Multiple MLB Chase Systems (+250 units in 2012)

dalogester · 05-06-13, 10:28 AM

Why is #92 padres? Wasn't the first game 1 bet phillies??
Ahh right when you responded i looked and it made sense to be a marlins fade. I get it.. thank you, was just making sure I had correct $ amount on game because my odds are a little different then yours. ty for clearing that up.

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-06-13, 10:34 AM

cooler, I try to be conservative and play it at less than 1%, perhaps .67% or .5% since there will be so many chases going on at once but that's just me.

Dalo, #92 is a Miami fade, they play SD now so the chase gets transferred to them.

skyscrapers · 05-06-13, 11:58 AM

Was #91,92 a 3u chase and #93,94 a 2u chase? I may have overlooked that so now for those game 2s we go back to chase to win 1u correct?

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-06-13, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by skyscrapers

Was #91,92 a 3u chase and #93,94 a 2u chase? I may have overlooked that so now for those game 2s we go back to chase to win 1u correct?

Yup that's correct bud. That will probably be a trend for me this week on certain chases, bet to win 2u on Game 1 then if the chase goes further than that drop it back down to 1u.

skyscrapers · 05-06-13, 12:09 PM

Good, I assume this is the process of transfering the 11u from that MIL series I'm guessing.
I'm actually using this strategy to recuperate some of the chases that I missed too. GL my friend...

knugen · 05-06-13, 02:20 PM

Tdk. Thx for all your hard job, do you know about when u gonna know if there are plays on braves and dodgers?

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-06-13, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by knugen

Tdk. Thx for all your hard job, do you know about when u gonna know if there are plays on braves and dodgers?

I'll try and update by 3:30pm PST for the Braves game and by 5pm PST for the Dodgers game...

If you'd like to track as well, I use scores and odds . com... if they're at -105 and in bold or higher it's a play. If not, no play. ATL currently at -102 while Dodgers are at -103...

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-06-13, 05:21 PM

Update:

NO PLAY on the Braves or the Dodgers today. I am calling it

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-07-13, 12:15 AM

Recap of 5/6/13

4 game chase play:
#92: Padres -182 (1170/643) for Game 2 [changing this to a 1u play] Winner
#94: Indians -117 (456/390) for Game 2 [changing this to a 1u play] Winner
#95: Padres -182 (182/100) for Game 1 Winner
#96: Giants -145 (145/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/7/13

YTD: 89-2 +1022
Game 1: 56 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 22 (#39, #93, #96 pending)
Game 3: 8
Game 4: 3
Losses: 2

Series Chase Plays:
#6: Padres -182 (182/100) for Game 1 Winner
#7: Giants -145 (145/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/7/13
#8: Red Sox -208 (416/200) for Game 1 [2u play] Winner

YTD: 6-0 +700
Game 1: 3
Game 2: 3 (#7 pending)

Jellybeans · 05-07-13, 01:40 AM

Nice comeback Boston!
Question:
3 game chase #4, cancelled or gonna be replace? Just that I have as TBD.
Thanks again TDK.

