LTA's NBA Plays for Round 2, Conf. Finals & Championship

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  • Love The Action
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-08-10
    • 10952

    #351

    Florida ml (-108) 1.5x
    Baltimore ml (-108) 1.5x
    Cws ml (+ 100) 1.5x
    Lad/pit under (7.5) 1x
    Wash/atlanta under (7.5) 1x
    Cubs/cards under (7.5) .5x

    All locked



    Work delayed my posting...bol...
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #352
      Originally posted by skaterplayer808
      yo lta, i'm on the under for a pretty big chunk and am also riding with hawks +8.5 and bulls winning the next two games. there's a slim window that bulls win by 8 or less or that bet pretty much cancels out assuming bulls actually do win the next two games. what's your thoughts man?
      Good luck...I lean bulls on the side but no play for me...hope you cash both!
      Comment
      • Love The Action
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-08-10
        • 10952

        #353
        Originally posted by Love The Action

        Florida ml (-108) 1.5x
        Baltimore ml (-108) 1.5x
        Cws ml (+ 100) 1.5x
        Lad/pit under (7.5) 1x
        Wash/atlanta under (7.5) 1x
        Cubs/cards under (7.5) .5x

        All locked



        Work delayed my posting...bol...
        Also have strong leans, but probably won't play pit ml, wash ml, cubs ml, toronto ml, houston ml, mets over, and philly under. Good luck tonight
        Comment
        • mick13x
          SBR Rookie
          • 04-29-11
          • 22

          #354
          Once again no defense. We need some help.
          Comment
          • lurk
            SBR Hustler
            • 05-02-11
            • 79

            #355
            defense going strong in 2nd q, pace seems to be slowing down a bit too
            Comment
            • Love The Action
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-08-10
              • 10952

              #356
              Relax guys...they are projected to hit 180 as we speak. Plus, it will slow down even further the 2h. We are just fine. Don't forget, these games start quickly and end slow. Just keep the faith and stay confident. Positive thinking brings positive results. Hang in there...
              Comment
              • lurk
                SBR Hustler
                • 05-02-11
                • 79

                #357
                haha...just what I was thinking, took u187.5 live a couple times
                Comment
                • Love The Action
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-08-10
                  • 10952

                  #358
                  These teams are both shooting over 50% and it's still close. I don't expect them to shoot as well in the 2h. If they do, then we just have to tip our hat to an unbelievably great shooting night, just like with the Dallas game.
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962

                    #359
                    Originally posted by Love The Action
                    These teams are both shooting over 50% and it's still close. I don't expect them to shoot as well in the 2h. If they do, then we just have to tip our hat to an unbelievably great shooting night, just like with the Dallas game.
                    The games that you're talking about with the Under following a game where they give up 100+ have also typically higher scoring in the 1H. If that holds true today, 81 points with 2:43 left is looking great for the final going well under the 181. I bought the U187.5 live as well. Feeling great about both plays cashing easily.

                    Lots of long possessions and low % shots being taken in the 2Q...
                    Comment
                    • Love The Action
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 10952

                      #360
                      Originally posted by suicidekings
                      The games that you're talking about with the Under following a game where they give up 100+ have also typically higher scoring in the 1H. If that holds true today, 81 points with 2:43 left is looking great for the final going well under the 181. I bought the U187.5 live as well. Feeling great about both plays cashing easily.

                      Lots of long possessions and low % shots being taken in the 2Q...
                      Wish my local offered live betting -- I would feel great about having the 187.5 number. My two locals both provide great online web applications, however, live betting is one of the few wagers I cannot make. I am currently looking to expand my outs and begin using a third local that I was just hooked up with, but I'm not not sure he offers live betting either.

                      As a US citizen, I just don't want to go through the hassle and risk of using offshore books. That's the problem with US laws, they are actually forcing us to use illegal outs, rather than legalization, taxation and regulation of the bookmaking market in the US. The US government is so unbelievably out of touch with what its citizens actually want.

