Florida ml (-108) 1.5x
Baltimore ml (-108) 1.5x
Cws ml (+ 100) 1.5x
Lad/pit under (7.5) 1x
Wash/atlanta under (7.5) 1x
Cubs/cards under (7.5) .5x
All locked
Work delayed my posting...bol...
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#352
Originally posted by skaterplayer808
yo lta, i'm on the under for a pretty big chunk and am also riding with hawks +8.5 and bulls winning the next two games. there's a slim window that bulls win by 8 or less or that bet pretty much cancels out assuming bulls actually do win the next two games. what's your thoughts man?
Good luck...I lean bulls on the side but no play for me...hope you cash both!
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#353
Originally posted by Love The Action
Florida ml (-108) 1.5x
Baltimore ml (-108) 1.5x
Cws ml (+ 100) 1.5x
Lad/pit under (7.5) 1x
Wash/atlanta under (7.5) 1x
Cubs/cards under (7.5) .5x
All locked
Work delayed my posting...bol...
Also have strong leans, but probably won't play pit ml, wash ml, cubs ml, toronto ml, houston ml, mets over, and philly under. Good luck tonight
Comment
mick13x
SBR Rookie
04-29-11
22
#354
Once again no defense. We need some help.
Comment
lurk
SBR Hustler
05-02-11
79
#355
defense going strong in 2nd q, pace seems to be slowing down a bit too
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#356
Relax guys...they are projected to hit 180 as we speak. Plus, it will slow down even further the 2h. We are just fine. Don't forget, these games start quickly and end slow. Just keep the faith and stay confident. Positive thinking brings positive results. Hang in there...
Comment
lurk
SBR Hustler
05-02-11
79
#357
haha...just what I was thinking, took u187.5 live a couple times
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#358
These teams are both shooting over 50% and it's still close. I don't expect them to shoot as well in the 2h. If they do, then we just have to tip our hat to an unbelievably great shooting night, just like with the Dallas game.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#359
Originally posted by Love The Action
These teams are both shooting over 50% and it's still close. I don't expect them to shoot as well in the 2h. If they do, then we just have to tip our hat to an unbelievably great shooting night, just like with the Dallas game.
The games that you're talking about with the Under following a game where they give up 100+ have also typically higher scoring in the 1H. If that holds true today, 81 points with 2:43 left is looking great for the final going well under the 181. I bought the U187.5 live as well. Feeling great about both plays cashing easily.
Lots of long possessions and low % shots being taken in the 2Q...
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#360
Originally posted by suicidekings
The games that you're talking about with the Under following a game where they give up 100+ have also typically higher scoring in the 1H. If that holds true today, 81 points with 2:43 left is looking great for the final going well under the 181. I bought the U187.5 live as well. Feeling great about both plays cashing easily.
Lots of long possessions and low % shots being taken in the 2Q...
Wish my local offered live betting -- I would feel great about having the 187.5 number. My two locals both provide great online web applications, however, live betting is one of the few wagers I cannot make. I am currently looking to expand my outs and begin using a third local that I was just hooked up with, but I'm not not sure he offers live betting either.
As a US citizen, I just don't want to go through the hassle and risk of using offshore books. That's the problem with US laws, they are actually forcing us to use illegal outs, rather than legalization, taxation and regulation of the bookmaking market in the US. The US government is so unbelievably out of touch with what its citizens actually want.
Anyway, good luck with your live play. Let's hope the final is in the 160's or 170's and we both cash. I fully expect a repeat of what we saw yesterday in the Heat/Celts game, in that we should see emphasis on half court offense and defensive intensity (especially down low).
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#361
I think losing Heinrich was the best thing to happen to the Hawks. They are much more aggressive and his ability on offense was sorely needed by this time. Unfortunately, for our under play, he is very aggressive and difficult to defend when he drives to the hoop. Hopefully, the bulls can figure out a way to neutralize Teague.
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#362
Going to need 43 points or less. I really can't believe the Hawks are shooting over 54% and the Bulls 48%. Hopefully, we see a slow fourth and not the 52 point, fast-paced fourth quarter of game 4. Fingers crossed. Good luck guys.
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#363
LOL, here we go with phantom foul calls for which there was no contact...
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#364
Originally posted by Love The Action
LOL, here we go with phantom foul calls for which there was no contact...
Pinny offering 184.5, with the current score at 161 and 6 minutes left. It might be close, but I still like the U181 to cash. Bulls are in lockdown mode.
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#365
Originally posted by suicidekings
Pinny offering 184.5, with the current score at 161 and 6 minutes left. It might be close, but I still like the 181 to cash. Bulls are in lockdown mode.
Agreed...I just hate when the refs take over and disrupt the flow of the game. Whether I have a wager on the under or not, I don't want to see ticky tack fouls. Let them play...
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#366
Originally posted by Love The Action
Agreed...I just hate when the refs take over and disrupt the flow of the game. Whether I have a wager on the under or not, I don't want to see ticky tack fouls. Let them play...
