"70% math play" system tracking

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  • Formulawiz
    Restricted User
    • 01-12-09
    • 1589

    #526
    NBA Power Ratings

    Originally posted by xerac
    make new thread dont want to be tracking two different system in one thread just click when posting Additional Options > Attach Files > Manage Attachments upload to thread like that id be intresting to follow that one aswell
    This is the output from the NBA Excel spreadsheet. I will try to figure out as how to start a new thread and post the power ratings everyday with an explanation as how to use it. Also Ill try to put the spreadsheet up for download. I really dont want to spend too much time managing it. The column you would be interested in is the "Final Overall Pr" Last column. Just take the teams playing and subtract their power ratings. Make sure there is a 2 to 2 1/2 point overlay for the play. Yesterday it went 4-0, check it out the power ratings did not change from last night. Tonight for example take DET 99.8 and round up to 100 - CHA 97.5 = DET -2.5. Now subtract the line of -7, CHA is a + 4.5. The game is outside the 2 point overlay so the play is on CHA. There are some other rules as well which I will explain in the thread.
    See attachment
    Attached Files
    Comment
    • willpies
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-18-08
      • 128

      #527
      Magic going to cover easily bogans missing meant nothing to the team its a play and should count
      Comment
      • Formulawiz
        Restricted User
        • 01-12-09
        • 1589

        #528
        I will try to start a new thread today and post the power ratings chart as above. I will also try to upload the NBA spreadsheet for everyone to use. By the way I crushed the bookie last night again going 6-0, so for the past 2 nights the system went 10-0. The reason I went with ORL last night besides the explanation I gave above is that the power rating system was in agreement with the 70%/Christmas system so I really pounced on that play. Let me show you how I arrived at this play from the power rating chart above.
        ORL in the last column "overal PR" is 106.5 minus SAC 92.5 = 14, then we subtract the line of -7.5. ORL is 6.5 and since outside the 2 point overlay it was a strong play. Check out the other plays.
        Comment
        • MexicanStallion
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-08-08
          • 20429

          #529
          Originally posted by Formulawiz
          I will try to start a new thread today and post the power ratings chart as above. I will also try to upload the NBA spreadsheet for everyone to use. By the way I crushed the bookie last night again going 6-0, so for the past 2 nights the system went 10-0. The reason I went with ORL last night besides the explanation I gave above is that the power rating system was in agreement with the 70%/Christmas system so I really pounced on that play. Let me show you how I arrived at this play from the power rating chart above.
          ORL in the last column "overal PR" is 106.5 minus SAC 92.5 = 14, then we subtract the line of -7.5. ORL is 6.5 and since outside the 2 point overlay it was a strong play. Check out the other plays.
          Sounds like a good start to a system. Just post the new thread and see how things turn out. Goodluck
          Comment
          • Formulawiz
            Restricted User
            • 01-12-09
            • 1589

            #530
            Originally posted by MexicanStallion
            Sounds like a good start to a system. Just post the new thread and see how things turn out. Goodluck
            Okay guys success. I was able to start a new thread called new NBA power rating system which shows todays power rating chart. Check it out and make sure to follow the rules, so lets give them hell. Ill also try to upload the excel spreadsheet, I am not sure if the file is too large.
            Comment
            • SportsLockPicks
              SBR MVP
              • 12-03-07
              • 3386

              #531
              any plays here tonight guys? i checked a couple...are the Jazz a consideration @ -5?
              Comment
              • Formulawiz
                Restricted User
                • 01-12-09
                • 1589

                #532
                Okay guys I was able to upload the spreadsheet and is now available in other thread
                Comment
                • eanelson
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 12-23-08
                  • 86

                  #533
                  No plays tonight, Xerac will post his usual thing.
                  Comment
                  • Meestermike
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-21-06
                    • 329

                    #534
                    NO PLAY = ATL IN BACK to BACK
                    Comment
                    • xerac
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-22-08
                      • 123

                      #535
                      sorry guys did posted it early but posted in wrong thread by mistake my bad

                      01/14
                      0 Plays




                      Utah No play reports that Miles (ankle) will not play again Wednesday night and Ronnie Price will again start in his place. (Jan 14). As C.J. Miles is a starter is a no play.

