RLM System Plays

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  • Night-Tripper
    SBR MVP
    • 12-14-09
    • 3205

    #1
    RLM System Plays
    Gonna do this at the request of several (not thousands) of users who sent me PM's overnight. These aren't going to be my plays, simply system plays using RLM/Static Line Movement versus Betting Percentages. What I would like everyone to understand, is that anyone here can do this on their own in a matter of minutes... all they need is confidence. I don't care for drama and I have no interest in becoming a tout. I'm not going to make anyone beg for the system plays, because they're not mine... simply what the system I use spits out. Play what you like and stay away from what you don't. While I practice money-management, I do tend to lose my discipline from time to time... but I don't believe in varying my bet size from $200 to 4,000. If anyone else wants to, that's cool... because I will make a larger wager if I like something... but that's just because I like it... not because it's a better play... as far as I'm concerned... all plays are equal. I don't intend to keep a running record, because (once again), I'm not going to become a tout... I know how I'm doing and how much money I'm making (or losing) and you'll be the same way.

    I'm a supervisor for a major oil company and work shift... so there may be times when I won't be able to post the system plays. However, I'm going to provide everyone with the tools and methods that I used so that you'll still be able to determine what I would have posted had I been able. Haters are welcome, because they don't bother me... mainly because (for the cheap seats) all I'm doing is basically spitting out data that you can come up with. Also, you can change your parameters to suit your taste. I tend to stick with a minimum of 3,000 bes on a game with 63% on one side and a static or reverse line movement. (You may want to tighten things up and only go with a reverse line movement.) I don't wait until the last minute to make a bet. If a line has basically been static or moved in the opposite direction that it should have given betting percentages, I consider it a play... ain't gonna wait until five minutes before tipoff.


    This is the free site that I use to determine plays... go ahead and bookmark it and get a feel for how the system works... ain't nothing to it. http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html

    Make comments... ask questions... throw rocks... I don't care. Anyone can say whatever's on their mind and anyone can damn sure provide an answer to any question that someone poses.

    Have fun... I hope you'll gain the confidence to do this on your own... and most of all... make money off your book... not another user!

    Plays will be posted whenever they appear and I'm available.

    Ciao
  • WULULO
    SBR Hustler
    • 08-20-11
    • 81

    #2
    Thank you for doing this. I'm looking forward to trying this out.
    Comment
    • therocket
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-08-12
      • 869

      #3
      Thank you for sharing your knowledge. Much appreciated
      Comment
      • Malloy2
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-20-09
        • 19

        #4
        Rutgers?
        Comment
        • Romanov
          SBR MVP
          • 10-08-10
          • 4137

          #5
          Night-tripper:

          The site you use uses data from their free sport bet website, not exactly sharp money coming in.
          Comment
          • Night-Tripper
            SBR MVP
            • 12-14-09
            • 3205

            #6
            Originally posted by Malloy2
            Rutgers?
            You got it...

            I have Rutgers and Wake Forest meeting criteria at this time.

            Possibly Purdue if the %'s on Michigan State will get up into range. RLM is alredy there.

            See... nothing to it!
            Comment
            • Night-Tripper
              SBR MVP
              • 12-14-09
              • 3205

              #7
              Originally posted by Romanov
              Night-tripper:

              The site you use uses data from their free sport bet website, not exactly sharp money coming in.
              I know... but it doesn't really matter (to me). The trends and results have still shown to be the same. I checked different sites and they all pretty much showed the same movement... so I just started the one that I felt was most user-friendly for me.
              Comment
              • therocket
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-08-12
                • 869

                #8
                I found there are iphone apps for this too.
                Comment
                • Romanov
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-08-10
                  • 4137

                  #9
                  Sounds good.

                  I am already on Purdue +8 because of the Lang Fade. After he posted his play of Mich St -8.5 the line shot down to 7
                  Comment
                  • Night-Tripper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-14-09
                    • 3205

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Romanov
                    Sounds good.

                    I am already on Purdue +8 because of the Lang Fade. After he posted his play of Mich St -8.5 the line shot down to 7
                    I wanna play Purdue... BAD... and I will probably do it even if they don't meet the damn criteria and hope for the best. But, unless it meets the three requirements, I won't post it as a system play.

                    Good news... it's gone from 60% -> 62% in the last few minutes... I like that... can make it official.
                    Comment
                    • Romanov
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-08-10
                      • 4137

                      #11
                      WAIT! Just learned that Purdue had travel issues and was on a bus from 5am to 9am this morning to get to the game
                      Comment
                      • crockje
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-03-11
                        • 384

                        #12
                        Originally posted by therocket
                        I found there are iphone apps for this too.
                        iodds is money for this
                        Comment
                        • robinhood
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-12-09
                          • 916

                          #13
                          Thanks for the information Night-Tripper!
                          Comment
                          • rglopez
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-11-10
                            • 1520

                            #14
                            So when you say at least 63% you mean take the opposite team right, BC has 65% and Wake 35% but you are taking Wake so you mean Fade the 65% team, just trying to get a grasp, i understand everything else but that, thanks
                            Comment
                            • Romanov
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-08-10
                              • 4137

                              #15
                              Originally posted by rglopez
                              So when you say at least 63% you mean take the opposite team right, BC has 65% and Wake 35% but you are taking Wake so you mean Fade the 65% team, just trying to get a grasp, i understand everything else but that, thanks
                              Yes. RLM is when the line moves the opposite (reverse) way it should (should because of the quantity of bets). This happens usually because of the large size of the bets on the team with the smaller # of bets.
                              Comment
                              • ksnooksk
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-18-11
                                • 2890

                                #16
                                This doesn't work blindly though. You'll see.
                                Comment
                                • Night-Tripper
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-14-09
                                  • 3205

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by rglopez
                                  So when you say at least 63% you mean take the opposite team right, BC has 65% and Wake 35% but you are taking Wake so you mean Fade the 65% team, just trying to get a grasp, i understand everything else but that, thanks

                                  Yep... fade the 65% team if the line is static or the line is going down.

