Nba_Brosuf mid season to finals cherry picking

[NBA_Brosuf]

Great call on that under...see, like I said, you just need to stick with your own calls. At the end of the day, you will feel better about it. Nothing is worse that liking one play, only to take the other side based on someone else's pick, and your original call turns out to be right.

Good luck on all of your plays tonight! However, I hope you are wrong about the overs in the Orl/Atl and Dal/Por games...I'm on the under in those...

So today, I'm going against you. Just my luck. Now, I'm chickened out with my bets all over again but I'm sticking to my bets but I will lay a small one though. When mine and yours collide and on same page, I'm going to drop a fat one. LOL

I'm capping totals by basing it on your strategy but you are at a level 9 with all them tricks of the trades and angles while I'm only at a level 2. I have so much to learn when I read other people's write ups and what not.

I have my Lakers write up in a few hours after I watch the line to get in where I fit in. LOL

Best of luck to us all.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Lakers under 184 5U

Lines opened at 184, been watching it to see if it goes up any higher when knowing that the public will be on the over and it dropped to 183 to 183.5 through out the day. Now I got it at 184 -105. Yeah baby. Less juice, more action.

The elimination game theory starts on game 6 and ends on game 7, this is game 6 for lakers/NO.

Same way I capped okc game by looking at their previous game,
-Six Lakers finished in double figures
-Pau Gasol had his best game
-Andrew Bynum logged his third double-double
-Trevor Ariza, who had a game-high 22 points, Marco Belinelli (21) and Chris Paul, who added 20 points and 12 assists
-The advantage the Lakers had on second-chance points (22-2)
-The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 8 games on the road

When lakers shoot 100+, it went over in this series. Last game, they had good stats and shot 106. 184 is game 6 total minus 106 = 78 so can NO give me 78 if Lakers be shooting lights out? First off, there is no way 6 lakers are going to repeat a double figures again on a back to back. Maybe in the regular season but this is the playoff and an elimination game so throw them defense up and start bricking. There is no way GAsol will have his best game on a back to back and there is no way Bynum will get another triple double double and there is no way Ariza will have a super duper game high for himself on a back to back game. Without lakers producing, they are not going to get another 100+ points game on a back to back. Lakers did not get a back to back 100+ game in this series. They had a super day last game but we all know that repeating a super day is against your favor to do so.

If everyone just come down to earth, it will be an under game. I think the public will be on the over from what they saw from last game. Little do the public knows, that is not how you cap games. LOL

I'm also buying my confidence by tailing BL and LTA which makes this my strong play for the night. Lets get um.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dallas game over 182 3U winner

Did anybody improved to help the over here? Did Kidd? Did dirk over 25 last game? Did wallace? like wow, thank you wallace. Did Aldrige went to the free throw lines more? All this add up to an over game.

Playoffs record 21-25-1 +16u left to play

Orlando game over 178 2U loser

smelling the water is gambling addicts way of not really really feeling it but he just can't help it but play it anyway. I need to learn how to play only of my best plays. Money management system does not allow you to play stupid, even at 1U just to smell the water.

Playoffs record 21-26-1 +14u left to play

[NBA_Brosuf]

Lakers under 184 5U winner

Lines opened at 184, been watching it to see if it goes up any higher when knowing that the public will be on the over and it dropped to 183 to 183.5 through out the day. Now I got it at 184 -105. Yeah baby. Less juice, more action.

The elimination game theory starts on game 6 and ends on game 7, this is game 6 for lakers/NO.

Same way I capped okc game by looking at their previous game,
-Six Lakers finished in double figures
-Pau Gasol had his best game
-Andrew Bynum logged his third double-double
-Trevor Ariza, who had a game-high 22 points, Marco Belinelli (21) and Chris Paul, who added 20 points and 12 assists
-The advantage the Lakers had on second-chance points (22-2)
-The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 8 games on the road

When lakers shoot 100+, it went over in this series. Last game, they had good stats and shot 106. 184 is game 6 total minus 106 = 78 so can NO give me 78 if Lakers be shooting lights out? First off, there is no way 6 lakers are going to repeat a double figures again on a back to back. Maybe in the regular season but this is the playoff and an elimination game so throw them defense up and start bricking. There is no way GAsol will have his best game on a back to back and there is no way Bynum will get another triple double double and there is no way Ariza will have a super duper game high for himself on a back to back game. Without lakers producing, they are not going to get another 100+ points game on a back to back. Lakers did not get a back to back 100+ game in this series. They had a super day last game but we all know that repeating a super day is against your favor to do so.

