Houston +2.5 at my local lets get em boys
Totolover's NCAA RLM
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skidaddy28SBR High Roller
- 03-18-10
- 213
#71Comment -
Totolover1409SBR MVP
- 06-14-08
- 1400
#72F***ken pick 6.Comment -
jas19illiniSBR Wise Guy
- 10-27-10
- 682
#73this game is uggggggglyComment -
JFCvsRXBSBR Hustler
- 06-23-10
- 67
#74i won't lose faith if we can keep it within 10 at the halfComment -
JFCvsRXBSBR Hustler
- 06-23-10
- 67
#75that was a big td. let's hold em now HOU!!Comment -
jas19illiniSBR Wise Guy
- 10-27-10
- 682
#76their pass defense is patheticComment -
skidaddy28SBR High Roller
- 03-18-10
- 213
#77how bout it nowComment -
jbatcha21SBR Sharp
- 09-27-10
- 271
#78___Comment -
rochestertitansRestricted User
- 12-14-09
- 8149
#80g/lComment -
Totolover1409SBR MVP
- 06-14-08
- 1400
#81Army +6.5 (57% of the public is on Air Force with 8087 bets placed. Only playing because it crosses 7)
Maryland +7.5 (Not playing this yet as less than 5,000 bets have been placed. Will keep an eye on it tomorrow)
Clemson -4 (62% are on NC State with 11,791 bets placed. Line moved from +2.5 to +4 for NC State)
South Carolina -4.5 (~6000 bets with 65% on Arkansas. Line moved from +3 to +4.5 for Arkansas)
Hawaii +21 ( 18,263 bets placed with 60% on Boise State and line moved from -22.5 to -21 for Boise State. This one is tough because the spread is pretty high. Game day decision. Not for sure.)
Iowa State +17 (~6000 bets placed with 73% on Nebraska and Nebraska line moved from -18.5 to -17)
Texas A&M +3 (14,380 bets placed with 82% on Oklahoma and Oklahoma line moves -4 to -3)
Idaho +11 (10,635 bets placed with 82% on Nevada and Nevada line moves from -12 to -11.)
New Mexico +9 (KEEP AN EYE ON THIS. Not official play. Not enough bets placed)
UCLA +4.5 (8,467 bets placed with 75% on Oregon State and Oregon State line moving from -6 to -4.5) (UCLA screwed me over last time. Kinda hesitant but will take it.)
Texas Tech +4 (10,922 bets placed with 83% on Missouri and Missouri line moving from -5 to -4)
Arizona State +5 (12,634 bets placed with 72% on USC. Line for USC moved from -6 to -5)
Please be careful with a few of those. I think 2 of em are not official yet because of the number of bets. Will look at those tomorrow.
Wow, that took a while. Feel free to comment and clear up if I made any mistakes. Hope we win some tomorrow boys!Comment -
Totolover1409SBR MVP
- 06-14-08
- 1400
#82Comment -
cdardanoSBR Rookie
- 11-27-09
- 28
#83Thanks TOTO
Lets cash in tomorrow!!Comment -
Totolover1409SBR MVP
- 06-14-08
- 1400
#84Feel pretty good about most of these, particularly because most are home teams. I will be laying off Hawaii since I have a point wager with someone else.Comment -
shaggy3000Restricted User
- 12-29-09
- 5801
#85Army +6.5 (57% of the public is on Air Force with 8087 bets placed. Only playing because it crosses 7) Maryland +7.5 (Not playing this yet as less than 5,000 bets have been placed. Will keep an eye on it tomorrow) Clemson -4 (62% are on NC State with 11,791 bets placed. Line moved from +2.5 to +4 for NC State) South Carolina -4.5 (~6000 bets with 65% on Arkansas. Line moved from +3 to +4.5 for Arkansas) Hawaii +21 ( 18,263 bets placed with 60% on Boise State and line moved from -22.5 to -21 for Boise State. This one is tough because the spread is pretty high. Game day decision. Not for sure.) Iowa State +17 (~6000 bets placed with 73% on Nebraska and Nebraska line moved from -18.5 to -17) Texas A&M +3 (14,380 bets placed with 82% on Oklahoma and Oklahoma line moves -4 to -3) Idaho +11 (10,635 bets placed with 82% on Nevada and Nevada line moves from -12 to -11.) New Mexico +9 (KEEP AN EYE ON THIS. Not official play. Not enough bets placed) UCLA +4.5 (8,467 bets placed with 75% on Oregon State and Oregon State line moving from -6 to -4.5) (UCLA screwed me over last time. Kinda hesitant but will take it.) Texas Tech +4 (10,922 bets placed with 83% on Missouri and Missouri line moving from -5 to -4) Arizona State +5 (12,634 bets placed with 72% on USC. Line for USC moved from -6 to -5) Please be careful with a few of those. I think 2 of em are not official yet because of the number of bets. Will look at those tomorrow. Wow, that took a while. Feel free to comment and clear up if I made any mistakes. Hope we win some tomorrow boys!Comment -
Totolover1409SBR MVP
- 06-14-08
- 1400
#86Yes you are correct but several people have asked to see potential plays for tommrow so I'm only trying to inform everyone that these are the potential plays I see.Comment -
Totolover1409SBR MVP
- 06-14-08
- 1400
#87Recall from the previous posts that I've tried to wait til the last twenty mins. Like I waited for houstons line to move back to 2.5Comment -
PhilphanRestricted User
- 08-19-10
- 260
#88What about Michigan -3.5? Opened at -2 and 58% of public is on IllinoisComment -
Aussiecapper101SBR MVP
- 09-04-10
- 2220
#90Appreciate the effort toto. Kill them tonightComment -
DogwaySBR Hustler
- 10-27-10
- 56
#91I know we have rules for RLM but... I think for my bets I am going to refine them just a bit. At least 65%. Alot of bets comparitively speaking when you look at the rest of the field of bets that day. A friend of mine told me to stay away from that game last night and I did. It was only 60/40. I believe you wont have as many winners but you wont have as many loosers either. I also believe that your winning percentage has to go up. Just my opinion.
