"70% math play" system tracking

mgeclipse · 01-03-09, 04:51 PM

Even though this are not PLAY I am taking...

Houston 4.5
Sacramento 7.5
Miami -6

willpies · 01-03-09, 07:11 PM

I dont think Boston should count.. The line wasnt supposed to be that low it was a mistake.

AdaBarber · 01-03-09, 07:39 PM

It should count. That line was there. How in the hell do you think I put it in the program. I saw it in Cocknockers thread. And I checked and there it was -8.5. That wasn't a mistake. The bookies were fed the wrong info. They didn't know what Butler was going to do. And he played. Didn't matter. 25 point blowout.

Now if this thing goes 20-5 with all these filters who is going to complain? That' s a gain of 15 units without the work. I' ve caught eight of these plays at 100 a whop. I lost 1. So this system has me up $700 dollars.

So just keep churning out those picks.

willpies · 01-03-09, 07:42 PM

Sorry man it just seemed to good to be true if you know what i mean. Were these odds on more than one bookie? and how long did they stay up. and the system till i die lol

willpies · 01-03-09, 07:59 PM

Cleveland -9 tomorrow is a big play

If celtics can go from -10 to -9.5 its a play but we all know the line wont move that way

SportsLockPicks · 01-03-09, 08:21 PM

math says plays on both Cleveland -9 and Dallas -6.5 tomorrow...anyone contest this?

SportsLockPicks · 01-03-09, 08:24 PM

and if the celtics line dips below 10 it would be a play on them as well

ChuteBoxe · 01-03-09, 10:05 PM

Cavaliers are NOT a play.

Ilgauskas out 3-4 weeks with fractured ankle

http://sports.espn.go.com/nba/news/story?id=3806066

Cavaliers center Zydrunas Ilgauskas will sit out Friday's game against the Chicago Bulls with a sore left ankle.

AdaBarber · 01-03-09, 11:51 PM

Dallas is not a play. Math is 6.60.

Devon · 01-04-09, 12:14 AM

Yeah, the Mavs are NO PLAY... as you said the output number is 6.6

cocknocker · 01-04-09, 01:56 AM

Now just what the hell is going on in here?

therber2 · 01-04-09, 02:48 AM

CK glad you joined in here. Please knock some sense in here.

Here is what is going on to fill you in: Mundane has started a thread with a system for finding a play, and with discipline Mundane has been 80-90% correct.

So, it is obvious that a lot of people here are desperate for plays, and are not taking into account what we call "FILTERS." Exactly your expertise.

So if you wouldn't mind. Anytime someone thinks they have a play here, could you help out with the intuitive/filter approach? This is what a lot of people have been ignoring!

Gj with the PC play today CK. That's what I'm talking about!! We need you in this thread!

indeed · 01-04-09, 05:20 AM

Lines have not come out for the following games ..

The Magic are a no play because starter Mickael Pietrus is out with a fubar wrist ..

The Pistons are a no play because Rip Hamilton has been out .. even if he comes back, he hasn't been back for a week.

The Lakers are a play if the line is -4.5 or + anything .. I think they are waiting to see what Roy's status is, which will affect the line. Hopefully he plays and they think it'll be a close game. Doubtful.

As noted above, Boston is a play if that spread gets to single digits (what if we buy a point?).

Discipline and patience, guys!!!

AdaBarber · 01-04-09, 09:00 AM

Don't do it. Remember to stay within the guidelines. Buying points doesn't matter. I tried it. I bought 4 points to really insure my bet and it didn't matter. Never went against the NO PLAY again.

AdaBarber · 01-04-09, 09:07 AM

Follow the system and the higher the final number the harder you pound the play. The last play was Boston(if you caught that phantom -8.5) and the final number was 20.66. Boston won by 25. If you are patient you will pad your bankroll and have house money to play elsewhere.

Im trying to get ready for baseball and this is helping stockpile some house money.

This thing is actually predicitng the actual spread the team should win by that is why it doesn't allow you to play within -1 to 10.

xerac · 01-04-09, 10:47 AM

willpies - when ada posted was -8.5 i checked vegasinsider was noted -8.5 for boston on the front page when i check yesterdays ATS why was added. but if you dont agree you can take it out of your spreadsheet so was no plays 2nd jan so still be 10-2 for you.

01/04 0 Plays

ive put todays games and it gave 2 plays.

Cleveland at Washington is NO Play starter not playing due to ankle injury.

