Totolover's NCAA RLM

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by jbatcha21

Clemson just dropped to -3h on BetJamaica

If that is the case, I hope you guys were more cautious about playing this game. For the afternoon games, I will be making my play towards the end

QuantumLeap · 11-06-10, 01:35 PM

Originally posted by PerfecTrader

Prolly not in Kansas

Looks like he's back from the Serengeti.

Dogway · 11-06-10, 01:35 PM

I didn't see that and pulled the trigger on Clemson. Totalover did u buy the package with no delay on sportsinsight.com?

The Dog

AlphaOmega · 11-06-10, 01:37 PM

Keep posting the plays they are good.

shaggy3000 · 11-06-10, 01:42 PM

what about south car? 62% on Ark and the line has gone from -3 to -4? or doe it have to go 2 points to count?

Dogway · 11-06-10, 01:47 PM

Right now looks like:
Iowa st
I like Tex am bunch of people on Oklahoma but line moved up
ucla
USC

ebbearsfb1 · 11-06-10, 01:50 PM

Army will always be the little brother of the the 3 academies..... I did it again bet on a bad team and it bit me in the ass

shaggy3000 · 11-06-10, 01:51 PM

second question... does anyone do this for square plays? because at sportsinsights.com they say theyre 32-14... and then a game like mississippi would fall in there. with 67% on miss and the line going from -27 to -30.5
or clearly Oregon. 79% on them and the line going from -27.5 to -37.5

thoughts?

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 01:54 PM

I do not use sportsinsight. I recommend some of you to use that link while i use http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-colleg...-betting-chart.

By using perhaps both INDIVIDUALLY, we may be able to erase all discrepancies.

ninja33 · 11-06-10, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

Army will always be the little brother of the the 3 academies..... I did it again bet on a bad team and it bit me in the ass

army's not that bad though. They're 5-3, and played some decent teams well in their losses (hawaii, temple, rutgers). Definitely not a GOOD team....but it's not like we're betting on akron here.

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by shaggy3000

what about south car? 62% on Ark and the line has gone from -3 to -4? or doe it have to go 2 points to count?

I like South Carolina. Again, a lot of people are not happy with 1 point and I'm not sure if I am too happy with it either. Since it crosses the 3,7 points, I think I will take it.

IOWA STATE IS LOOKING GOOD. Any objections? I will be pulling the trigger at 12:15 pacific time

dvb02 · 11-06-10, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

I do not use sportsinsight. I recommend some of you to use that link while i use http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-colleg...-betting-chart. By using perhaps both INDIVIDUALLY, we may be able to erase all discrepancies.

Total, I think that is the exact same thing as sportsinsights.

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 01:57 PM

CLEMSON TD! One more score clemson!

shaggy3000 · 11-06-10, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

I do not use sportsinsight. I recommend some of you to use that link while i use http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-colleg...-betting-chart. By using perhaps both INDIVIDUALLY, we may be able to erase all discrepancies.

o ok. my bad thought you used sportsinsights since the last thread the name popped up a bunch. not trying to step on any toes just trying to win some money thats all

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 01:58 PM

Not a problem. I didnt know they were the same thing. No worries

mangina11 · 11-06-10, 01:59 PM

Well I was under the impression (from packerbackers thread) we would use sportsinsights that way there was no controversy with close plays. . . If one book has -3 and the other has -4, you can make your own judgements then. Even after the close SI had them at -3.5 which would still be a play.... We are not gonna win every game, but the idea here is to hit 55-60% and win money over the long run. Some of you guys might be putting a little too much money on a single game if you are that upset over 1 or 2 losses. For 330 games if you want to play Iowa St is the play

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:00 PM

All three early games really coming down to the wire...

GoldenYAK · 11-06-10, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by dvb02

Total, I think that is the exact same thing as sportsinsights.

It is.

It says on thespread.com "Data Provided by SportsInsights.com"

The consensus info is not ALWAYS correct imo. Pregame has more contributing books, but the openers from pregame are sometimes off....

I think we should use pregame for % (I think this is what the diesel is using) and sports insights for openers, and to confirm consensus %.

ebbearsfb1 · 11-06-10, 02:09 PM

ur right armys not bad there terrible.... might get 1 1 to start today

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:11 PM

Iowa State has moved some more to +16.5 making it a 2 point movement.

Adding: Iowa State +16.5

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:13 PM

Clemson needs to get a stop here and score again

GGPLAYER · 11-06-10, 02:16 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

I like South Carolina. Again, a lot of people are not happy with 1 point and I'm not sure if I am too happy with it either. Since it crosses the 3,7 points, I think I will take it.

IOWA STATE IS LOOKING GOOD. Any objections? I will be pulling the trigger at 12:15 pacific time

Just got it at +16. This one is set up nice with the big win by Neb last week.

Clemson line movement was just the sort of thing I talked about. Although they were in the red zone all day and did not come away with any points in the 1st half

Hope it wins somehow though!

JA's Winners · 11-06-10, 02:16 PM

agree

ebbearsfb1 · 11-06-10, 02:18 PM

What are the locked in plays for 330?

Aussiecapper101 · 11-06-10, 02:19 PM

How bout a fukking fg

kiknit · 11-06-10, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

Iowa State has moved some more to +16.5 making it a 2 point movement.

Adding: Iowa State +16.5

I just dont see how Iowa State is gonna be able to stop Martinez. Iowa State is giving up almost 550ypg in their last 3 and with Martinez healthy (out with a leg last week) and their RB Helu filling in with 307rush yards last week...

I use the RLM model for some 'keep and eye on me' looks...but its just a guide. I think Nebraska runs away with this one early.

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:21 PM

Hawaii is no longer a play

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:22 PM

Iowa state moved to +15.5 now. thats 3 points. should be convincing enough

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:22 PM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

How bout a fukking fg

That was very disappointing. Sorry about the loss

ebbearsfb1 · 11-06-10, 02:23 PM

So we got iowa state at 330? Ne thing else

Aussiecapper101 · 11-06-10, 02:24 PM

All good man just a bad start to a long night, we'll get it

GGPLAYER · 11-06-10, 02:24 PM

Originally posted by kiknit

I just dont see how Iowa State is gonna be able to stop Martinez. Iowa State is giving up almost 550ypg in their last 3 and with Martinez healthy (out with a leg last week) and their RB Helu filling in with 307rush yards last week...

I use the RLM model for some 'keep and eye on me' looks...but its just a guide. I think Nebraska runs away with this one early.

It's that sort of thinking which creates RLM. The line is down to 15.5. Why would the books drop it 3 points if Neb is going to run away with it and everyone is betting Neb?

Aussiecapper101 · 11-06-10, 02:24 PM

can we get a final card im so confused

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:24 PM

I dont think Idaho is a play anymore either. Wtf

Totolover1409 · 11-06-10, 02:26 PM

Iowa State +16.5

A lot of these lines are moving back like Hawaii and Idaho. I'd rather not give you a final card where the line moves back to the original and people are losing. Iowa State is solid and everything else is pending.