Nba_Brosuf mid season to finals cherry picking

[NBA_Brosuf]

why you even make this thread you are public man)))))))))))) any way enjoy what ever you do))))
it must be suck, loosing a bet after a big write up)

This thread is my journey into the world of NBA gambling. I did not make this thread so people can follow or tail or what not.

My write up gives me a reason to why I'm betting that way. Have you done a write up yourself?

Everybody is public the moment they bet because our bets are not that unique. There are a tons of us out there who bet the same sides that we are and if you think you are not the public then you are a fool. You are betting on the same side as the lesser minority public that's all. LOL

[lailalicious]

This thread is my journey into the world of NBA gambling. I did not make this thread so people can follow or tail or what not.

My write up gives me a reason to why I'm betting that way. Have you done a write up yourself?

Everybody is public the moment they bet because our bets are not that unique. There are a tons of us out there who bet the same sides that we are and if you think you are not the public then you are a fool. You are betting on the same side as the lesser minority public that's all. LOL

Well said.

[nbaprofosor]

enjoy the journey bro.stay around tho i love the read all writes up.
let me guest you gone pick
miami @ celtic =over right
you have to remeber one thing the man goes casino, he loses.gambler loses,do you know why????

[alanspoil]

good luck today, Brosuf

[NBA_Brosuf]

enjoy the journey bro.stay around tho i love the read all writes up.
let me guest you gone pick
miami @ celtic =over right
you have to remeber one thing the man goes casino, he loses.gambler loses,do you know why????

I already picked the over when the line came out already. I already know that gambling is a risk and with risk come loses. Casino has the house advantage but we can chip away those house advantages with a system of play. Losing is a part of life. You don't win if you do not learn from your lost. You don't learn if you do not log a write up and figure out later to where you are wrong.

Why people lose most of the time? Well it is because they don't change their habits and it is hard to change habits when you do not see yourself from a 3rd eye position.

You see something odd? Do let me know so I can change to become a winner.

[NBA_Brosuf]

When obvious is not so obvious. Memphis is good at home right? They are good against the spread right?

Was it not that OKC had a double figure lead in game 3 but choked and let memphis stole game 3 away from them? It then shows that OKC is the better team but bad at closing the deal.

Okc knows that a win tonight is a must win for them. They win tonight and taking it back to okc for game 5 and they will be in a better shape and it all starts tonight.

OKC +2 for the win 4U

I'm betting to lose on purpose by the way. I been betting to win and end up losing. Now what if I bet on losing on purpose but end up winning? Gotta change your style and stop betting with your emotion is the way to go.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Boston game over 181 3U winner

I'm keeping my composure and not chasing after a loss and not going on tilt.

I'm seeing that to get 181, both teams need to shoot about 90 points each. In all 3 games, both teams are able to shell out 90 points each except for game 3 by Miami who only scored 81. This here shows that it is possible for both teams to hit their 90 points mark for the over to hit.

I'm tired of hearing this under in playoff with defense bureaucrat mumbo jumbo. It didn't happen in the dallas elimination game nor did it happen in the chicago bull blow out game so over and under are capable of hitting in this second round.

I'm expecting Miami to adjust and recover from their poor shooting in the last game and improve their scores. James only had 15 points. Kind of low there son. The only thing that is scary is Boston were shooting lights out by GArnett and Pierce and Anthony and the score is only 97 points. I'm not expecting for them to shoot well in the next game so a loss of points can be seen here.

The over and under trend is peculiar in this one.

The last 10 times these two teams played with the recent on top, it looks like this.

game 4 ?????
u
o
o
u
u
O
u
u
o
o

With the exception for the one in bold, it looks like the sequence is a stacking uu/oo. This game 4 here is asking for another under to follow the sequence but I'm betting that such sequence will break somehow. Maybe it will not break the sequence in game 4 but if the sequence continues to follows, I will bet the other way in game 5 on the under.

Lets see how fruity I'm capping this total in the most oddest ways in hoping to get a break from my slump.

Even sbr forums best cappers can't help me, who is going to help me now? I'll just help myself until I finally give up. LOL

It is now in OT and I'm counting my chicken before they hatch. Following sequence actually works. Who would have thought?

Playoffs record 30-36-1 +22u left to play

[NBA_Brosuf]

When obvious is not so obvious. Memphis is good at home right? They are good against the spread right?

Was it not that OKC had a double figure lead in game 3 but choked and let memphis stole game 3 away from them? It then shows that OKC is the better team but bad at closing the deal.

Okc knows that a win tonight is a must win for them. They win tonight and taking it back to okc for game 5 and they will be in a better shape and it all starts tonight.

OKC +2 for the win 4U winner

I'm betting to lose on purpose by the way. I been betting to win and end up losing. Now what if I bet on losing on purpose but end up winning? Gotta change your style and stop betting with your emotion is the way to go.

