"70% math play" system tracking

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  • kitsters2k
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-06-09
    • 31

    #456
    but technically Garnett did not miss a game. Is that still considered an injured player??? Don't you have to miss a game to be considered injured? The rule says no play until a week after injured player is back, what if he doesn't even miss a game?
    Comment
    • xerac
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-22-08
      • 123

      #457
      ok im kinda confused on this one with regards to injurys and garnett but had a look back to refresh myself and all injurys for tracking this system have been no plays but yeh no play now as tony allen has been called no playing tonite in last couple of hours
      Comment
      • black666
        SBR Hustler
        • 01-02-09
        • 86

        #458
        ok..now I'm confused .. where do you guys go for injury reports?

        nba.com lists 3 injured players for boston including garnett:


        foxsports says no injures to report:
        Comment
        • nick2060
          SBR MVP
          • 10-28-08
          • 1051

          #459
          i think nba.com might be more reliable just cause its the nba and foxsports is busier with everything else. I really dont think Boston is a play tonight but i'm sure some people are still going to say it is.
          Comment
          • xerac
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-22-08
            • 123

            #460
            boston.com/sports/basketball/celtics/extras/celtics_blog/2009/01/tony_allen_inju.html
            Comment
            • willpies
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-18-08
              • 128

              #461
              Yeah Boston lost they have lost their confidence it seems. system loss
              Comment
              • vassman86
                SBR MVP
                • 03-11-08
                • 1042

                #462
                Originally posted by black666
                it's not a play either way. a starter has to be back 1 week before his team becomes a play again:
                Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                you can bet on your own risk though .. it just isn't a play as far as the system is concerned.
                I don't follow this system, but I do like to see where it is going. Today's game of Celtics -9.5 constitutes as a play. Garnett has not missed a game; he missed some time in their previous game against the Knicks, but returned late in the game.

                Also, someone mentioned that Tony Allen was injured? Who cares about Tony Allen, he's not a starter.

                I told you guys, Boston is not playing like themselves and you should all use your own discretion when you choose to follow the system's plays. Charlotte +9.5 was too easy tonight.
                Comment
                • vassman86
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-11-08
                  • 1042

                  #463
                  Don't skew details to protect the system's record!

                  Originally posted by xerac
                  ok im kinda confused on this one with regards to injurys and garnett but had a look back to refresh myself and all injurys for tracking this system have been no plays but yeh no play now as tony allen has been called no playing tonite in last couple of hours
                  In regards to the system's 'rules' about injuries, it only considers a game a 'No Play' if a starter is injured. Tony Allen is not a starter.

                  Guys, the system produces plays, but when it's wrong, it's wrong. Accept the truth. Please don't try to defend the system and tell yourselves "Oh yea, for sure, Tony Allen wasn't playing tonight! I made a mistake interpreting the system! Silly me! All hail the system!"

                  Don't skew details to protect the system's record.
                  Comment
                  • TMajic
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 12-15-08
                    • 21

                    #464
                    I may have missed this fact, but on the spreadsheet, which team is the selected team and which is the other? Is it simply the team that you want to back that is the "selected team"?
                    Comment
                    • therber2
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-22-08
                      • 3715

                      #465
                      Originally posted by nick2060
                      i think nba.com might be more reliable just cause its the nba and foxsports is busier with everything else. I really dont think Boston is a play tonight but i'm sure some people are still going to say it is.
                      I agree.

                      If you think you have a play and want to place a big wager on it. Keep looking at the news right up until the end. You can ease into a potential play to get the points in your favor, but if bad news pops up I'd back out and hedge it with a normal play. If no news I'd still be careful because this system hasn't been tracked for postseason. I think that team are playing crazy ball so I wouldn't go by a system play heavy right now; I am not denying though that this isn't a bad start for placing a good bet.
                      Comment
                      • homerbush
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-17-08
                        • 2317

                        #466
                        Originally posted by vassman86
                        In regards to the system's 'rules' about injuries, it only considers a game a 'No Play' if a starter is injured. Tony Allen is not a starter.

                        Guys, the system produces plays, but when it's wrong, it's wrong. Accept the truth. Please don't try to defend the system and tell yourselves "Oh yea, for sure, Tony Allen wasn't playing tonight! I made a mistake interpreting the system! Silly me! All hail the system!"

                        Don't skew details to protect the system's record.
                        That is how I kind of feel about this system too. A play will miss then there will be an excuse why it missed and taken out.
                        Comment
                        • black666
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 01-02-09
                          • 86

                          #467
                          so any plays today?
                          Comment
                          • nick2060
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-28-08
                            • 1051

                            #468
                            k orlando played yesterday
                            Charlotte played yesterday
                            Boston and houston played yesterday
                            Washington played yesterday
                            Philly played yesterday
                            Memphis played yesterday
                            Minny and OKC played yesterday
                            NEw orleans and utah played
                            Lakers played
                            So:
                            Miami @ Denver- Carmelo injured but the number ends up being 4 anyways
                            Indiana @ Phoenix - Marquis Daniels is questionable so who knows but the number is 6.5
                            Detroit is 3.9

                            No plays tonight
                            Comment
                            • xerac
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-22-08
                              • 123

                              #469
                              vessman86 - i posted that 3 hours before game started not protecting record if did it after the game then id agree was protecting it.

                              01/07 0 Plays



                              lakers are back to back and cant see any other plays with numbers i have

                              Win 11
                              Loss 4
                              78.57%
                              Comment
                              • porkchop817
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-29-08
                                • 531

                                #470
                                Originally posted by TMajic
                                I may have missed this fact, but on the spreadsheet, which team is the selected team and which is the other? Is it simply the team that you want to back that is the "selected team"?