                      Dalls No play they played last nite so is back 2 back

                      Atlanta No play aswell as they played last nite.

                      Record:

                      Win 11
                      Loss 3
                      78.57%

                      dont think magic should be added due to reason i gave on other page as starter not back 7 days filter
                      Comment
                      • xerac
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-22-08
                        • 123

                        #536
                        01/15 0 Plays

                        only 3 games tonight all showing no plays with numbers i have
                        Comment
                        • i_pick_winners1
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-26-08
                          • 624

                          #537
                          Originally posted by xerac
                          01/15 0 Plays

                          only 3 games tonight all showing no plays with numbers i have

                          keep on doing the groundwork for us each day, we appreciate it
                          Comment
                          • willpies
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-18-08
                            • 128

                            #538
                            Play on magic +4
                            Play on detroit -4

                            P.S lets INclude the Magic win the other day against the Kings
                            Comment
                            • SportsLockPicks
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-03-07
                              • 3386

                              #539
                              doesn't injuries nix the detroit play? and is the magic definitely a play?
                              Comment
                              • SportsLockPicks
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-03-07
                                • 3386

                                #540
                                i have the orlando game coming out at +.05, this is not a play...the only games that have numbers that allow a play are the Knicks, Pistons, and Suns...none of which qualify for a play
                                Comment
                                • xerac
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-22-08
                                  • 123

                                  #541
                                  willpies - not adding magic just cause they won they didnt pass the filters so i dont think should be added.

                                  01/16 0 Plays





                                  Detroit No play due to Richard Hamilton if he is still injured but if he does come back tonight its still a no play due to the 7 day starter return filter.

                                  Phoenix No play as they play last night so are back to back games.

                                  Atlanta No play Horford was held out of Sunday's game against Philadelphia and will miss at least three more games with a bone bruise in his right knee.

                                  New York No play too many on this play Anthony Robinson benched? Nate Thomas got Flu? Eddy Curry injured knee? too many ????that why im calling this a No play for my record.



                                  Orlando at L.A. Lakers is no play magic is no play lakers have the better record by 1 less loss and there a no play

                                  cant see any other play unless ive missed something
                                  Comment
                                  • xerac
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-22-08
                                    • 123

                                    #542
                                    01/17 0 Plays



                                    cant see any plays today Detroit No play as the played last nite

                                    Record:

                                    Win 11
                                    Loss 3
                                    78.57%
                                    Comment
                                    • willpies
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-18-08
                                      • 128

                                      #543
                                      So Far One Play for Tomorrow. Actually NO play because back to back ****
                                      But Miami have been very good in back to back games so id play this
                                      Comment
                                      • VVET
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-17-09
                                        • 120

                                        #544
                                        The D man has been on

                                        Scoring strong, winning or losing - I agree with this one and will follow ya.

                                        Here's to the baskets from the beach and keep up the streak my man!

                                        Comment
                                        • SportsLockPicks
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-03-07
                                          • 3386

                                          #545
                                          Thunder are going to win...don't mess w/ the system.
                                          Comment
                                          • xerac
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-22-08
                                            • 123

                                            #546
                                            01/18 0 Plays

                                            Comment
                                            • willpies
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-18-08
                                              • 128

                                              #547
                                              Heat won . whoever thought they wouldnt above you are wrong? I said they would. They have been good in back to back . like i said.

                                              If a team has shown they are good in back to back games they should be a play.
                                              Comment
                                              • eanelson
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 12-23-08
                                                • 86

                                                #548
                                                Originally posted by willpies
                                                Heat won . whoever thought they wouldnt above you are wrong? I said they would. They have been good in back to back . like i said.