Memphis played better though. They were moving the ball well and points are being distributed all around. Whoever has that ball, you know they are going to score somehow. OKC on the other hand, they played like a street ball group. You don't know if they'll make their shots and if they do, what a lucky shot and how much luck do you need to win on luck alone? The hell is wrong with that westbrook guy? Pass the ball around to fool the defense there son. We all know that you are going to drive that ball in OT and hoping to catch a lucky shot with all white Jersey guarding you.

Playoffs record 31-36-1 +26u left to play

[NBA_Brosuf]

Weds game is a good game to chase with them heat. I believe the playoff record of a team playing at home and is 3-1 has a good shot at winning the series so bet on Heat, no matter what the spread is on weds OK? Bet with confidence.

If Heat loses at home, double up and bet on them again in Boston. If loses, bet on Heat again at home and triple up your money.

Martingale this chase is good. Easy money

No guarantee betting on these other games at 2-2. I might play the total and that is about it. I lost all faith in Chicago for the rest of the way.

[alanspoil]

gl on your plays today

[NBA_Brosuf]

Key pointers for the chicago game totals

1. Rose 1st and 2nd game, he pushes out scores in the 20's. In game 3 and 4, he ditches out 30's and 40's. Looks like the kid is getting better and getting better in scoring will pushes for the over. (+) value

2. All them great cappers on sbr are playing the under. (-) value

3. In game 4, 3 of ATL players scored in the 20's. This game here will be in the house of Chicago and I'm expecting for that number to drop. Maybe 1 or 2 will hit their 20's. (-) value

4. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Chicago. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago, (+) value

5. In this series alone, the over is 3-1. (+) value

6. When the total is set at 181, it went under (-) value

7. Sequence trend in the last 7 games looking like this.

game 5???
0
0
u
o
o
u
u

The sequence there shows that these two teams when played, they have not had a 3 consecutive OOO or UUU. Also, the sequence is pushing for the U because it wants to look pretty with the sequence. 3 in a row has to hit somehow. Why not tonight? (+)

Key note: if it hits under tonight, next game, bet the under as well and double up. Elimination game factors plus sequence breaking factor.

8. ATL in last game is 4-11 and Chicago is 3-16 behind the arc. This here leaves room for improvements and improvements mean more points for the over (+) value.

9. Hawks shot 49% and Chicago shot 41%. Expecting for Hawk to shoot poorer and Chicago is going to shoot better at home. (0) value.

10. ATL has not had a 100+ game back to back. (-) value.

11. In this series, Chicago averages about 92 points. ATL averages about 89.5. 89.5+92= 181.5 Vegas is good at throwing out these lines at 181 don't they? (0) value.

12. Line movement shows me nothing. It opens at 181 and now still stuck at 181 (0) value

13. It looks like ATL strategy to winning them bulls is to beat them on offense thus why you see them pushing the tempo. ATL wins when they get 100+ points and making more of their shots. With both game 1 and game 4 winner by ATL, they were shooting around the 50% marker from the field at around 79-80 attempts. When they loses, they shoot poor 3's and shot attempts were lower than 80. I'm smelling for them to push the tempo and doing so will push for more points as they burn less of the shot clock. (+) value.

14. The over trend in round 2 has been crazy lately. Ride the trend until it dies. (+)

So I have +7 and -4 which gives me a total of +3.

Since it is +3, I'm doing a small play here.

Chicago over 181 1U

[alanspoil]

Bettert today, good luck

[alanspoil]

Good luck today too.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Weds game is a good game to chase with them heat. I believe the playoff record of a team playing at home and is 3-1 has a good shot at winning the series so bet on Heat, no matter what the spread is on weds OK? Bet with confidence.

If Heat loses at home, double up and bet on them again in Boston. If loses, bet on Heat again at home and triple up your money.

Martingale this chase is good. Easy money

No guarantee betting on these other games at 2-2. I might play the total and that is about it. I lost all faith in Chicago for the rest of the way.

Winner on heat here but too bad I didn't play and totally forgot about my advance call on chasing the heat game. Oh well, at least the 3-1 stats still holds true.

chicago over 178.5 2U

Elimination game favors the under. (-)

Sequence is looking too pretty so lets unpretty it. It wants to go oou sequence or perhaps it wants to stack doubles like oo/uu. Oh well, who knows. LOL (0)

game 6???
u
0
0
u
o
o
u
u

The Hawks were 1-for-12 from 3-point range. I think they will do better which then points to more score and that leads to an over game (+)

Crawford 1-9. Expecting him to get more points than that (+)

Hawks shot just 29 percent in the fourth quarter. Improvement in this too (+)

Rose another 30+ points. He needs to choke somehow. (-)

