"70% math play" system tracking

[AdaBarber]

Dirk Suspended No Play

The league has suspended Dirk for one game for the flagrant foul in the New Jersey game. Starter is out so this is a no play. Play at your own risk.

Game is currently a PK.

[therber2]

Well its a NOT (edit) a play...****in' Dirk. Just dumped some money in and then heard the news.

I have Dallas as 0 or PK. Interesting line move. Public is dumping in on Dallas now. This could be why. and yeah the trade getting delisted is a good indicator for this system too

Do the bookies watch this thread? Yeah maybe. It would be highly probable in my opinion. Who knows though.

[mundane]

NO PLAYS TODAY FELLAS!

[therber2]

That was such a BS call on Dirk. Go watch what the other guy did to him a bit earlier in the same game, and he didn't get a foul. I think Mavs are ****ed today...and so am I.

[AdaBarber]

That was such a BS call on Dirk. Go watch what the other guy did to him a bit earlier in the same game, and he didn't get a foul. I think Mavs are ****ed today...and so am I.

Sh*t. I started to drop ten units on that game and decided to check the board first. That was one confirmation I wish I had not looked for. Way to go.

With my luck they woul have gotten plastered!

[AdaBarber]

Phoenix - 9 is a play. Lock it in now.

GAME PHO VS OKLA CITY



winloss

selected 1612-3-3 road/+3 homeother 328-9selected spread11.73PLAY



SEE ABOVE FOR PLAY OR NO PLAY

[therber2]

are you sure about this one?

no starters out? all the filters are covered. I've already proven that I am not good with this part of the system

Mundane? play or not?

I think I won today because the other side had a big starter missing too.

[nick2060]

yea i dont even like phoenix tommorrow so maybe this is one of them the system loses, then again phoenix might have revenge on the mind after last time when phoenix won a nailbiter by one point

[AdaBarber]

are you sure about this one?

no starters out? all the filters are covered. I've already proven that I am not good with this part of the system

Mundane? play or not?

I think I won today because the other side had a big starter missing too.

Spread has changed to 9.5!

[AdaBarber]

Spread has changed to 9.5!

Trend says take Oklahoma. System still says take Phoenix. Does the system know about the Richardson trade? -9.5 is still good.

98% of public is on Phoenix.

[therber2]

Yeah that public is probably everyone who is following this system. Its not a big market volume yet. It could just be spectators. I learned from yesterday, wait until closer to the game or go in in thirds, and it something happens try to hedge it with something else.

Wait for some more info to come out on the game.

My suggestion.

[NBA Hero]

no other play other than phoe?

[willpies]

I think Oak will cover that spread but -9 is the play?
Well the line opened at 8.5 so that should be the play its easier to cover

[AdaBarber]

My line is still -9.5 and it opened at 9 at oddsmaker. Remember Shaq is rested and J Richardson is in Phoenix's backcourt. How would the system know? It possibly can't but I think that makes a difference in this game.

[willpies]

Well if a starter is out its not a play. I live in Aus so i wont be able to see the lines for other games when they come out. Ill be asleep literally. So if someone can plug numbers in when the lines are released that would be sweet. Nite guys

[tnt]

Please help the newbie

Hi all
I'm just new here and had been read this thread quietly, I have question that which team do I need to put in "select team" it doesn't matter with Hm/away; fav/dog? we calculate at 1/2hr close to the tip off will be more accurate?
Thanks all in advance any help will be apperciated

[porkchop817]

Hi all
I'm just new here and had been read this thread quietly, I have question that which team do I need to put in "select team" it doesn't matter with Hm/away; fav/dog? we calculate at 1/2hr close to the tip off will be more accurate?
Thanks all in advance any help will be apperciated

The selected team will be the team with the better win percentage. For example, here is todays phoenix game:

Phoenix (16-12)
Oklahoma City (3-28)

you would put Phoenix as the selected team because they have the better win percentage

[zackattack]

Phoenix - 9 is a play. Lock it in now.

GAME PHO VS OKLA CITY



winloss

selected 1612-3-3 road/+3 homeother 328-9selected spread11.73PLAY



SEE ABOVE FOR PLAY OR NO PLAY

where did you get your numbers from?

phx win percent is 571 and okl is 097
when you subtract you get 474/20 = 23.7-3 for road = 20.7 - spread of 9.5.......final number of 12......i know we are close with the final number but what is the number 1612?