Well Rose got away with a hard foul on Teague there. It's the hometown MVP call. Love it. The Bulls just need to maintain the 10+ point lead and make it pointless for the Hawks to foul down the stretch.
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#367
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner. Nice call.
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#368
We got it
After being on both unders yesterday I thought I was going to be done over again
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#369
Originally posted by suicidekings
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner. Nice call.
Thanks! Glad you cashed as well
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#370
Originally posted by hawley
We got it
After being on both unders yesterday I thought I was going to be done over again
LOL, I know. We had to sweat this one out, but all's well that ends well. Glad you cashed too Hawley!
Comment
migz
SBR MVP
02-11-10
1160
#371
WTF, that was so fvcken close. Whew
Comment
tom1234
SBR Sharp
08-06-09
325
#372
Yes baby , thanks LTA
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#373
Originally posted by migz
WTF, that was so fvcken close. Whew
Win by 3 or by 13, it's all money in our accounts!
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#374
Originally posted by tom1234
Yes baby , thanks LTA
Comment
dude_bg
SBR Sharp
09-01-10
376
#375
Great one! i was thinking i am going on a cold streak at one point, but last minutes were good for us
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#376
Originally posted by dude_bg
Great one! i was thinking i am going on a cold streak at one point, but last minutes were good for us
Haha, we all doubt our plays at one time or another. But you really do need to keep the faith. I am a firm believer in positive thinking and confidence in your own capping process.
Comment
migz
SBR MVP
02-11-10
1160
#377
Thanks, LTA. Will you have another big play coming up for elim. games?
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#378
Originally posted by migz
Thanks, LTA. Will you have another big play coming up for elim. games?
I do not forsee another 10 unit play tomorrow. I need to look at a few things in the Miami/Celtic game and that could possibly be a 5x play. I really don't have a lean in the OKC/Mem game yet.
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#379
What does everyone like for the totals in the Heat/Celts and OKC/Mem games tomorrow?
Comment
suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#380
Originally posted by Love The Action
What does everyone like for the totals in the Heat/Celts and OKC/Mem games tomorrow?
I feel like Miami Team Total O91 has a really good chance of hitting, along with the MIA 1Q-2, 1H-3.5, GM -7.
The OKC total is too volatile for me. I can't decide if the 3OT and improvements on defense will keep it under or if the floodgates are open now for the rest of the series. Memphis doesn't know how to play a grind-it-out defensive game, so I'm pretty sure it will be another shootout as they both know that the team that wins this game will almost definitely take the series.
Comment
Krazymojo
SBR Sharp
12-01-10
444
#381
Originally posted by Love The Action
What does everyone like for the totals in the Heat/Celts and OKC/Mem games tomorrow?
The over in the Heat/Celts and Under in OKC/Mem.........Rondo not playin 100% one of their key defenders and 181 low for those two teams
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#382
Thunder / Grizz totals have got me every game so far except the one that went well under.
At this stage I have little idea about either
I have been on the heat under every game I think but im not so sure about tomorrow
Comment
hawley
SBR Posting Legend
05-10-10
14270
#383
Originally posted by Krazymojo
The over in the Heat/Celts and Under in OKC/Mem.........Rondo not playin 100% one of their key defenders and 181 low for those two teams
Why is 181 total low?
both teams are defensive minded teams
Comment
Krazymojo
SBR Sharp
12-01-10
444
#384
ok guess i shouldnt have put that in there but had the Bulls under today at 181 and it was 3 under yay winner but was sweating it I see Wade going off this game with them wanting to end it in their court spread is 7 so ray ray gonna b shooting somme 3s to get them close and ever since the trade deadline Celts jus have not been the same
Comment
Love The Action
SBR Posting Legend
11-08-10
10952
#385
Originally posted by suicidekings
I feel like Miami Team Total O91 has a really good chance of hitting, along with the MIA 1Q-2, 1H-3.5, GM -7.
The OKC total is too volatile for me. I can't decide if the 3OT and improvements on defense will keep it under or if the floodgates are open now for the rest of the series. Memphis doesn't know how to play a grind-it-out defensive game, so I'm pretty sure it will be another shootout as they both know that the team that wins this game will almost definitely take the series.
The Heat play a faster pace and with more confidence when at home. If the Heat are getting to the free throw line consistently, the under will have a difficult time and the Miami TT over has a great chance of hitting. That is actually what is holding me back from pulling the trigger on the game under at the moment.
I must agree with you on the OKC/Mem total. I've stayed away from the last couple games, and it seems I made the right choice. You just don't know which teams are going to show up. I think we can expect both teams to push the pace in this particular elimination game. I just have a very difficult time taking an over in these late-series, elimination games.
I will be interested to see where the lines go. You have 80%+ of all bets on the over in both games, yet both lines dropped a half point immediately upon opening and Pinny is currently juicing the under at -110, while giving the over away at +100. Therefore, it would seem they are getting more money on the under at that moment, despite the overall amount of bets on the over. Always a good sign, but we have also seen this on every over that has hit in the Heat/Celts series so we can't put too much stock in this phenomenon.