System Integrity?

coreygman · 05-25-09, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by ploben

Hey hey to everyone! Just got back today from the cruise. Catch me up to speed.

Hey buddy welcome back, We did have a 5 game win streak! now we are on 3 losses in a row, I have attached my spreadsheet for the last month, so you can keep your info updated bro.

Attached Files

ploben · 05-25-09, 10:35 AM

Thanks Corey. Looks good man. I hope to bring it back today with the NYM bet and get off this L streak.

I can't believe the Yanks but for our system purposes it looks like you took them 3 times so that works out. BOS is in 1st in the AL East so that's alright with me

coreygman · 05-25-09, 10:44 AM

so how much you win on the boat?

coreygman · 05-25-09, 10:47 AM

Ok fellas, I am on the METS for today

NYM J MAINE -R -165 -1½ +120
Risking 156 to win 187

jellobiafra · 05-25-09, 11:01 AM

Sounds good to me corey. Great job keeping this thing going by the way.

Let's go Mets.

jellobiafra · 05-25-09, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

Just saw a stat in Chance Harper's article here that the Cubs have cashed the run line in 17 of 21 games where they've been favored. Something to think about.

Might start a separate chase on this alone. Just chase the Cubs run line in all games where they are the ML favorite. Only 4 overall losses on the year.

ploben · 05-25-09, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by coreygman

so how much you win on the boat?

Net $260. Never seen hotter rolls before in my life. Can never roll like I did on land at a casino so it's gotta be the rocking that moves the dice right.

coreygman · 05-25-09, 11:45 AM

I am heading off to the riverboat casino in about an hour, hope I got some luck coming with me!

And thanks jellobiafra

jellobiafra · 05-25-09, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

In fact, 7.5 tells me that there might be heavy winds blowing in today/tonight. I know the Cubs are cold, but these two pitchers don't deserve this low a number against anybody. If the weather isn't a factor, I might consider playing the over on that one as a side bet.

Wish I'd have followed through on this threat. 13 runs already in the 5th inning.

Vincepcion · 05-25-09, 09:38 PM

Winner on the Mets

On to tomorrow (Saunders/LAA)

aneurysm00 · 05-25-09, 09:45 PM

Walk fest at Citi Field. Difficult to watch but they get the job done.
LAA it is tomorrow but they are getting shelled right now!

coreygman · 05-25-09, 11:03 PM

Thank you Mets!

coreygman · 05-25-09, 11:07 PM

This is what my book is reading as the bet right now also, I should make it tonight since its +, but I will wait till morning, since thats what I always do!

LAA J SAUNDERS-L -200 -1½ +105

Vincepcion · 05-26-09, 01:28 AM

I doubt LAA will stay at +105...I think people will bet CWS and the number will be better for us tomorrow

Saunders isnt THAT respected in the league yet

do5000 · 05-26-09, 09:36 AM

nice win last night. for once the mets held a lead!

fortunately the -180 tie had 2 different totals so the decision was easy (and turned out to be correct).

ive got LAA RL +110

Slanina · 05-26-09, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by coreygman

This is what my book is reading as the bet right now also, I should make it tonight since its +, but I will wait till morning, since thats what I always do!

LAA J SAUNDERS-L -200 -1½ +105

LAA is only at -190 at my book. So hopefully, I can get it at +110 or higher! 1030am and bodog hasn't put up their runlines. It's killing me. I'm never usually up this early and so it never bothered me before.

Slanina · 05-26-09, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by Slanina

LAA is only at -190 at my book. So hopefully, I can get it at +110 or higher! 1030am and bodog hasn't put up their runlines. It's killing me. I'm never usually up this early and so it never bothered me before.

Well that sucks. The lines finally came out on Bodog. The ML dropped again to 185 but the RL is at +105. Doh.

Slanina · 05-26-09, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by andy_qlster

HEy guys. I read first few pages of the thread, so i basically undertsand the system. Can someone put up this year's record?

Thx a bunch

I don't know the exact number but it hasn't lost. Coreygman is keeping track of it in his signature. Which says it's 21-0 with an overall record of 21-21. But I don't know how long he's been doing the system for.

ploben · 05-26-09, 12:39 PM

LAA got routed last night so hoping for a little revenge today.

+ money is looking good just in case of a L tonight because NYM are the play tomorrow against the Nats

jellobiafra · 05-26-09, 12:52 PM

I think Corey picked it up after I left. It was like 6-0 or something while I was recording it. This thing is pretty sweet. I didn't end up playing last night but I wish I had. I'm probably going to just keep monitoring until we get another C or D bet. Should have jumped in last night but I was more focused on the Nuggets and honestly just forgot.

dreamjob · 05-26-09, 01:13 PM

Got it! LAA -1.5 +115 matchbook. This is my first time betting the runline. This system looks solid. I thought that I would give it a try.Lets make some money.

DJ

Nick6570 · 05-26-09, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by coreygman

Hey buddy welcome back, We did have a 5 game win streak! now we are on 3 losses in a row, I have attached my spreadsheet for the last month, so you can keep your info updated bro.

I was under the assumption that you picked the favorite for the day, and you stuck with them until they won.

For Example: Dodgers at -190 L, Wouldnt i play the Dodgers again the following day regardless of if they are the highest favorite?? and follow them them until they win?

If i am mistaken then i apologize, because i saw on the post I quoted that he picks the team with the highest ML regardless.