Detroit at L.A. Clippers is the other play it has give but i think its a NO Play aswell due to Richard Hamilton still out with a groin injury as he is a starter. Even if he is back still think 7 day return filter might still make it a NO play.

so i think today 4th jan is no plays unless anyone can see anything ive missed for today

black666 · 01-04-09, 10:58 AM

looks about right. if someone wants to play nevertheless, I would go with detroit because clippers also got some injuries

AdaBarber · 01-04-09, 03:31 PM

Detroit still is a nice play. I agree. B. Davis is out and J Hart is in. I'll take A. I. in this one all day.

porkchop817 · 01-04-09, 04:24 PM

NOT CONSIDERED A SYSTEM PLAY, but here is what i did for today:

i took BOS-10. If they were -9.5, this would be a system play...they would have to win by 10 or more for -9.5 to be a winning ticket.

again, THIS IS NOT A SYSTEM PLAY. It just made sense to me.

indeed · 01-04-09, 04:58 PM

Question: is a spread of 9.5 considered a "single digit" spread? They'd have to win by 10 .. technically making it double-digit, no?

Dfjay9 · 01-04-09, 05:00 PM

What number did it spit out at Bos -9.5

porkchop817 · 01-04-09, 05:01 PM

thats a solid question, indeed. unfortunately since we don't know who started this system, and none of us really have much experience with it...we'll just have to track it, and see how it does over time.

what is everyone else's thoughts?

porkchop817 · 01-04-09, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by dfjay9

what number did it spit out at bos -9.5

10.79

MexicanStallion · 01-04-09, 05:03 PM

Originally posted by indeed

Question: is a spread of 9.5 considered a "single digit" spread? They'd have to win by 10 .. technically making it double-digit, no?

I don't think that matters. As long as it's 9.5 and under it would be a play along with the other factors

Dfjay9 · 01-04-09, 05:03 PM

Is that a strong play? what number constitutes a strong play?

MexicanStallion · 01-04-09, 05:06 PM

One more note, we have considered using 9.5 as a play since we have used three or so this season. If you check back on the last page somebody posted a spread sheet

porkchop817 · 01-04-09, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by Dfjay9

Is that a strong play? what number constitutes a strong play?

It seems that the higher the number, the stronger the play (this hasn't been tested or proven, it just makes sense). With that said, this is a small number.

The system plays start when the system number is 10 or greater, so i guess you could say at -9.5 Boston would have a value of 0.79

porkchop817 · 01-04-09, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

One more note, we have considered using 9.5 as a play since we have used three or so this season. If you check back on the last page somebody posted a spread sheet

Yes, we do use 9.5 as a play because the system rules say anything over 10.0 is a NO PLAY.

That was my reasoning behind using Boston at 10 points.

Dfjay9 · 01-04-09, 05:13 PM

If 9.5 is a play 10 should be to imo

porkchop817 · 01-04-09, 05:17 PM

it makes sense to me, but i'm not telling anyone else to put any weight into it.

If the spread was BOS-11, the system number would be 9.29. so its on the edge of being a no play even if we didnt have the DD spread filter.

Meestermike · 01-04-09, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by Dfjay9

If 9.5 is a play 10 should be to imo

I use any spread >9 as my filter. If you play -9.5 10 is needed to win your wager. If you play 10 you would push if the score final = 10.

Here is the original system

http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/basketball/a/nbabetsystem.htm

therber2 · 01-04-09, 05:25 PM

Originally posted by porkchop817

thats a solid question, indeed. unfortunately since we don't know who started this system, and none of us really have much experience with it...we'll just have to track it, and see how it does over time.

what is everyone else's thoughts?

Mundane started this thread....then it got raped. Check the last time Mundane posted anything here.

porkchop817 · 01-04-09, 05:32 PM

Originally posted by therber2

Mundane started this thread....then it got raped. Check the last time Mundane posted anything here.

I know mundane started this thread, i've been following the system since apk2k6 posted it in november...and i'm also tracking the thread for the same system over at RX.

I'm not saying that anyone should change anything. I was just asking what peoples thoughts were on whether or not 9.5 should be a play.

MexicanStallion · 01-04-09, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by Meestermike

I use any spread >9 as my filter. If you play -9.5 10 is needed to win your wager. If you play 10 you would push if the score final = 10.

Here is the original system

http://sportsgambling.about.com/od/b...abetsystem.htm

Not sure either, but so far how it has been tracked, we have used 9.5. I think it has been 3-0 so far.

Vesuvius · 01-04-09, 05:49 PM

You guys still on this system? All it goes off is records and made up rules, learn how to cap your own games.