Good luck everyone on your bets!
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chicago -7.5 1U
I didn't expect chicago is going to lay that many points on them knicks. I thought last night I saw pinny let it go at -4 and I thought that was a steal but pinny took it back or something.
This game here is a coin toss now with that many points. I still say chicago win SU but not too sure about them covering.Comment -
I think the best play here is to watch portland's movements to see what the lakers will want to do.
Since they are only playing half and hour a part, by half time in the portland's game will give us an better indicator to either bet in the second half for lakers or spurs.
So if portland wins, that would move portland to the 6th seed and lakers will like to chase portland for the 1st round but they have to lose to spurs. On the flip note, if portland loses, lakers will want to win so them lakers can try to get the 2nd seed to face a 7th seed portland.
Just sharing thus all.Comment -
Memphis +5 3U
I'm hedging memphis since our great forum cappers are on memphis. Now I'm scared so I have no choice but to bet on memphis. I know I'm usually wrong when I cap games by myself. LOLComment -
Oh my gosh, look at what I did to my spread sheet. What a noob!!! LOL
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Spurs +8 1U
I bought some more on this one. I was looking at line movement when I saw it for a just a minute. I'm trigger happy today. LOL
04/12 20:12 +8 -110 / -8 -110Comment -
119-120 +12u
I seriously don't want to talk about it but hey, I'm looking forward to tomorrow as the last game until the play off.
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Tough luck last night. Any strong leans for tonight?
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YeahOriginally posted by savelemonyTough luck last night. Any strong leans for tonight?
best lean is not to play a game who is going to the playoff. It is just a headache trying to see their next move.
So far, Dallas does not want a win and NO does not want a win. Bench playing bench perhaps? Under in that game.
The spread does not affect the outcome of the rankings and I like dallas but I don't know about that high spread though. Dallas has the upper hand to win in their house and with their hands tie behind their back against a NO team that doesn't seem like they want a win to their record. NO is trying to dodge them lakers who raped them 4-0.
On the other hand, we don't know who dallas is gunning for. Either dallas wants a win for a chance to dance with memphis but still, dallas has troubles with memphis 1-3. If Dallas would try to lose on purpose and in their own house (less likely) and okc wins, dallas would drop to 4th seed and they will have to play denver. Dallas has trouble with denver as well 1-3.
The best game plan for dallas now is to get a win and hoping that lakers win so they can sit at the #3 seed and they get to dance with portland whom they are par against 2-2.
So overall, Dallas is going to win and like I say, not too sure about the spread. ML dallas is the play.Comment -
Although the lines might be inflated when it comes out but another play is Chicago.
Chicago win nets easily as they are playing in the super chicago home. Spurs lost to lakers today so with a win against nets, chicago will win the home court title, determined by tie seasonal record, tie series record, tie conference record and determined by the divisional record with the runner up spurs. Motivation is the magic number 62, a number that chicago is chasing all along. Chicago might rest their starters but only if is it a secure blowout to get their win.
Lets just hope that the spread is in the single figures but I'll doubt it.
Parlay ML dallas and ML chicago if you want to be cute.Comment -
My biggest unit play for this year with an all in on my winnings will be the Chicago game. I will wait for the line to come out to go all in on it. +12 units, here I go to end the regular season right....or maybe wrong. LOL
I don't mind losing it all with chicago not covering but I'm sure going to be glad if chicago wins SU as I know they will and wanted to do so. If you must lose, lose it on a game where you still feel proud. The last regular season game to me is this game. I am still going to play the playoff no doubt but an all in and something I always wanted to do is to go all in on the last and best game of the regular season besides game 7 of the final that is. LOLComment -
favourites won: not usual!!Comment -
chicago -13.5 1U
I was waiting for the chicago line to come out in single digits and pound it like no tomokrrow but it never did so I am going to play it for a small unit.