Gibson was 5-for-5 from the field for his 11 points. Bogans contributed 11 points, making three of five 3-pointers. Lucky doesn't strike twice (-)

Jason Collins was useless and played only 14 minutes. Improvement on this (+)

Deng 23 points. He is mr hot and cold. Not gonna get 20 in this game deng (-)

Boozer 11 points. Kinda low there homeboy. Improvements coming (+)

Line dropping half a point favoring the under (-)

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 12 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 11 of Chicago's last 16 games when playing Atlanta. The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta. (+)

Both teams only took 70 to 71 shots in last game which causes a slightly under. They will improve this (+)

SBR cappers are on the under (-)

Both games in ATL went over (+)

+8 and -6 = +2

This seems like a no play for me but I'm chasing that 1U I lost the last time around. I'm playing the over since offense pushes the over and to win games, you need to push the tempo and score score score.

[alanspoil]

Better today, good luck

[NBA_Brosuf]

Playoffs record 31-38-1 +23u left to play

Guess I can't chase Chicago no more. I bet on Chicago and they burnt and failed me. I bet and depending on ATL to get them points and they failed me twice. I guess you can say that if you can cap a blow out game, it is riding on the under. Just like if there is an x-0 run, one side gets steady points and the other side just skunk and kill off the clock, it is heading for an under game. Good to know and sbr families were right most of the time.

Onto the nxt game

Looks like OKC is a high slinging squad. Throughout this series, they are hitting their 99+ points (except for that one game at 93), whether they win or lose. So lets say that OKC will put up another 100 points. That means memphis needs to drop 96 points for this over to hit. Can memphis do 96 points in this elimination game right here?

Elimination game tread the under. (-)

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games at home (+)

Memphis only shot 60% from the line and only had 2 made from behind the arc and 36% FG. They will improve on this which pushes for the over on their teams total (+)

Durant had 19 points and spent the whole 4th quarter on the bench. 19 is rather low there for the kid and he will get more today. Even when he had only 19 with limited times playing, they were able to pushed out 99 points. I smell a 100+ points coming in game 6. Zebo only had 9 points. He will get more in this next game for sure. Same thing with westbrook with 11 and 25 mins of playing time. (+)

SBR regulars are on the over too yeh (+)


+4 and -1 = +3 for an over play.

OKC game over 195.5 5U

[NBA_Brosuf]

memphis -1.5 2U

small play to fade the public who are on okc. Memphis is also a tough cookie when played at home.

Well we and the public all saw that okc blew memphis out of the sky in game 5. You lost and you want to be the fav? ha ha ha ha ha ha ..... So then the obvious bet is to take okc and the bonus points. Fade your own emotional self and take memphis.

OKC is in good shape right now. A win tonight, they'll take the win but if lose, they don't care either. They can then take it back to okc and their fans to play in game 7 for their fans so should okc even try tonight?

I'm just hoping that okc wins this and I don't have to chase this series anymore. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

buying okc game over 1 more U at 195

Line dropping half a point. Guess more money is riding on the under for the line to drop? I dunno

Following LTA and bought another unit on the over. Let's go gadget win.

[NBA_Brosuf]

buying okc game over 1 more U at 195

Line dropping half a point. Guess more money is riding on the under for the line to drop? I dunno

Following LTA and bought another unit on the over. Let's go gadget win.

Loser loser loser wahhhhh


Playoffs record 31-39-1 +17u left to play

zbo improved and durant skunk. West is just west.... Durant bricking from the 3 line. Durant is no 3 ball specialist.

Game 7, durant will do better for sure. West will be west and zbo is going to skunk a little bit. This game 6 here is just too sad to watch. Bricking and turn overs, fast break bricking with no foul. Nothing pushes for the over at all. Dayam, I lost 6U on this game alone. Ouch!!!!

[NBA_Brosuf]

memphis -1.5 2U winner

Playoffs record 32-39-1 +19u left to play

[nbaprofosor]

great calll champppppppppppppppppppppppp ..simply best capper in the town ( i got it this is what u need ha)

[alanspoil]

great play last night

[NBA_Brosuf]

OKC game over 191 4U

If you want a write up, look at LTA. He gave some key pointers and I like durant scoring more than what he did by hanging around the arc in the last game. OKC just choked 2nd half in the last game. It has the blue print for the over to hit but poor okc. Is OKC going to choke again at their home? No way. The only concern is memphis. If they choke, it is going under.

Chicago -2 2U

I'm going to chase this game here. Home team usually win either game 1 or game 2. If lose, bet on Chicago again and double up.

Chicago game over 180 1U

Line dropped 2.5 points since opener which means heavy money is on under. Fade the public perhaps?

Although, miami playing in chicago last 6 games, 5 of it went under. Stats pointing to the under. Is stats going to lie again? I dunno and I dun care. Give me 90 points per team.