                                                If a team has shown they are good in back to back games they should be a play.
                                                Just because it worked today doesn't mean it has all season or will continue to.
                                                Comment
                                                • NBA Hero
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-05-08
                                                  • 1886

                                                  #549
                                                  tomorrow's play?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SportsLockPicks
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-03-07
                                                    • 3386

                                                    #550
                                                    any plays today guys?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • xerac
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-22-08
                                                      • 123

                                                      #551
                                                      01/19 0 Plays

                                                      my bad guys didnt notice was early games today so posted whole record incase missed something



                                                      L.A Clippers is a No play Clippers coach Mike Dunleavy said it will be another week to 10 days before Randolph (knee) returns to the lineup.

                                                      if i made a mistake you see please let me know and ill update if its a play.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mundane
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-25-08
                                                        • 3592

                                                        #552
                                                        zup fellas?!? 'been busy lately. (i havent even check the pages here.)

                                                        ANYWAY, keep TRACKING this system. ill be back TOUTING after the nba all-star. LMAO!

                                                        let's keep beating the books!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mundane
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-25-08
                                                          • 3592

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by ChuteBoxe
                                                          Where's my buddy Mundane been? Hope all is well with him.

                                                          Everyone who's following this, should give a special thanks to Xerac. He seems to be one of the only ones besides Mundane and myself that know what the hell is going on with this, plus he's going out of his way to keep everything organized, and mistake-free.
                                                          hey chuteboxe! ive just been busy lately. not even betting, checking the sched, see who won or not or anything. but im doing well mann! thanks for the concern!

                                                          yeah TYVM xerac, continue what ur doing. 'appreciate it bud.

                                                          formulawiz, i take it somebody already took care of ur spreadsheet.

                                                          nice to have all these system popping up all of a sudden here in sbr.

                                                          goodluck fellas!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • xerac
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-22-08
                                                            • 123

                                                            #554
                                                            01/20 0 Plays



                                                            all 3 games are back 2 back
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sprasad03
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 01-06-09
                                                              • 412

                                                              #555
                                                              any plays today?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • xerac
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-22-08
                                                                • 123

                                                                #556
                                                                01/21 1 Play (not 100% sure)

                                                                Bryant (dislocated finger) will play on Wednesday against the Clippers, according to the Los Angeles Times.

                                                                now not sure about Bryant is he consider injured or not as was only a dislocated finger

                                                                also Lakers open -15 on some books which is a play most books have lakers at -16 which is a No play

                                                                some books you can still get lakers -15.5 which is a play as Lakers open -15 consider a play as far as i know.

                                                                so just the Bryant injury not sure about for now ive added lakers to sheet and can be changed if people thing it shouldnt be a play or if anyone can see anythign ive missed on lakers.

                                                                also no other plays all saying No Play



                                                                Record

                                                                Win 11
                                                                Loss 3
                                                                78.57%


                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChuteBoxe
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-21-07
                                                                  • 6885

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Originally posted by xerac
                                                                  01/21 1 Play (not 100% sure)

                                                                  Bryant (dislocated finger) will play on Wednesday against the Clippers, according to the Los Angeles Times.

                                                                  now not sure about Bryant is he consider injured or not as was only a dislocated finger

                                                                  also Lakers open -15 on some books which is a play most books have lakers at -16 which is a No play

                                                                  some books you can still get lakers -15.5 which is a play as Lakers open -15 consider a play as far as i know.

                                                                  so just the Bryant injury not sure about for now ive added lakers to sheet and can be changed if people thing it shouldnt be a play or if anyone can see anythign ive missed on lakers.

                                                                  also no other plays all saying No Play



                                                                  Record

                                                                  Win 11
                                                                  Loss 3
                                                                  78.57%


                                                                  No play on spreads over 10, remember? Otherwise, keep up the great work.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xerac
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-22-08
                                                                    • 123

                                                                    #558
                                                                    thanks think was looking to hard at the injurys to notice double dig spread that made it a No play.

                                                                    01/22 0 Plays

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • willpies
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-18-08
                                                                      • 128

                                                                      #559
                                                                      double digit spread chutebox come onnnn.
                                                                      There are basically zero plays daily
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MexicanStallion
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 09-08-08
                                                                        • 20429

                                                                        #560
                                                                        Those were the filters ahead of time. Im having a hard time figuring out how there were so many plays in the previous years. There were around a 100 and we are no where near 100 here
                                                                        Comment
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