If everyone just come down to earth, it will be an under game. I think the public will be on the over from what they saw from last game. Little do the public knows, that is not how you cap games. LOL

I'm also buying my confidence by tailing BL and LTA which makes this my strong play for the night. Lets get um.

About time I smell good on my big play. I capped it when the line came out and got sbr forum cappers to give me the ok to drop a big one on it. I thanked them all. If other cappers are against my play, I'll play small unit. I need to learn this new filter I'm going to use to be successful.

Playoffs record 22-26-1 +19u left to play

[NBA_Brosuf]

I got the spurs game total play and I will be posting my picks after I place my bet whenever I can catch that nice line. It will be a small play for me though.

From the looks of things right now, the total has dropped half a point. I want to see which side the public is favoring and jacking up or jacking down the value of the total and see if it will be in my favor to do so or not. If it favors my side, 2U. If not or loses value, 1U. Also, if other good cappers are on my side, I might just increase my units of play. My write ups are done and I'm locking into one side of the total. Lets see what happen.

[NBA_Brosuf]

memphis -3 1U

Spurs got lucky to even get them into OT. Not only that, gino scored 30+ freaking points. IF it takes another miracle like that for spurs to win then I don't think miracle is going to happen twice.

Memphis on the other hand is just like atl. They know that this is their golden moment to put spurs out of their misery. Give spurs another game and watch out, they might break records for being one of them teams that comes back after a 3-1 run.

Also, here is a stat for ya. When a team who is down in series like 3-1 ended up beating grizzlies in game 5 , in game 6, spurs will stink so bad.

It shows in the atl game didn't it? Orlando whoop the booger off of atl hard in game 5, the public reacts to it that ORL is the play and that orlando is coming around but did they? ATL leading by double figures and ended up shipping ORL home in the next game.

Also, Rhandoff wasn't so bad in game 5. He was around his playoff average points. If he scores better than average in game 6, you better watch out. Final elimination game. IF you must lose, you go out with style and in the NBA, make highlights with your playoff best scoring records and say that you gave it all you got.

[alanspoil]

Best of luck with your picks

[NBA_Brosuf]

Memphis game under 189 1U

I know that many sharps are on the over but hear me out on this one.

With the spurs game, it ended in regulation at 97-97. So 97+97= 194...The total for game 6 is at 190. Here are some key stats from game 5 of players and their 2011 playoff stats scoring average.

gino 30 ave 17.5
randoff 22 19.6
conley 20 15.4
sam young 18 10
duncun 13 12.8
gasol 11 14.6
parker 18 19


Everyone else on both teams played their average except for 3 knuckleheads. Gino and Conley and Young. Look at Gino, wow 30 pts? Really now? Even if they played super well like that, the total at the end of regulation (not OT) is only 4 points over the total that is given for game 6. I'm saying that first off, it is hard for any of you guys to play your average and it will be harder for gino to put up another 30 point game. Gino is not all star worthy to be dropping no 30 points on a back to back game like this. 30 points is a Kevin Durant daily stuff. So when you can't reproduce a game 5 stats to hit 194, I'm betting that it will be an under game. This will be another elimination game so they will be playing tough Defense to keep the scoring low. The game 6 elimination factor is at play for the under. As long as no one plays better than their playoff average, it will be an under game at 190. If everyone hits average and 1 guy or a combination of guys puts up 26 extra points over their playoff's average, the points will still sits at 194. Even with all of that effort, the total is only 4 points higher than the given game 6 total at 190. I smell an under play here and I'm betting that no record breaking personal best super high scoring for anybody on any teams.

Also, memphis last game shot 47.1% from the floor. Can Memphis shoot any better? NOPE!!!! When the obvious is a nope, it will be under.

Small play here to see who's sharper, me or the knife. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

memphis -3 winner 1U

memphis game under 189 loser 1U

By 1 point in the total....ouch. Should of bet it at opener...wahhhhh

12 points in the last 2 minutes.

I capped this game not thinking about randolph, He just replaces the score of gino in game 5. Gino had 16 in this one.

IF you are going to cap this game 6 here for the over, don't cap it at 190. I don't want to hear non of that. If you planning on it for the over, cap it at 200 and beyond. LOL

It had the blueprint of the under throughout and the over just sneaked on by. I lost on capping this total but hey, at least I had fun in doing so. I see something different with totals now and with that, I will continue to cap on totals more often.



Playoffs record 23-27-1 +19u left to play

[alanspoil]

Don' worry. it happens, so often!!!!

[NBA_Brosuf]

Don' worry. it happens, so often!!!!

