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Yeah 5dimes got Pitt +1.5 at -165 and +132 on the moneyline. Are they a play though? I jumped the gun anticipating a couple of games before but TDK plays are a little different then Stiflers. Thankfully they were both winners
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Oh yeah, I guess I should make it known that I'm not 100% percent sure the Pitt game is a play for tomorrow. I was inferring that it was from TDK's Twitter and I saw the flubbed line on Topbet so I jumped, but I would wait for confirmation before playing.Comment -
I asked him over message, +1.5 Pitt is a play for tomorrow gl guys...Comment -
Thanks TDK, I managed to get these bets in via live betting.
Can't believe I'm still watching the Angels/A's game in the bottom of the 19th.
Longest game in A's history by time 6h01m and counting
Longest game in O.Co Coliseum history
Longest game in Angels history by time 6h23m and counting
3rd game in A's history to go 19 innings.
-Record is 21 innings at WSH in 1971
Brandon Moss with 2-run walk-off to win it as I was typing...finallyComment -
Oh, big bet tonight on pirates +1,5Comment -
ya, game 4 will be on PIT +1.5.
Love that A's team and that never give up attitude. So many times they had their backs against the wall and something clutch happens.
Plays and recap will come in a few hours, running late this morning.Comment -
Thanks TDK, I managed to get these bets in via live betting.
Can't believe I'm still watching the Angels/A's game in the bottom of the 19th.
Longest game in A's history by time 6h01m and counting
Longest game in O.Co Coliseum history
Longest game in Angels history by time 6h23m and counting
3rd game in A's history to go 19 innings.
-Record is 21 innings at WSH in 1971
Brandon Moss with 2-run walk-off to win it as I was typing...finally
The A's were down i think 5 runs in the 8th? and they won. the game before something similar- they have some really clutch hitting down the stretchComment -
Recap of 4/29/13
4 game chase play:
#35: Pirates +1.5 -210 (1733/825) for Game 3 Loser, on to Game 4 on 4/30/13
#67: Tigers -248 (248/100) for Game 1 Winner
#68: Brewers -127 (127/100) for Game 1 Winner
#69: Cardinals -127 (127/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 4/30/13
#70: Yankees -258 (258/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 4/30/13
#63: Giants -105 (485/462) for Game 3 Winner
#71: Giants -105 (105/100) for Game 1 Winner
YTD: 60-0 +6000
Game 1: 40 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 13 (#39, #48, #56, #69, #70 pending)
Game 3: 5 (#37, #46, #64 pending)
Game 4: 2 (#35 pending)Comment -
Plays for 4/30/13
4 game chase play:
#35: Pirates +1.5 25.58u for Game 4 (I'm waiting on line movement...weird how line got worse overnight!)
#69: Cardinals -138 (313/227) for Game 2
#70: Yankees -287 (1027/358) for Game 2 (Yikes!)
#72: Royals -128 (128/100) for Game 1
#73: Mets -123 (123/100) for Game 1
#74: Phillies -115 (115/100) for Game 1
huge day for the system today, cross your fingers and good luck all...
YTD: 60-0 +6000
Game 1: 40 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 13 (#39, #48, #56, #69, #70 pending)
Game 3: 5 (#37, #46, #64 pending)
Game 4: 2 (#35 pending)Comment -
In summary go Pirates and Yankees.
Ty DarkKnight.Comment -
ty tdk! agreed dal,i wont be home to watch. i dont know if thats better or worseComment -
Now that's some heavy juice my friends...NYY -294
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Plays for 4/30/13
Pit line added.
4 game chase play:
#35: Pirates +1.5 -170 (4349/2558) for Game 4
#69: Cardinals -138 (313/227) for Game 2
#70: Yankees -287 (1027/358) for Game 2 (Yikes!)
#72: Royals -128 (128/100) for Game 1
#73: Mets -123 (123/100) for Game 1
#74: Phillies -115 (115/100) for Game 1
Notes:
Lots riding on Pirates tonight. If you're uncomfortable with it, feel free to transfer units around to other/future chases that you do like. I probably won't be around to watch/gamecast the game so I'll either be in for a horrible or a great surprise after the game. good luck...
YTD: 60-0 +6000
Game 1: 40 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 13 (#39, #48, #56, #69, #70 pending)
Game 3: 5 (#37, #46, #64 pending)
Game 4: 2 (#35 pending)Comment -
wrong postComment -
Weeks 3-run dinger hurts real bad
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uggh! At least the Yankees came inComment -
very very ugly
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It's ok guys its a new day tomorrow.. think ill set out rl bets from here on too much juice.Comment -
sorry guys...
I checked the score on my phone and was sick to my stomach to see that we were 2 outs away from being clear...
Definitely not how I wanted to end what would have been a great month but that's baseball for ya, it's a grind, lots of plays left. Dalogester said it best, it's a new day tomorrow, let's take care of business and start a new streak!Comment -
Recap of 4/30/13
4 game chase play:
#35: Pirates +1.5 -170 (4349/2558) for Game 4 Loser (-6807)
#69: Cardinals -138 (313/227) for Game 2 Winner
#70: Yankees -287 (1027/358) for Game 2 Winner
#72: Royals -128 (128/100) for Game 1 Winner
#73: Mets -123 (123/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/1/13
#74: Phillies -115 (115/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/1/13
YTD: 63-1 -507
Game 1: 41 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 14 (#39, #48, #56, #73, #74 pending)
Game 3: 5 (#37, #46, #64 pending)
Game 4: 2
Losses: 1Comment -
Morning Plays for 5/1/13
4 game chase play:
#73: Mets -134 (299/223) for Game 2
#75: Mets -134 (134/100) for Game 1
Rest of the card will come in the morning.