Thanks

GGPLAYER · 05-26-09, 02:13 PM

First time reader of this tread and I would like to join in. Couple things....there were a lot of postings regarding splitting up your bet between the RL and ML to make it -1 instead of -1.5. Has that thought or way of going about it been abandoned? Secondly I glanced at Corey's spreadsheet that he posted and I saw a few games with a - (negative) RL. I thought the true chase was only suppose to be given to teams with a + RL? I apologize if this has been stated/answered previously but there are a lot of posts to get thru to find some answers. Plus I'm at work and I just spent an hour reading things

If my assumption is correct than today’s bet is LAA +110 on the RL and is a "A" bet.

I thank everyone in advance for their responses. GG

rogerc · 05-26-09, 02:30 PM

Ok, I am new and also in.
If I understand this system right I am going with LAA -1.5 RL o +115.
I will read this entire thread again to make sure I am understand this system and can contribute.
Looks good so far and thanks for all the work.
Roger

jamesrg · 05-26-09, 02:33 PM

I'm gonna try it too

I find baseball too random day to day to bet it wothout some kind of angle or system

GGPLAYER · 05-26-09, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by jamesrg

I'm gonna try it too

I find baseball too random day to day to bet it wothout some kind of angle or system

Exactly why I want to give this a try. Figure it will keep me focused on things and can get thru the summer until football starts. I've been betting WAY too many games on a daily basis just to win a few bucks or lose a lot.

GGPLAYER · 05-26-09, 02:57 PM

Originally posted by Nick6570

I was under the assumption that you picked the favorite for the day, and you stuck with them until they won.

For Example: Dodgers at -190 L, Wouldnt i play the Dodgers again the following day regardless of if they are the highest favorite?? and follow them them until they win?

If i am mistaken then i apologize, because i saw on the post I quoted that he picks the team with the highest ML regardless.

Thanks

I totally new to this as well but I do feel I have a handle on which team to bet. Your not chasing the team (LAD) but rather the team with the best odds of winning that day for lack of a better way of putting it. So today the team with the best odds to win is LAA at -200 and the RL is +110. If they lose tonight then we wait for the lines to come out for tomorrow's action and so on.

floridagolfer · 05-26-09, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by Slanina

I don't know the exact number but it hasn't lost. Coreygman is keeping track of it in his signature. Which says it's 21-0 with an overall record of 21-21. But I don't know how long he's been doing the system for.

The system is better than that. I got onto this starting April 17 and it's 22-0 since then (with 19 of these wins coming in either Game 1 or 2).

coreygman · 05-26-09, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by Slanina

I don't know the exact number but it hasn't lost. Coreygman is keeping track of it in his signature. Which says it's 21-0 with an overall record of 21-21. But I don't know how long he's been doing the system for.

I started this April 13th, 2009.

I did lock it in today with LAA, and I got it at +110 as it did go up today! whoo hooo!

LAA J SAUNDERS-L -185 -1½ +110

I am risking 30 to win 33.

do5000 · 05-26-09, 03:57 PM

Welcome to all the new followers!

its a huge pain, but i strongly suggest re-reading the entire thread. i know its long but its well worth it as many of the same questions keep coming back every 7-8 pages.

there are many suggested variations, but so far the only tested system has been a 6 game chase chosen by the opening lines ONLY. Biggest fav on the ML. playing 6 days or start over.
the split bet (part on ML and part on RL) was suggested around pages 5-10 (i think) and only works with a -ML and a +RL. the same can be achieved by getting RL-1 if your book offers it, although you will need to risk more as the odds arent as profitable.

When you read it through, make sure to note what has been tested vs what people have suggested might work. doesnt mean they are wrong, just means they havent been proven right yet.

unless there is a tie in an opening line, there should be no confusion or discussion about which game to bet.

trust me, i'm dumber than all of you, and i figured it out eventually...

coreygman · 05-26-09, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by Nick6570

I was under the assumption that you picked the favorite for the day, and you stuck with them until they won.

For Example: Dodgers at -190 L, Wouldnt i play the Dodgers again the following day regardless of if they are the highest favorite?? and follow them them until they win?

If i am mistaken then i apologize, because i saw on the post I quoted that he picks the team with the highest ML regardless.

Thanks

ya don't do that, you want to pick the best favorite EVERY DAY, so this could change everyday. We go by covers.com and what ever team opens at the highest - number, they are the team we chase for that day only.

coreygman · 05-26-09, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by floridagolfer

The system is better than that. I got onto this starting April 17 and it's 22-0 since then (with 19 of these wins coming in either Game 1 or 2).

Ya, But I think you are making more then one bet a day correct?

I have made only one bet each day with the biggest ML fav since April 13th. 42 days, with an system record of 21-0. (overall = 21-21) 1 day was postponed.

jellobiafra · 05-26-09, 04:16 PM

I just went and checked the beginning of the thread. It was 4-0 when I stopped tracking it, so you the system should be 25-0 on the season. Not too shabby.

EDIT:

It was 4-3 on overall plays. I think that was as of April 13th which is the day corey started tracking it. Maybe you should add those numbers to your totals corey so we have an accurate account of the whole season. Just a thought....

aneurysm00 · 05-26-09, 04:44 PM

I've been on this system since Apr 10th. I'm primarily betting ont he RL -1 but if the juice I have to lay is too high, I play the RL -1.5

Yesterday was by far my biggest bet as the favorites had lost straight up for three games in a row. Anyway, it's worked very well for me so far.

Attached Files

rogerc · 05-26-09, 06:34 PM

Would any of you that are using an excel spreadsheet mind sharing?
I would love to have this and keep track and have a record from the beginning of the season.
Thanks
Roger