NCAAB system thats been working

[Beetlejuice]

System was right ony the Cincinnati gm the DOG covered

Yeah, good looks bro. Milwaukee looking good right now, too.

[JonEJet]

13-3 using this yesterday, just sayin.

Tailing you now if you don't mind....lol

[Allsportscapper]

I have Oregon left

[Allsportscapper]

james is a terrible system play i didn't play we just have to pay attention to this thing on why it back fired

[Beetlejuice]

I have Oregon left

Oregon was making me nervous right before that streak. I think we'll be ok in the next half. Bean talks about there being a strong second half play on the selected team for some reason. I personally haven't witnessed this, but I've only been using this for a day, plus, I'm betting on a lot of non-televised games/games I don't get where I'm at.

[BeanTownClown88]

I was dumb for doing pitt and my 1h cincy pick..just wanted action..thank god caps held out! system lookin good so far, I like that the one pick we all agreed on, Wisc Milwaukee crushed it.

[AOSpades]

Feeling the electricity of the oregon st game. I think we'll be alright.

[BeanTownClown88]

Oregon was making me nervous right before that streak. I think we'll be ok in the next half. Bean talks about there being a strong second half play on the selected team for some reason. I personally haven't witnessed this, but I've only been using this for a day, plus, I'm betting on a lot of non-televised games/games I don't get where I'm at.

So far so good for Oregon! im sweating out Bowling Green +3

[Allsportscapper]

Look at james coming back nice !!!!

[JonEJet]

[JonEJet]

Please no OT

[JonEJet]

Boom....thanks guys

[Beetlejuice]

A good day for the system! 2-0 for me today, see ya tomorrow!

[ZedsDead]

Great thread, been lurking for a few days. Went 8-2 between yesterday and today. The system has worked wonderfully for Milwaukee and Oregon State today. Good luck gents, lets see what tomorrow holds!

[Beetlejuice]

Bean, we have to start experimenting and retro-test some equations for NCCA FB, I'll work on this shit all summer if it produces similar results.

[AOSpades]

4-0 on the day. Makes up for my 1-4 day yesterday. Loving the system and this little consultation group we have going here lol

[BeanTownClown88]

i had a good day today too. I would love to know, I just think it will be a pain generating the home and away avg point totals for each week since Im not sure if they are on the web anywhere.

[AOSpades]

i had a good day today too. I would love to know, I just think it will be a pain generating the home and away avg point totals for each week since Im not sure if they are on the web anywhere.

Right, that's why I think it's next to impossible to backtest a system like this.

[Beetlejuice]

i had a good day today too. I would love to know, I just think it will be a pain generating the home and away avg point totals for each week since Im not sure if they are on the web anywhere.

But I'd first like to start with maybe WHICH DATA we'd be plugging into an NCAA FB equation. And how come this doesn't work for NBA, and if so, how do you know that?

[nilllzzz]

i had a good day today too. I would love to know, I just think it will be a pain generating the home and away avg point totals for each week since Im not sure if they are on the web anywhere.

I

hey, im pretty new to sportsbetting so i was basically just following some of the picks here until i had some success in the past 2 days with your system.

today i tried something new by betting for first half spreads with system numbers and first half ratios from covers.com where u can see all needed stats for the system and a lot more.

so far went 3-1 with my picks today so im really looking forward for tomorrows picks.

[theforce]

Went ahead and calculated for tomorrow... first number is what system gives, 2nd is the actual line

Northeastern @ Delaware -5.5/-6.5
Xavier @ Villanova -9.5/-10
UNCW @ Drexel -6.5/-11
Notre Dame @ Syracuse -9/-13
Georgetown @ Depaul -3.5/+5
Iowa St @ Oklahoma St -11.5/-6
Iona @ Monmouth -2/+6.5
St Peters @ Manhattan -7/-13.5
Fairfield @ Rider -7/-9.5
Montana @ Montana St -8/+1
South Alabama @ Georgia St -11/-13.5
Samford @ Furman -7.5/+1
Hampton @ Morgan St -6.5/-4.5
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -9.5/-5.5

[Fins007]

This system produced another great day! I'm happy I received good suggestions for the plays, however, still kicking myself
for not playing Penn St, Bowling Green and Indiana......Pitt was the only real loser and the Cincy game was what we thought.....
Stay away.....too close to call and South Florida somehow covered on the road.......I went 3-0 and the stats are on the SBR site for the NBA. I think we can use those stats......Will be working on Mondays games......Once again Thanks!!!......