Lakers -2 4U
I like how lakers started out as -5 and now I'm guessing either someone pounded kings hard or lakers going to sit everyone out like they want to lose on purpose. A #3 seed to kings will put them on a collision course with portland and kings played portland well so no worries for the kings to win or lose but a win will put lakers in a home court advantage in the second round. Kings will be playing super hard as it will be their last game but without Tyreke Evans, the kings are less than perfect. Kings will be without their recent injured Byrum or however you spell his name.
Lakers owned the king this year so I'm going to bet with confidence that Lakers will win and spread is just too generous here and I'm not too worried about a backdoor cover with a small spread like that. Lakers by 6 or so.
Also this news is helpful to the Lakers offense.
"Meanwhile, the Lakers signed shooting guard Trey Johnson, who was the D-League's second-leading scorer with an average of 25.5 points with the Bakersfield Jam."
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Miami under 200.5 3U
Miami resting starters so who is going to score now?Comment -
Orlando -2 3U
Both orlando and indy are locked in their seed so there is nothing much here to play for however, it might be fans appreciation night in Orlando. I like the small dinky spread there.Comment -
Very profitable day: it seems +9 units!!Comment -
thank you alansoil for the head counts. Any day with a + is better than a negative.Originally posted by alanspoil
Will try to use earnings to play some playoff, starting on sat. Leaning on Chicago.
If I were to rank my picks according to a 5 stars rating, this is what I am going to pick on the ML issue.
Orlando 5*
Lakers 4*
Chicago 3*
Orlando is 1-3 against Atlanta however, this is a blessing in disguise. With a series like that, hopefully Vegas will give Orlando as the underdog or perhaps a fav spread of under 5 points since it is home court advantage in Orlando. Atlanta is cold as hell, losing 6 in a row.
In the playoff, I only like to play the 1st and last game of the series so if I'm picking Orlando to win the 1st game and if they lose, I'm done for that series. If Orlando wins first game, I will cool off the in between games and play the last game only. Reason for this is not likely, a team is going to win the series on a perfect record. What is best for the NBA is to let the other team win 1 game so they can sell more tickets and make more money. You don't want to get stuck with a game where your obvious fav bombing one game. They can afford to lose a game, make money for the nba but we can not afford to lose our money on these games that comes in between. The first game is all that important. A win in the first game will put a team in the driver seat to control such series so both teams are going hard at it in the 1st game of the series.
With games 2 through 5, I just can not cap it and with those, I am going to tail some folks if the value is there.
My playoff system will look like this.
Play lakers 1st and last game.
Play Orlando 1st and last game.
Play spurs 1st and last game.
Play Miami 1st and last game.
My filter is this:
-If a fav at home court loses SU on the first game of the series, you are done for that series.
-If they lose against the spread, you can still play them on their last game but double up your money.
-If you win the 1st game ATS, you can play them again on their final game.
-If you lose SU or ATS on their final game of the series, you are done for that series.
Easy enough right? Lets hope so. LOLComment -
Loserchicago -13.5 1U
I was waiting for the chicago line to come out in single digits and pound it like no tomokrrow but it never did so I am going to play it for a small unit.
119-121 +11u
Knew that chicago ML would be the best play but not enough cash to launch on them chicago for the win at high risk for small payout. Even with my whole bankroll of 32U, payout was only 2U. LOL
Lakers -2 4U
winner
120-121 +15u
winnerMiami under 200.5 3U
121-121 +18u
Orlando -2 3U
winner
122-121 +21uComment -
I went into the nba capping spirit this year at half nba life and managed to hit around the 50% marker for a rookie. My units are +21 and now I have money to play
Chicago -11 2U
Buying Early to lock in my pricing.
Heat -10.5 1U
Small play here since Philly has been known to upset a few.
Orlando -8 3U
My biggest play here. Digging Streaks runner Orlando and loving how they destroyed a playoff contender like Indy last night. ATL is going cold with their 6 straight loss. In Orlando, a weak team, single digits spread, why not? Heck, why not, I'll buy more. LOL
Orlando -8 1 more U
No play on portland and dallas mavs. They are a toss up and both teams have good players that can really make or break a game. Series between this two squads are 2-2 and that's not enough for me to even lay a 1U bet.