                                the "selected team" is the team with the better win/loss percentage
                                Comment
                                • willpies
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-18-08
                                  • 128

                                  #471
                                  Some other people do tomorow calculations
                                  Comment
                                  • underdog
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 07-02-07
                                    • 33

                                    #472
                                    The longer plays are posted on the forum and the longer this system remains in the top as far as comments/posts....the longer it remains the greatest possible chance the sportsbooks see it and adjust to this system. It is just my recommendation, but I think all that are following this now understand it. Now, I would stop the posts of plays and let the thread remain quiet for a while for maximum profit potential.
                                    Comment
                                    • underdog
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 07-02-07
                                      • 33

                                      #473
                                      Also, dismal performance in college basketball trying to use this. 41%..ouch!
                                      Comment
                                      • shearer
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 03-23-07
                                        • 35

                                        #474
                                        yestraday system bets was phily-1
                                        Comment
                                        • zackattack
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 218

                                          #475
                                          Originally posted by underdog
                                          Also, dismal performance in college basketball trying to use this. 41%..ouch!
                                          if you follow the rules then until college teams have played 20 games you can't use the system anyway. also the title of the thread is 70% system so obviously it will win 7 out of every 10 games........right now its 11-4 so its doing exactly what it says it will do.
                                          Comment
                                          • zackattack
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-06-08
                                            • 218

                                            #476
                                            Originally posted by shearer
                                            yestraday system bets was phily-1
                                            isn't elton brand still injured?.......if he is then you can't play philly until he comes back for 1 week. so this should not have been a play
                                            Comment
                                            • zackattack
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-06-08
                                              • 218

                                              #477
                                              Originally posted by kitsters2k
                                              but technically Garnett did not miss a game. Is that still considered an injured player??? Don't you have to miss a game to be considered injured? The rule says no play until a week after injured player is back, what if he doesn't even miss a game?
                                              guys come on now.....he is not considered hurt unless he misses a game. just cause a guy gets poked in the eye maybe sits out a minute would not constitute a no play.........boston play lost!! plain and simple there will be 30% losses using the system.
                                              Comment
                                              • NBA Hero
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-05-08
                                                • 1886

                                                #478
                                                brand is still out with injury.maybe for two more weeks. may practice next week
                                                Comment
                                                • TMajic
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 12-15-08
                                                  • 21

                                                  #479
                                                  Thanks Porkchop.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • black666
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 01-02-09
                                                    • 86

                                                    #480
                                                    Originally posted by underdog
                                                    The longer plays are posted on the forum and the longer this system remains in the top as far as comments/posts....the longer it remains the greatest possible chance the sportsbooks see it and adjust to this system. It is just my recommendation, but I think all that are following this now understand it. Now, I would stop the posts of plays and let the thread remain quiet for a while for maximum profit potential.
                                                    lol...you think sportbooks adjust their spreads because 10-20 people her on the forum bet on games according to the system? while million clueless people just bet on their favorite team?

                                                    Comment
                                                    • cocknocker
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                      • 8001

                                                      #481
                                                      Just what in the hell is going on in this room?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • losturmarbles
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-01-08
                                                        • 4604

                                                        #482
                                                        hijacked
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuteBoxe
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-21-07
                                                          • 6885

                                                          #483
                                                          Where's my buddy Mundane been? Hope all is well with him.

                                                          Everyone who's following this, should give a special thanks to Xerac. He seems to be one of the only ones besides Mundane and myself that know what the hell is going on with this, plus he's going out of his way to keep everything organized, and mistake-free.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • willpies
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-18-08
                                                            • 128

                                                            #484
                                                            Rockets -7.5 is a play tomorrow
                                                            Comment
                                                            • xerac
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-22-08
                                                              • 123

                                                              #485
                                                              01/08 0 Plays

                                                              only 2 games today and both no plays
                                                              Comment
                                                              • curious
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 07-20-07
                                                                • 9093

                                                                #486
                                                                Originally posted by zackattack
                                                                if you follow the rules then until college teams have played 20 games you can't use the system anyway. also the title of the thread is 70% system so obviously it will win 7 out of every 10 games........right now its 11-4 so its doing exactly what it says it will do.
                                                                Hey Zack, missed your insightful posts in my NBA thread tonight where we went 7-1.

                                                                Funny how you never come into my NBA thread when I have a great night. Wonder why that is? You always have so much to say if I lose a couple of games.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Axis
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-08-09
                                                                  • 1255

                                                                  #487
                                                                  Someone I know showed me this system a little back, and it does seem to work quite well if you're strict and follow it. Good system in my eyes.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • i_pick_winners1
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-26-08
                                                                    • 624

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Any plays for 1/09?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • xerac
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-22-08
                                                                      • 123

                                                                      #489
                                                                      01/09 0 Plays




                                                                      Cleveland No play Zydrunas Ilgauskas injured left ankle revealed a chipped talus bone and he could miss up to a month.

                                                                      Houston No play Tracy McGrady injury knee missed Wednesdays game against the Celtics.

                                                                      L.A. Lakers No Double Figure spread.

                                                                      cant see any other plays unless ive missed something
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jholl
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 09-02-08
                                                                        • 151

                                                                        #490
                                                                        Quote:
                                                                        Originally Posted by MaurySline
                                                                        ok, gang who has the football jesus thursday picks ?

                                                                        i dont know who he had thursday, i saw his picks tuesday, and they both won,

                                                                        i need to know if anyone has football jesus basketball plays for fri?
                                                                        Comment
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