                      Anyway, good luck with your live play. Let's hope the final is in the 160's or 170's and we both cash. I fully expect a repeat of what we saw yesterday in the Heat/Celts game, in that we should see emphasis on half court offense and defensive intensity (especially down low).
                      Comment
                      • Love The Action
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-08-10
                        • 10952

                        #361
                        I think losing Heinrich was the best thing to happen to the Hawks. They are much more aggressive and his ability on offense was sorely needed by this time. Unfortunately, for our under play, he is very aggressive and difficult to defend when he drives to the hoop. Hopefully, the bulls can figure out a way to neutralize Teague.
                        Comment
                        • Love The Action
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-08-10
                          • 10952

                          #362
                          Going to need 43 points or less. I really can't believe the Hawks are shooting over 54% and the Bulls 48%. Hopefully, we see a slow fourth and not the 52 point, fast-paced fourth quarter of game 4. Fingers crossed. Good luck guys.
                          Comment
                          • Love The Action
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 10952

                            #363
                            LOL, here we go with phantom foul calls for which there was no contact...
                            Comment
                            • suicidekings
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-23-09
                              • 9962

                              #364
                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                              LOL, here we go with phantom foul calls for which there was no contact...
                              Pinny offering 184.5, with the current score at 161 and 6 minutes left. It might be close, but I still like the U181 to cash. Bulls are in lockdown mode.
                              Comment
                              • Love The Action
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 10952

                                #365
                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                Pinny offering 184.5, with the current score at 161 and 6 minutes left. It might be close, but I still like the 181 to cash. Bulls are in lockdown mode.



                                Agreed...I just hate when the refs take over and disrupt the flow of the game. Whether I have a wager on the under or not, I don't want to see ticky tack fouls. Let them play...
                                Comment
                                • suicidekings
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-23-09
                                  • 9962

                                  #366
                                  Originally posted by Love The Action
                                  Agreed...I just hate when the refs take over and disrupt the flow of the game. Whether I have a wager on the under or not, I don't want to see ticky tack fouls. Let them play...
                                  Well Rose got away with a hard foul on Teague there. It's the hometown MVP call. Love it. The Bulls just need to maintain the 10+ point lead and make it pointless for the Hawks to foul down the stretch.
                                  Comment
                                  • suicidekings
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-23-09
                                    • 9962

                                    #367
                                    Winner Winner Chicken Dinner. Nice call.
                                    Comment
                                    • hawley
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-10-10
                                      • 14270

                                      #368
                                      We got it


                                      After being on both unders yesterday I thought I was going to be done over again
                                      Comment
                                      • Love The Action
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-08-10
                                        • 10952

                                        #369
                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                        Winner Winner Chicken Dinner. Nice call.
                                        Thanks! Glad you cashed as well
                                        Comment
                                        • Love The Action
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 10952

                                          #370
                                          Originally posted by hawley
                                          We got it


                                          After being on both unders yesterday I thought I was going to be done over again

                                          LOL, I know. We had to sweat this one out, but all's well that ends well. Glad you cashed too Hawley!
                                          Comment
                                          • migz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-11-10
                                            • 1160

                                            #371
                                            WTF, that was so fvcken close. Whew
                                            Comment
                                            • tom1234
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 08-06-09
                                              • 325

                                              #372
                                              Yes baby , thanks LTA
                                              Comment
                                              • Love The Action
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 10952

                                                #373
                                                Originally posted by migz
                                                WTF, that was so fvcken close. Whew
                                                Win by 3 or by 13, it's all money in our accounts!
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #374
                                                  Originally posted by tom1234
                                                  Yes baby , thanks LTA

                                                  Comment
                                                  • dude_bg
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-01-10
                                                    • 376

                                                    #375
                                                    Great one! i was thinking i am going on a cold streak at one point, but last minutes were good for us
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Love The Action
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 10952

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by dude_bg
                                                      Great one! i was thinking i am going on a cold streak at one point, but last minutes were good for us

                                                      Haha, we all doubt our plays at one time or another. But you really do need to keep the faith. I am a firm believer in positive thinking and confidence in your own capping process.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • migz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-11-10
                                                        • 1160