Good luck to me.Comment -
Crap, I just capped with stats for the Orlando game and it shows that Orlando win game but might lose to spread. Orlando is 1-3 against atl. Wahhhhhhhh
Orlando has a better chance with a win at home. If in ATL and that given spread, I'll take atl +8, no doubt.
Edit: No care no scare here. The ATL team that beat Orlando so much is a different team. The team that sux now loses 6 in a row. Which team wil ATL going to bring to the playoff, the unstable hotlanta or the cold one? Can they turn on the switch? Perhaps but isn't that the same thing people says about them Lakers? Turning a switch is something new to me. LOLComment -
Sunday
Spurs -6 2U
Lakers -10 2U
No fear here. LOLComment -
It wouldn't be a bad idea to invest in $10 to win a jackpot. Place $1 on anything with a gigantic +numbers next to their name.
Like Pacers to win championship, $1 pays $400. +40000.
If you give me $10 to play the lottery scratcher, I will have a higher chance of losing it all. Give me $10 to pull an upset and I see that chances drop. What the hell is $10? Juice money? You are going to lose it anyway. LOLComment -
Lakers over 184 3U
All of their last 4 meet up games were over 184. Lakers last 3 games ,they were over 100. So that means NO will have to chop their azz to make up the 84 points difference. No problem here says NO. The only game in their last 5 games where their totals were not over 84 points is that jazz blow out game. They only got 78. Ok fine. NO 78 - Lakers 106.5 << --- LOLComment -
Boston -6.5 2U
Oh well, why not. Boston at home and raped series against Knicks, with and without carmello.
Lets see if all home court advantage teams would even win SU.Comment -
Bol , I will be following you, lets make some moneyComment -
I hope I don't fail you.Originally posted by alanspoil
First games to a series, I play many and plenty. Last game of the series, I play heavy too. Anything in between, I rather tail...just so let you know.
Good luck to us all and this is my first year, first time seasonal and playoff capping so tail with small money. I'm only confident with my own money because it is bookie's money that I have won. If I blow my money with a loss, I don't care much either. Here comes another total that I'm eyeing on as well.
Denver game over 201 2U
I like this game to go high because OKC last 5 games, they been shooting up triple digits. Denver's last 5 games, 4 of them are in triple digits and 2 of them are like 130 points. Wow!!!!!
So all we need is 100 from okc and 100 from denver. Not much to ask but who knows, asking too much is needed because the playoff is different. People are more pumped and so they are playing their best Defense ever to hold a win.
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With you on Denver: points points points!!Comment -
Good luck my friend.Originally posted by alanspoil
Right about now, it is all luck. The key to tailing is to make your own pickings first then tail. If it lines up with other cappers then you can have more confidence in betting it.Comment -
LoserChicago -11 2U
It is ok that Chicago came back and win game but loses by the spread. What this is telling is that by game 2, the spread will be lower. Next game, chase Chicago and double up your bets.
Playoffs record 0-1 19u left to playComment -
Dallas under 186 2U
Tailing BL and GG and trying to get back that 2U I lost in the Chicago game. Lets go BL. LOLComment -
Portland +5 1U
Tailing these people
kobstopa, Hanlidin, twizzle, dgmagee, gg, hotwingComment -
Playoffs record 0-3 14u left to playOriginally posted by NBA_Brosuf
Portland +5 1U loser
Tailing these people
kobstopa, Hanlidin, twizzle, dgmagee, gg, hotwing Today 02:27 PM
Playoffs record 0-4 13u left to play
Playoffs record 1-4 15u left to playDallas under 186 2U winner
Tailing BL and GG and trying to get back that 2U I lost in the Chicago game. Lets go BL and GG. LOLComment -
Buying Lakers for 2 more units.Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
Lakers -10 4U totalComment -
buying more SA -6 3U total
Buying more Boston -6 3U total
Reasons for me picking these games is just a big "I DON'T KNOW" other than dogs stealing the show on day 1 and onto day 2, should dogs steal the show again? What are the odds for that? LOLComment -
i like your thinking!! i'm also thinking la and saComment