YTD: 63-1 -507
Game 1: 41 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 14 (#39, #48, #56, #73, #74 pending)
Game 3: 5 (#37, #46, #64 pending)
Game 4: 2
Losses: 1Comment -
Yup, tomorrow's gonna be a new day. Let's face it...it would be nice if we had a perfect season but it ain't gonna happen. We went 64 games before we lost a single game 4 so can't really complain. It's just unfortunate that all 4 games in this particular chase is of extremely high juice for the reverse runline. I would just stick with moneylines or runlines.
Go Mets Go!!
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Well said there skyscrapers. It is what it is and we just drive on. Glad to see the haters are not around. Props to TDK for the 64 winners previously. I know I couldn't have done it without ya!Yup, tomorrow's gonna be a new day. Let's face it...it would be nice if we had a perfect season but it ain't gonna happen. We went 64 games before we lost a single game 4 so can't really complain. It's just unfortunate that all 4 games in this particular chase is of extremely high juice for the reverse runline. I would just stick with moneylines or runlines.
Go Mets Go!!Comment -
Truly amazing work here, TDK.
It's easy to lose sight of all that you've accomplished when the few losses incurred when using a chase system are such big blows to the bankroll, but that is the nature of chase systems- baby steps forward, and giant steps back.
Instead of letting anger/emotion get the best of you when you get hit by a loss, take a moment to reflect on what's happened so far and gain a little perspective...it's a long season, and if you don't trust that come September we will be well in the black, then maybe you shouldn't have started using this system in the first place.
I'm not pointing fingers at anyone, I just know how easy it is to get frustrated/angry/whatever when one of these losses hits. Today is a new day...let the winning begin again!Comment -
Plays for 5/1/13
Final card for today:
4 game chase play:
#73: Mets -134 (299/223) for Game 2
#75: Mets -134 (134/100) for Game 1
#74: Phillies -140 (301/215) for Game 2
Random Notes:
Took a huge hit last night, the amount of juice associated with that one was insane. For any of you that are new to chase systems, welcome to the life of chasers. We win a lot and lose sometimes but the losses are substantial in that it can wipe everything out, as is the case that happened with us last night. Just like any other capper, we hope to win more than we lose.
I took the night to think about the loss and find out ways to limit our exposure to some of these huge games and came up with an alternative solution. Going forward, if a chase begins to get expensive or if I'm not liking the matchup, I will transfer a few of the units onto other chases that I like more. That way, we can spread the money around a little bit in hopes of avoiding potential huge losses. When I move units around, I will make sure it's noted properly.
Another alternative would be to parlay the games to reduce the juice but I'm not a big fan of parlays in baseball so I probably won't be doing this, I prefer transferring units around.
I'd like to emphasize that this is what I will be doing... just because I do it does NOT mean you have to do it this way.
Anyway, good luck!
YTD: 63-1 -507
Game 1: 41 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 14 (#39, #48, #56, #73, #74 pending)
Game 3: 5 (#37, #46, #64 pending)
Game 4: 2
Losses: 1Comment -
That much confidence in the phillies? They got absolutely hammered by the Indians last night. I like the system though, obviously has good results.Comment -
I am new to the forum but I have been wagering on sports for a decade plus. The Dark Knight's system is very impressive and one loss does not detract from that. If I were to attempt to provide any insight I would note that a remarkable portion of wins(41 wins/%65) are obtained within the first game. It appears more than profitable if one were to only bet game ones or take the chase to game 2 where the second largest portions of wins are; 14 wins in game 2 plus 41 game one wins right now represents %87 of the wins. Nice, hugh? Also, I believe the golden rule that an above 500 team at home playing an under 500 team is an ideal wager from which to gauge how one would proceed when playing any chase system. I say all this because reducing exposure is a major concern for all of us when engaging in a chase play. The Dark Knight, you are doing a great job and don't let anyone tell you otherwise. Thank you!Comment -
Damn, the pirates looks like they win tonightComment -
One game too late goddam Pirates. Hope they miss the playoffs for another 20 years.Comment -
You take that back!Comment -
Since I'm sure some of you have peaked at my RL system, which is based on Stifler's system, I just finished running the numbers on the RL version of TDK's system and the numbers are pretty wild...
Bear in mind that this is based on betting on the next 4 games after a series is generated(i.e. starting with #75 NYM, we would play the Mets tonight and their next 3 games until they cover/lose).
This is based on a 1-2-4-8 betting strategy:
Game 1: Bet 1 unit
Game 2: Bet 2 units
Game 3: Bet 4 units
Game 4: Bet 8 units
So here are the numbers, they're quite staggering
Record: 68-4, +126.36 units
3 open series
Bet Records:
Game 1: 28-47
Game 2: 14-31
Game 3: 16-13
Game 4: 9-4
3 of the 9 Game 4 wins profited 10+ units
Smallest series win was .20 units
Largest series win was 12.20 units
The average profit per series win is 2.48 units
Some food for thought...Comment -
Thanks for your efforts, Samrock. I had a feeling it was going to be something substantial and you just proved it. A huge bankroll and some huge balls would be needed though, the game 1 and 2's win % is awful.Comment -
It's just as bad in Stifler's system...
The numbers on Bet 1 and 2 for both of you are practically identical, but Bet 3 in your system sees a dramatic reversal of fortune. It is because of this that your profit is so much higher- Stifler is even averaging slightly more profit per series win than you(1.87)
RL Record: 59-6(+20.74u), Bet Records
A bet: 26-47
B bet: 16-29
C bet: 9-18
D bet: 8-6Comment