The DOG
Now lets get some cash.Comment -
MrCondorSBR Rookie
- 10-09-10
- 34
#92If you stay with upper echelon teams you're better off. Why bet a team like Houston or Army for that matter?
One game I am on big time is South Carolina. They're at home, they got their bad game out of the way a few weeks ago and they have their sights on the SEC Championship game. Arkansas on the other hand has a great offense but no D. How in the world are they going to cover those 3 physical receivers SC has plus stop Lattimore?
So. Carolina is the play of the week.Comment -
StranglerSBR Rookie
- 11-04-10
- 2
#93Seems like some folks are allowing "gut feelings" and results based thinking to enter into this which sort of defeats the purpose of using a system or a set of rules.Comment -
Johnny 55Restricted User
- 05-16-09
- 1079
#94RLM is simply a device that allows those with 4th grade math skills to determine which side the sharp money is on. Is the sharp money always right, no, but they are about 57% of the time, which is why they are sharp and make money and posters on this board say things like: "It is better to stay with the upper echelon teams". All RLM plays are basically buying undervalued stocks due to public misperception. If a team got blown out last week or looked horrible and is playing a team coming off a win, they are probably undervalued and sharps get action down in relation to the value they perceive from public overreaction.
Another massive myth about winning bettors is that they only play a few games. Sharps play a massive amount of games,anything they perceive to have value and their bet size is in direct relation to the edge they perceive they have. Winning percentages are highly overrated, if I win 54% of my games but I play 25 games for $1000 each, I will make more money over the long haul than the person who wins 60% of their games but only plays 2 games per week, you are just pushing money through a profitable system, the more you push the more you make. End of rant.Comment -
gangeriverSBR MVP
- 12-23-09
- 2138
#95What about Kent St +3 ??Comment -
doinSBR Sharp
- 02-27-09
- 457
#96please explain to me?
383 - Oregon State
384 - UCLA
20935-6 -105
+6 -105 -4.5 -104
+4.5 -106
Smart money took UCLA at +6. I'm going to get it at +4.5. How come these are enuf points?Comment -
Aussiecapper101SBR MVP
- 09-04-10
- 2220
#97Well said JohnnyComment -
DarkNiteSBR Hall of Famer
- 10-12-09
- 5023
#98If you stay with upper echelon teams you're better off. Why bet a team like Houston or Army for that matter?
One game I am on big time is South Carolina. They're at home, they got their bad game out of the way a few weeks ago and they have their sights on the SEC Championship game. Arkansas on the other hand has a great offense but no D. How in the world are they going to cover those 3 physical receivers SC has plus stop Lattimore?
So. Carolina is the play of the week.Comment -
FootballguruSBR High Roller
- 01-06-10
- 209
#99are you playing maryland +7.5??Comment -
Strange DesignSBR Sharp
- 10-06-10
- 251
#100Good luck boys and girls. Let's cash it.Comment -
mangina11SBR Sharp
- 02-01-10
- 397
#10112:00 games to watch - Air Force v Army and NC ST v Clemson. Lets wait about a half hour, as that clemson line is getting right on that 60% mark. Army is under the 60/40 mark, but as total said it crossed the magic # of 7.... The longer we wait the more information we will getComment -
EXhoosier10SBR MVP
- 07-06-09
- 3122
#103Good luck this weeknd everyoneComment -
GGPLAYERSBR MVP
- 03-26-09
- 2981
#104I agree with this and brought it up yesterday as well. I throw games out which lose key players like this.Comment -
playr101SBR MVP
- 01-16-10
- 2029
#105lets get this first game.... clemson!!
-playr101Comment
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