Yeah I'm not sweating it. If it hits over by a yard then I'll take a defeat fair and square but this over in the spurs game is a lucky one. How lucky you may say? Can you honestly say that you capped it for the over when gino hits that 3 at half court before the time expires for half time? naw mean? LOL

Lucky is something that no has a control over. If I lose by luck then luck is not on my side. We just can not control the luck factor.

No projection for me in game 1. I need to see what game 1 produces and how well these players fair off with one another to see something for game 2. See you guys in game 2 of the second round.

[alanspoil]

good luck on ur pick

[NBA_Brosuf]

miami game under 180.5 1U

No time to cap this game but just tailing some folks around here. Lose no care, win no care either. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

miami game under 180.5 1U loser

I lose faith in tailing. LOL

I'll stick to my original plan. I cap it first then if tailers agrees, it will be a higher unit bet. If tailers do not agree, I go with a 1U play.

Playoffs record 23-28-1 +18u left to play

[alanspoil]

Better today, good luck

[Love The Action]

[/b]

I lose faith in tailing. LOL

I'll stick to my original plan. I cap it first then if tailers agrees, it will be a higher unit bet. If tailers do not agree, I go with a 1U play.

Playoffs record 23-28-1 +18u left to play

Always cap the games yourself...good luck on your plays!

[NBA_Brosuf]

chicago -8.5 1U

82% on atl? really now? Why don't I fade the public and give it a try?

Last 2 times these two played, Chicago blew them both out of the sky by a gang load. 1 in chicago and 1 in atl.

Lakers game under 188.5 1U

Tailing like a blind mouse again. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

Who the hell or what the hell dropped a large chunk of money on Chicago now eh?

From atl 82%, now at 55% like whoa!!! Jacking that spread up to 9 now.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dallas +6 1U

Lakers are going to win the game but it will be a close one. I'm seeing that for every point Kobe puts up, Dirk will answer it back. Dirk is a 25+ points player too.

The difference in this game is Kidds and Fisher with them 3 balls. Whoever shoots better FG% or 3 balls win. I still like the way Dallas are able to put up them points. It is all about points and who can make them to win games. Dallas also has clutch guys too. Either Kidd or Dirk or them other left over like that fast midget looking dude. LOL

Small play here to get some action going and to smell the water. Game 1, coin toss and who knows right?

[Dexter]

Any teams that are not an elite team and giving kings near double digits and I'm taking the kings to cover. Just this past monday, dallas is a team that kept on winning but usually does not cover if the spread is big. I remembered them giving something like -14 and did not cover. To give that big of a spread and to cover by that much, you have to be an exceptional team. Phoenix tonight is not an exceptional team. They are mediocre at most and they are a team that can upset if they are the dogs. Unless your name is elite and playing against a losing record team, I don't think you should even give out them double digits spread like that. Think what happened to Orlando with their -9 this past week. When vegas line is giving us the edge, we should take it.

Oh and I'm not going to record my winnings and losing because that takes up too much work. I'm a recreational betters and I don't want to see this as work.

Ok here goes.

too much work? cmon brousouff.....you're a coward cyber freak who can then go talk smack from behind a pc.

its so easy for people who dont track their plays to go and talk shit in other peoples threads.

[Dexter]

I went into the nba capping spirit this year at half nba life and managed to hit around the 50% marker for a rookie. My units are +21 and now I have money to play

Chicago -11 2U

Buying Early to lock in my pricing.

Heat -10.5 1U

Small play here since Philly has been known to upset a few.

Orlando -8 3U

My biggest play here. Digging Streaks runner Orlando and loving how they destroyed a playoff contender like Indy last night. ATL is going cold with their 6 straight loss. In Orlando, a weak team, single digits spread, why not? Heck, why not, I'll buy more. LOL

Orlando -8 1 more U

No play on portland and dallas mavs. They are a toss up and both teams have good players that can really make or break a game. Series between this two squads are 2-2 and that's not enough for me to even lay a 1U bet.

Good luck to me.

wait a second tough guy....you actually were keeping a record here....you are up units in this thread, so how come you're so angry and miserable? arent you happy to have that extra money?

[Dexter]

chicago -8.5 1U

82% on atl? really now? Why don't I fade the public and give it a try?

Last 2 times these two played, Chicago blew them both out of the sky by a gang load. 1 in chicago and 1 in atl.

Lakers game under 188.5 1U

Tailing like a blind mouse again. LOL

oh.....they are not even your own plays...

what a clown....

[NBA_Brosuf]

too much work? cmon brousouff.....you're a coward cyber freak who can then go talk smack from behind a pc.

its so easy for people who dont track their plays to go and talk shit in other peoples threads.