                                                        #377
                                                        Thanks, LTA. Will you have another big play coming up for elim. games?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Love The Action
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 11-08-10
                                                          • 10952

                                                          #378
                                                          Originally posted by migz
                                                          Thanks, LTA. Will you have another big play coming up for elim. games?
                                                          I do not forsee another 10 unit play tomorrow. I need to look at a few things in the Miami/Celtic game and that could possibly be a 5x play. I really don't have a lean in the OKC/Mem game yet.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Love The Action
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-08-10
                                                            • 10952

                                                            #379
                                                            What does everyone like for the totals in the Heat/Celts and OKC/Mem games tomorrow?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • suicidekings
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-23-09
                                                              • 9962

                                                              #380
                                                              Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                              What does everyone like for the totals in the Heat/Celts and OKC/Mem games tomorrow?
                                                              I feel like Miami Team Total O91 has a really good chance of hitting, along with the MIA 1Q-2, 1H-3.5, GM -7.

                                                              The OKC total is too volatile for me. I can't decide if the 3OT and improvements on defense will keep it under or if the floodgates are open now for the rest of the series. Memphis doesn't know how to play a grind-it-out defensive game, so I'm pretty sure it will be another shootout as they both know that the team that wins this game will almost definitely take the series.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Krazymojo
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-01-10
                                                                • 444

                                                                #381
                                                                Originally posted by Love The Action
                                                                What does everyone like for the totals in the Heat/Celts and OKC/Mem games tomorrow?
                                                                The over in the Heat/Celts and Under in OKC/Mem.........Rondo not playin 100% one of their key defenders and 181 low for those two teams
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hawley
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-10-10
                                                                  • 14270

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Thunder / Grizz totals have got me every game so far except the one that went well under.

                                                                  At this stage I have little idea about either

                                                                  I have been on the heat under every game I think but im not so sure about tomorrow
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hawley
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 05-10-10
                                                                    • 14270

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Originally posted by Krazymojo
                                                                    The over in the Heat/Celts and Under in OKC/Mem.........Rondo not playin 100% one of their key defenders and 181 low for those two teams


                                                                    Why is 181 total low?

                                                                    both teams are defensive minded teams
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Krazymojo
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-01-10
                                                                      • 444

                                                                      #384
                                                                      ok guess i shouldnt have put that in there but had the Bulls under today at 181 and it was 3 under yay winner but was sweating it I see Wade going off this game with them wanting to end it in their court spread is 7 so ray ray gonna b shooting somme 3s to get them close and ever since the trade deadline Celts jus have not been the same
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Love The Action
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                                        • 10952

                                                                        #385
                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                        I feel like Miami Team Total O91 has a really good chance of hitting, along with the MIA 1Q-2, 1H-3.5, GM -7.

                                                                        The OKC total is too volatile for me. I can't decide if the 3OT and improvements on defense will keep it under or if the floodgates are open now for the rest of the series. Memphis doesn't know how to play a grind-it-out defensive game, so I'm pretty sure it will be another shootout as they both know that the team that wins this game will almost definitely take the series.
                                                                        The Heat play a faster pace and with more confidence when at home. If the Heat are getting to the free throw line consistently, the under will have a difficult time and the Miami TT over has a great chance of hitting. That is actually what is holding me back from pulling the trigger on the game under at the moment.

                                                                        I must agree with you on the OKC/Mem total. I've stayed away from the last couple games, and it seems I made the right choice. You just don't know which teams are going to show up. I think we can expect both teams to push the pace in this particular elimination game. I just have a very difficult time taking an over in these late-series, elimination games.

                                                                        I will be interested to see where the lines go. You have 80%+ of all bets on the over in both games, yet both lines dropped a half point immediately upon opening and Pinny is currently juicing the under at -110, while giving the over away at +100. Therefore, it would seem they are getting more money on the under at that moment, despite the overall amount of bets on the over. Always a good sign, but we have also seen this on every over that has hit in the Heat/Celts series so we can't put too much stock in this phenomenon.

                                                                        Good luck on your plays tomorrow.
                                                                        Comment
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