[Turkish]

is the final number is more bigger than the spread is it a more good play?

example

Cavs-jazz (-5 cavs) final number is 11

Miami-jersey (miami -7) final number is 15 ...

which one is great play?

[porkchop817]

i think he had copied and pasted the info straight from the spreadsheet. his numbers are right, they just arent formated. 16-12 is the record for phoenix

selected 16 12 -3
other 3 28 -9 selected spread
11.73PLAY

[porkchop817]

is the final number is more bigger than the spread is it a more good play?

example

Cavs-jazz (-5 cavs) final number is 11

Miami-jersey (miami -7) final number is 15 ...

which one is great play?

i would think that the higher the final number, the better the play. but you should play them both

[Turkish]

yesterday celtics final number was -20 ..that was a great play but the spread was -12..but i played and won..ithink sometimes we should try spreads more than -10

[tnt]

The selected team will be the team with the better win percentage. For example, here is todays phoenix game:

Phoenix (16-12)
Oklahoma City (3-28)

you would put Phoenix as the selected team because they have the better win percentage

Thanks porkchop how about the java program?

[sourdia]

Houston @ -10.5

If you had Houston @ -10.5 would you consider* it as a 'system play' ???

The system line would be 15.5.

Thank's for your answers!!

*Considering reasons:
-HC over 10 points
-Questionable starter(McGrady) but Wash. has also questionable Butler.

[Rio DiNero]

You guys missed DEN. Carmelo is back DEN qualifies as play too!

[nick2060]

no because a player has to be back for a week to renew that teams status as qualified

[porkchop817]

You guys missed DEN. Carmelo is back DEN qualifies as play too!

Denver played yesterday, so this would be a back to back game...no quali

[porkchop817]

yesterday celtics final number was -20 ..that was a great play but the spread was -12..but i played and won..ithink sometimes we should try spreads more than -10

Everyone is welcome to play the system how they want to...I personally don't like to give more than 10 points anyway. If you feel like its a good play to you, then good luck

Thanks porkchop how about the java program?

I don't use the java program, but if it is a java program setup for this system, you would do it the same way.

If you had Houston @ -10.5 would you consider* it as a 'system play' ???

The system line would be 15.5.

Thank's for your answers!!

*Considering reasons:
-HC over 10 points
-Questionable starter(McGrady) but Wash. has also questionable Butler.

I would not consider this as a system play because it is over -10. Everyone is welcome to play it how they would like though.

[tnt]

porkchop; thanks cuz i saw someone posted the java program here but couldnt find it no more that's why im asking...thanks

[porkchop817]

here is the link to the java program, but I haven't used it...no guarantees that everything is correct

http://www.filefactory.com/file/f25d29/n/NBAMath2_jar

[DevilDog]

There is some real misunderstanding on how systems work here...systems are based on numbers and that is it. You might have some filters that include injuries and things like that but basically they are based on numbers and that is why a good system is so effective.

Look at Dallas yesterday. I believe it was a play but it became a no play because of Dirk being out....that was a filter that should not have mattered!

If the numbers add up....play the game! Systems take the thought process out of handicapping games, which is good because that is what screws most guys.

[willpies]

No plays for tomorrow either that i can see.

[porkchop817]

There is some real misunderstanding on how systems work here...systems are based on numbers and that is it. You might have some filters that include injuries and things like that but basically they are based on numbers and that is why a good system is so effective.

Look at Dallas yesterday. I believe it was a play but it became a no play because of Dirk being out....that was a filter that should not have mattered!

If the numbers add up....play the game! Systems take the thought process out of handicapping games, which is good because that is what screws most guys.

You still have to use some common sense when making the plays. If you think it is a play...play it! If you look in my sbr spreadsheet, you will see that I took dallas yesterday. However, it was not a system play.

No one ever said this was the end all be all system that you have to follow to the letter. Mundane just started this thread to track this system within the parameters that were already set.

If someone likes a team despite their injuries, or despite the fact that the spread is >+10, or despite the fact that it is a back to back game...make the play!

I bet the plays that come out of this system. I also bet other games that I like, even though this system says it is a no play. Its up to each person to make their own decisions.

[porkchop817]

No plays for tomorrow either that i can see.

we'll see how the numbers fall, we might get lucky before post time tomorrow

[MexicanStallion]

Is Phoenix a play? They fall into the points category, but is anybody not starting?