I don't talk chit. Who say I was? I am riding with you on Chicago. See? LOL

Also, if you read my whole thread, I tracked everything. I played all sorts of different styles to see if I can come up or come down. I have changed my styles of playing at least 4 or more this season alone.

I wasn't planning to track but I did so and changes is good for business. IF you don't track, your thread is worthless.

oh.....they are not even your own plays...

what a clown....

I picked my own and I tailed. I try all types of style to see what works for me. If you are in the negative, maybe you need to start tailing too. LOL

Even if you are in the negative and you picked chicago tonight, I tailed ya too. See? I'm changing my styles by tailing in the negatives cappers.

[Dexter]

I don't talk chit. Who say I was? I am riding with you on Chicago. See? LOL

Also, if you read my whole thread, I tracked everything. I played all sorts of different styles to see if I can come up or come down. I have changed my styles of playing at least 4 or more this season alone.

I wasn't planning to track but I did so and changes is good for business. IF you don't track, your thread is worthless.



I picked my own and I tailed. I try all types of style to see what works for me. If you are in the negative, maybe you need to start tailing too. LOL

Even if you are in the negative and you picked chicago tonight, I tailed ya too. See? I'm changing my styles by tailing in the negatives cappers.

since you seem to follow others threads, who besides BL and SJ were cash positive for the season?? (not 1, 2 months).....those are the guys that started a thread in november, then created a ghost acct when they started off bad...

[NBA_Brosuf]

since you seem to follow others threads, who besides BL and SJ were cash positive for the season?? (not 1, 2 months).....those are the guys that started a thread in november, then created a ghost acct when they started off bad...

Even with following other folks, do it with a sprinkle of salt and pepper. I also know that some folks post bogus picks just so the public can move that line for them.

Don't trip potato chip, I know how the game was won. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dallas +6 1U

Lakers are going to win the game but it will be a close one. I'm seeing that for every point Kobe puts up, Dirk will answer it back. Dirk is a 25+ points player too.

The difference in this game is Kidds and Fisher with them 3 balls. Whoever shoots better FG% or 3 balls win. I still like the way Dallas are able to put up them points. It is all about points and who can make them to win games. Dallas also has clutch guys too. Either Kidd or Dirk or them other left over like that fast midget looking dude. LOL

Small play here to get some action going and to smell the water. Game 1, coin toss and who knows right?

Buying more dallas to 2U total

Dallas is 9-0-1 ATS in its past 10 games

[Dexter]

Even with following other folks, do it with a sprinkle of salt and pepper. I also know that some folks post bogus picks just so the public can move that line for them.

Don't trip potato chip, I know how the game was won. LOL

i would never put my hard earned money in the hands of someone else.....i will win and lose my own money with my own plays.

that makes no sense.....pm me who you think does that if you dont want to publicly say who.

i have seen one guy here be able to move lines when he posts plays, and he never goes the other way at the close...

[NBA_Brosuf]

chicago game -8.5 1U loser

Playoffs record 23-29-1 +17u left to play

[NBA_Brosuf]

OKC -5 4U

When a team is coming off a 1st round with a loss at HOME, they usually win the second game. If they still lose SU on the second game, they will be in trouble. I don't think zbo and company is going to have a grand of a day again. Lucky doesn't strike twice, not back to back and if it does, you earn the right to take the series.

If I lose this game here, I'm staying the hell away from this series with sides betting.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Lakers game under 188.5 1U loser

Playoffs record 23-30-1 +16u left to play


Ok, time out. I call time out. New game plan. No more tailing because the obvious is not working for the obvious.

If I can not cap a game, I'm not playing it. Bottom line.

Now go out there and make me some money. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

Buying more dallas to 2U total

Dallas is 9-0-1 ATS in its past 10 games

phew, what a game...down to the last wire excitement for real.

Playoffs record 24-30-1 +18u left to play

[NBA_Brosuf]

OKC -5 4U

When a team is coming off a 1st round with a loss at HOME, they usually win the second game. If they still lose SU on the second game, they will be in trouble. I don't think zbo and company is going to have a grand of a day again. Lucky doesn't strike twice, not back to back and if it does, you earn the right to take the series.

If I lose this game here, I'm staying the hell away from this series with sides betting.

Boston Game Over 182 4U

I'll cap on my own and will die on my own. LOL

[chevy6]

Boston Game Over 182 4U

I'll cap on my own and will die on my own. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

I'm already done with the write up but I'll share it tomorrow. Only way for this game to go under is if someone choke like a skunk again. I wouldn't call it a rig game if it hits under. There are days when teams do skunk bad but if game 1 is already bad for Boston and you skunk it worse than game 1, I will quit betting on this series for real.

No time to bet on unstable teams. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]