[alanspoil]

With you on Chicago. GL

[nbaprofosor]

last time you said you were the public what happent now

[Anthonyg7]

Gl man.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Gl man.

Thanks ant. Needed all the luck I can get in this Okc game here. Been losing lately to whether I fade or tail.


OKC -1.5 (2H) 5U

Looks like OKC has an answer to stop zbo and looks like memphis is on route for another 77 point game where they lost by a ton.

Betting 5U to hopefully get something back for a possible loss on my over in the okc game. The tempo is fast but bricking and turn overs and missing 3's all answers for an under game.

Go big or go broke. Lets see what happen.

[nbaprofosor]

Thanks ant. Needed all the luck I can get in this Okc game here. Been losing lately to whether I fade or tail. OKC -1.5 (2H) 5U Looks like OKC has an answer to stop zbo and looks like memphis is on route for another 77 point game where they lost by a ton. Betting 5U to hopefully get something back for a possible loss on my over in the okc game. The tempo is fast but bricking and turn overs and missing 3's all answers for an under game. Go big or go broke. Lets see what happen.

now end of first half thunder leading 8 point .well you gone lose this one too mr champ...

[NBA_Brosuf]

now end of first half thunder leading 8 point .well you gone lose this one too mr champ...

Losing is a part of learning if you think about it.

Will I lose this one too? Maybe

Chicago +165 series 5U to win 8.25U

Good value plus GG and LTA is on it.

[nbaprofosor]

Losing is a part of learning if you think about it. Will I lose this one too? Maybe Chicago +165 series 5U to win 8.25U Good value plus GG and LTA is on it.

ok chicago to win series can hit but i thought i you said im fade material how come you are same side with me on cgicago any way g l..

[NBA_Brosuf]

ok chicago to win series can hit but i thought i you said im fade material how come you are same side with me on cgicago any way g l..

I only fade you sometime but only when you decide to take a long vacation after you lose.

Like I say, even the worst of them must eat that 1 game to stay alive.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dear hunney, I'm full. LOL

OKC game over 191 4U winner

anybody say the nba is rigged? How did that get over? Plenty of junk ball in the last minute eh? Under backers, you guy capped it right but lost to the amazing things happening again.

Playoffs record 33-39-1 +23u left to play

OKC -1.5 (2H) 5U winner

Playoffs record 34-39-1 +28u left to play

bye bye menpiss

[NBA_Brosuf]

I'm going to make a key note to myself in these last series and see how this model goes.

With Conference finals and finals, I'm betting that there will not be a sweep and the home team will win SU the least 1 out of 2 games in the first 4 games of the series.

-If pick, pick home team
-If win, quit until game 3 and 4 and bet on the other team

If lose, double up and repeat the bets on game 2.

Same thing with game 3 and 4. Bet home team. If win, quit. If lose, double up and repeat bets.

The only problem here is the spread. Might win SU but lose ATS.

My projection so far is this.

Game 1 Chicago 2U
Game 2 ???? 4U
Game 3 Heat 2U
Game 4 ??? 4U

Game 1 Dallas 2U
Game 2 ????? 4U
Game 3 OKC 2U
Game 4 ????? 4U

Will I be profitable? I hope so and if does, I am going to play this same system for next year for sure.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Chicago -2 2U winner

I'm going to chase this game here. Home team usually win either game 1 or game 2. If lose, bet on Chicago again and double up.

Chicago game over 180 1U winner

Line dropped 2.5 points since opener which means heavy money is on under. Fade the public perhaps?

Although, miami playing in chicago last 6 games, 5 of it went under. Stats pointing to the under. Is stats going to lie again? I dunno and I dun care. Give me 90 points per team.

Finally and about time I get a clean sweep.

Playoffs record 36-39-1 +31u left to play

[NBA_Brosuf]

I'm going to make a key note to myself in these last series and see how this model goes.

With Conference finals and finals, I'm betting that there will not be a sweep and the home team will win SU the least 1 out of 2 games in the first 4 games of the series.

-If pick, pick home team
-If win, quit until game 3 and 4 and bet on the other team

If lose, double up and repeat the bets on game 2.

Same thing with game 3 and 4. Bet home team. If win, quit. If lose, double up and repeat bets.

The only problem here is the spread. Might win SU but lose ATS.

My projection so far is this.

Game 1 Chicago 2U Winner
Game 2 ???? 4U NO PLAY
Game 3 Heat 2U
Game 4 ??? 4U

Game 1 Dallas 2U
Game 2 ????? 4U
Game 3 OKC 2U
Game 4 ????? 4U

Will I be profitable? I hope so and if does, I am going to play this same system for next year for sure.

Chicago winner in game 1 which means no play for me in game 2. I might play the total since the total has nothing to do with my system play here.