:59 PM

How do you know how many bets are on one side?

edit: nvm i see it now

**R19** · 02-05-12, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by Laissez Faire

GL to everyone today..will be updating record for my picks tonight after Super Bowl....time to grill out haha

here's a tangent for you...read this article about Super Bowl ad in Michigan and found it interesting
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0212/72466.html (check out if you have any free time)

Another paid for moronic politician.

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by TripleDDD

How do you know how many bets are on one side?

edit: nvm i see it now

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 03:31 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Niagra +4.5/450
Niagra +170/200
Northwestern +5.5/450
Northwestern +200/200

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Added:
Raptors +16.5/350

Added:
Fairfield -11.5/350

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 03:58 PM

Although it didn't qualify as an offical RLM play due to the late non-RLM movement... I hope those of you who let your Hurricane bet ride bring that bad boy in.

Now... I'm obviously killing time and giving the books a chance to get some money back. Duke was favored by 11.5 and is losing by 14 at HT. Thoughts on Blue Devils -11.5 for 2nd half?

**No coincidences** · 02-05-12, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Although it didn't qualify as an offical RLM play due to the late non-RLM movement... I hope those of you who let your Hurricane bet ride bring that bad boy in.

Now... I'm obviously killing time and giving the books a chance to get some money back. Duke was favored by 11.5 and is losing by 14 at HT. Thoughts on Blue Devils -11.5 for 2nd half?

I'm more tempted by Northwestern +5.5 2H.

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I'm more tempted by Northwestern +5.5 2H.

Ive already got them +5.5/game and +200 on moneyline, so I'm already in a better position than the HT line has to offer.

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Niagra +4.5/450
Niagra +170/200
Northwestern +5.5/450
Northwestern +200/200

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Added:
Raptors +16.5/350

Originally posted by Night-Tripper

Added:
Fairfield -11.5/350

Added:
Duke -11.5/2nd half for three-fiddy

**crazed** · 02-05-12, 04:15 PM

What does the +2.5, +3 mean? this on 5dimes.
2/5/2012 6:30 PM Reduced Football 101 New York Giants* +2½,+3 -107 vs New England Patriots

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by crazed

What does the +2.5, +3 mean? this on 5dimes.
2/5/2012 6:30 PM Reduced Football 101 New York Giants* +2½,+3 -107 vs New England Patriots

+2.5 is at even money. If you want +3... you'll pay a dollar and seven cents.

**ToPHeR** · 02-05-12, 04:24 PM

so if it goes to +3 you get that line?

**wiseguy007** · 02-05-12, 04:55 PM

HERE IS MY SUPER BOWL #'S IF YOU ALL WOULD LIKE TO SEE...

SUPER BOWL:

101 NEW YORK GIANTS.......... 23
102 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS.. 27.. -4.. 50 (THIS IS MY LINES I WILL BET FROM)

Overall

101 NEW YORK GIANTS........... 23
102 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS.. 27 .. -4.. 50

Away/Away

101 NEW YORK GIANTS ...........26
102 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS.. 29.. -3.. 55

Grass/Turf

101 NEW YORK GIANTS .......... 21
102 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS.. 26.. -5.. 47

Last 3

101 NEW YORK GIANTS ...........23
102 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS.. 26 .. -3.. 59

**Night-Tripper** · 02-05-12, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by Capybara

What a day yesterday!

That's an interesting point about Saturdays. I never thought about it, but I've had tons of great Saturdays, and it makes sense, a heavier action day with tons of square betting.

May make myself look like the ultimate dumbazz (won't be the first time), but I don't have a clue as to who the dude is in your avatar. But... I wanted to let you know that he is a dead ringer for my barber.

**wiseguy007** · 02-05-12, 05:10 PM

RECORD UPDATE:

NCAAB

3:00pm 819 Northwestern Wildcats OPEN +6 NOW +5 W

NBA

1:05pm 803 Toronto Raptors OPEN +16.5 NOW +16 W

RECORD FOR 2/5/12: 2-0

YTD: 70-49-1 59%

EXTRA PLAYS IF YOU LIKE:

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles OPEN +5.5 NOW +4 W

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles 1ST H OPEN +2.5 NOW +2 W

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles 1ST H ML OPEN +145 NOW +130 W

1:00pm 821 Niagara Purple Eagles/822 Rider Broncs OVER 154 L

OVERALL EXTRA PLAYS: 3-1