                                  Purdue travel issues aren't bothering me... although maybe they should.

                                  Purdue +8
                                  Wake Forest +1
                                  Rutgers +9.5
                                  Comment
                                  • crockje
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 01-03-11
                                    • 384

                                    #18
                                    Tripper are adding Tenn as a play? line opened at -3 went down -2.5 62% on uconn 3,172 bets
                                    Last edited by crockje; 01-21-12, 11:56 AM. Reason: meant tenn not uconn
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ksnooksk
                                      This doesn't work blindly though. You'll see.
                                      Of course it doesn't. Nothing does. Did he say it'd hit 100%?
                                      Comment
                                      • Night-Tripper
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-14-09
                                        • 3205

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by crockje
                                        Tripper are adding Tenn as a play? line opened at -3 went down -2.5 62% on uconn 3,172 bets
                                        Will be... just as soon as I take care of some business.

                                        Thanks for posting the play... you got the idea. Feel free to post any other games that hit the mark.
                                        Comment
                                        • khaden
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-19-09
                                          • 1864

                                          #21
                                          was alabama a play
                                          Comment
                                          • Bettowin23
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-25-10
                                            • 1038

                                            #22
                                            Why was Alabama not a play? They seemed to fit your criteria for a play.


                                            Originally posted by Night-Tripper
                                            Yep... fade the 65% team if the line is static or the line is going down.

                                            Purdue travel issues aren't bothering me... although maybe they should.

                                            Purdue +8
                                            Wake Forest +1
                                            Rutgers +9.5
                                            Comment
                                            • Romanov
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-08-10
                                              • 4137

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by khaden
                                              was alabama a play
                                              i think not. i think we will have a play on texas +3.5 right? an added bonus is bw is on that play

                                              edit: the line went against bama
                                              Comment
                                              • CTOWNsCAPPIN
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-11-11
                                                • 3079

                                                #24
                                                I like Missouri today and it seems to me this is falling right into your criteria.
                                                Comment
                                                • R19
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-31-11
                                                  • 433

                                                  #25
                                                  From my understanding, I don't see Alabama as a play. Although there may have been adverse line movement from open to close, the line opened at Kentucky -10 and closed at -10.5. That doesn't fit the definition of adverse or static. However, this is where other approaches may be added.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • crockje
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-03-11
                                                    • 384

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Romanov
                                                    i think not. i think we will have a play on texas +3.5 right? an added bonus is bw is on that play edit: the line went against bama
                                                    no play on texas line opened at Kansas -3 most of money (80%) on kansas and line went up to -3.5 no rlm there
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Romanov
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-08-10
                                                      • 4137

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by crockje
                                                      no play on texas line opened at Kansas -3 most of money (80%) on kansas and line went up to -3.5 no rlm there
                                                      opened at pinny at 3.5 (-105/-105)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bettowin23
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-25-10
                                                        • 1038

                                                        #28
                                                        I must be missing something. I see the Alabama line as static and closing at +10.


                                                        (553) Alabama Crimson Tide(554) Kentucky WildcatsATS+10 (-110) [Open: +10 (-110)] -10 (-110) [Open: -10 (-110)]

                                                        Originally posted by Romanov
                                                        i think not. i think we will have a play on texas +3.5 right? an added bonus is bw is on that play

                                                        edit: the line went against bama
                                                        Comment
                                                        • crockje
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 01-03-11
                                                          • 384

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Romanov
                                                          opened at pinny at 3.5 (-105/-105)
                                                          gotcha I saw opening at -3
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CheckYaPulse
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 12-20-11
                                                            • 92

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Bettowin23
                                                            I must be missing something. I see the Alabama line as static and closing at +10.


                                                            (553) Alabama Crimson Tide(554) Kentucky WildcatsATS+10 (-110) [Open: +10 (-110)] -10 (-110) [Open: -10 (-110)]
                                                            The line opened at +10 and went up to +10.5 and even to +11 before going back down and closing at +10.

                                                            EDIT: Some books even had it at +11.5 for a little over half an hour this morning.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Bettowin23
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 06-25-10
                                                              • 1038

                                                              #31
                                                              Thanks

                                                              Originally posted by CheckYaPulse
                                                              The line opened at +10 and went up to +10.5 and even to +11 before going back down and closing at +10.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CheckYaPulse
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 12-20-11
                                                                • 92

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Bettowin23
                                                                Thanks
                                                                Bama looking pretty good right now though haha
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Walulu
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-20-10
                                                                  • 1123

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Does there have to be a certain number of bets to qualify? Say over 3,000 or 5,000 bets.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bettowin23
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-25-10
                                                                    • 1038

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Night Tripper says to use 3,000 bets to qualify.

                                                                    Originally posted by Walulu
                                                                    Does there have to be a certain number of bets to qualify? Say over 3,000 or 5,000 bets.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • robinhood
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-12-09
                                                                      • 916

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by CTOWNsCAPPIN
                                                                      I like Missouri today and it seems to me this is falling right into your criteria.

                                                                      No, it doesn't. That line opened at baylor -3.5 and has moved according to the bets. No Reverse Line Movement.
                                                                      Comment
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