[AOSpades]

Went ahead and calculated for tomorrow... first number is what system gives, 2nd is the actual line

Northeastern @ Delaware -5.5/-6.5
Xavier @ Villanova -9.5/-10
UNCW @ Drexel -6.5/-11
Notre Dame @ Syracuse -9/-13
Georgetown @ Depaul -3.5/+5
Iowa St @ Oklahoma St -11.5/-6
Iona @ Monmouth -2/+6.5
St Peters @ Manhattan -7/-13.5
Fairfield @ Rider -7/-9.5
Montana @ Montana St -8/+1
South Alabama @ Georgia St -11/-13.5
Samford @ Furman -7.5/+1
Hampton @ Morgan St -6.5/-4.5
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -9.5/-5.5

Yup got the same numbers, slightly different actual lines. I'm using a threshold of a difference of 3 points, so it looks like the statistically correct plays tmo are as follows..

UNCW +10.5
Notre Dame +12.5
Depaul +5
Oklahoma State -6
Monmouth +6.5
St Peters +13.5
Montana State +1
Furman +1
Alabama AM -5

Have at it boys.

[theforce]

That's a shit load of games. I may try to whittle that list down some.

[AOSpades]

That's a shit load of games. I may try to whittle that list down some.

Yea I'm not suggesting to bet on all of those games. I'm just saying we should start with analyzing those to see where the good plays are

[Fins007]

The response to the system is Excellent and good Karma.....When it all shakes out Monday's plays are 2 categories (what I have):

3 possessions from threshold of 2:

Furman
Montana St
St. Peter's

2 possessions from 2

Rider
Notre Dame
Monmouth
UncW

I'm leaning towards 3 possession category (still good with a higher threshold) only - Furman, Montana St and St. Peter's......All other matchups are a crapshoot.. Have to discuss injuries, outside experts etc. Any thoughts??

[theforce]

How do you come up with these categories?

[Fins007]

I'm using 2 point baskets when creating a threshold.....You can use 3's if you want or a combo......According to the system my first
category it will take at least 3 two point baskets to offset the difference in the line vs threshold.....In the second category, it will
take 2 two point baskets to offset the difference in the line vs threshold......As I mentioned, you can use 3's if you want (everyone sets their own threshold and risk tolerance).....This is why the 1st category are the best plays it takes into an account at least 1 three point basket and a two point basket or three two's (what I use).....Two possessions or more from your threshold is optimum.....Hope it helps

[theforce]

I'm probably going to cut UNCW... this will be their third road game in a row and Drexel has owned them in the past. The one thing UNCW has going is the fact that in the month of January, they only lost 2 games by 11 points or more, but one of those games was to Drexel at home by 16.

[wizcodlifa]

what yall think about the iowa st/ okie st game??

[Allsportscapper]

I thought this system is for home team only ?

[Fins007]

Ok St is a borderline call in this system. Only makes the threshold by about a point bucket with current line.....Your probably best
just throwing it out altogether........There are better games to be had......We discussed Monday's games in previous posts.

[Fins007]

I thought this system is for home team only ?

The system appears to favor home teams but if you look at the system, get the current line, use outside experts you could get a dog
that fits the system as well.....Examples include Cincy vs South Florida........SF was a 14 point dog and covered on the road. It doesn't happen often but Notre Dame and St. Peter's as possible leans tonight with this system.....They may eventually get thrown out but they do meet the criteria.......Hope it helps.

[JonEJet]

Have to discuss injuries, outside experts etc. Any thoughts??

How does Depaul not make it into one of your categories?

[ZedsDead]

DePaul does make it into the system but with their two top scorers probably out (Cleveland Melvin, Billy Garrett Jr) it's not an advised play. McKinney is also doubtful for DePaul.