J.M. Disciple · 05-07-13, 01:45 AM

#1 OAK WIN (A)
#2 TOR WIN (A)
#3 MIL LOSE (A)
#4 LAD WIN (A)
#3 MIL LOSE (B)
#5 PHI WIN (A)
#6 METS WIN (A)
#7 CWS WIN (A)
#3 MIL LOSE (C.)
#3 MIL WIN (D)
#8 SF WIN (A)
#9 SF WIN (A)
#10 KC WIN (A)
#11 ARZ WIN (B) *SKIPPED A???
#13 ARZ WIN (A) *SKIPPED #12? *POST #257 #258
#14 LAA LOSE (A)
#15 SEA LOSE (A)
#16 LAA LOSE (A)
#14 LAA LOSE (B)
#17 NYY WIN (A)
#18 BOS POSTPONED
#19 DET LOSE (A)
#20 NYM WIN (A)
#14 LAA WIN (C.)
#16 LAA WIN (B)
#18 BOS WIN (A)
#19 DET WIN (B) *SKIPPED #21 GAME 1???
#22 STL WIN (A)
#23 BAL WIN (A)
#24 CIN POSTPONED
#15 SEA LOSE (B)
#24 CIN WIN (A)
#25 WAS WIN (A)
#26 SF WIN (A)
#27 LAD LOSE (A)
#28 LAA POST PONED (A)
#29 MIN POST PONED (A)
#30 TOR WIN (A)
#31 CIN (A) WIN
#27 SF WIN (B)
#32 TOR LOSE (A)
#33 TB WIN (A)
#34 ARZ WIN (A)
#35 CHC LOSE (A)
#36 SF WIN (A)
#37 PHI LOSE (A)
#32 TOR WIN (B)
#35 CHC LOSE (B)
#38 ATL LOSE (A)
#39 ATL LOSE (A)
#40 STL LOSE (A)
#38 ATL POST PONED (B)
#40 STL WIN (B)
#41 BOS WIN (A)
#42 CWS WIN (A)
#43 TEX WIN (A)
#38 ATL WIN (B)
#44 CIN LOSE (A)
#45 CWS POST PONED (A)
#46 SEA LOSE (A)
#47 DET POSTPONED (A)
#48 MIN LOSE (A)
#49 OAK POSTPONED (A)
#50 PHI LOSE (A)
#51 WAS LOSE (A)
#21 WAS LOSE (B) * WHAT happened TO A?
#37 WAS LOSE (B)
#44 CIN WIN (B)
#45 CWS WIN (A)
#46 SEA LOSE (B)
#47 DET WIN (A)
#49 OAK WIN (A)
#50 PHI LOSE (B)
#51 WAS LOSE (B)
#52 TOR WIN (A)
#53 BOS WIN (A)
#21 WAS WIN (C.)
#50 PHI LOSE (C.)
#51 WAS WIN (C.)
#54 TEX WIN (A)
#55 PHI LOSE (A)
#56 PHI LOSE (A)
#50 STL WIN (D)
#55 STL WIN (B)
#57 DET WIN (A)
#58 ARZ LOSE (A)
#59 LAD WIN (A)
#60 LAD WIN (A)
#15 SEA WIN (C.)
#58 ARZ WIN (B)
#61 OAK LOSE (A)
#62 OAK LOS (A)
#63 SF LOSE (A)
#64 SF LOSE (A)
#65 LAD LOSE (A)
#61 OAK WIN (B)
#62 OAK WIN (B)
#63 SF LOSE (B)
#64 SF LOSE (B)
#65 LAD WIN (B)
#66 NYY WIN (A)
#35 PIT LOSE (C.)
#67 DET WIN (A)
#68 MIL WIN (A)
#69 STL LOSE (A)
#70 NYY LOSE (A)
#63 SF WIN (C.)
#71 SF WIN (A)
#35 PIT LOSE (D)
#69 STL WIN (B)
#70 NYY WIN (B)
#72 KC WIN (A)
#73 NYM LOSE (A)
#74 PHI LOSE (A)
#73 NYM WIN (B)
#75 NYM WIN (A)
#74 PHI LOSE (B)
#46 DET WIN (C.)
#48 PHI WIN (B)
#56 PHI WIN (B)
#74 PHI WIN (C.)
#76 ATL LOSE (A)
#77 SD WIN (A)
#78 DET WIN (A)
#79 DET WIN (A)
#80 KC POSTPONED
#81 KC POSTPONED
#37 MIL LOSE (C.)
#64 ARZ LOSE (C.)
#76 ATL LOSE (B)
#82 ATL LOSE (A)
#83 TEX WIN (A)
#84 TEX WIN (A)
#85 CIN WIN (A)
#86 CIN WIN (A)
#64 ARZ WIN (D)
#87 WAS WIN (A)
#88 TOR LOSE (A)
#89 DET WIN (A)
#80 KC WIN (A)
#81 KC WIN (A)
#90 SF WIN (A)
#76 ATL WIN (C.)
#82 ATL WIN (B)
#88 TOR WIN (B)
#91 SF WIN (A)
#92 PHI LOSE (A)
#93 MIL LOSE (A)
#94 NYY LOSE (A)
#92 SD WIN (B)
#94 CLE WIN (B)
#95 SD WIN (A)
#96 SF LOSE (A)

J.M. Disciple · 05-07-13, 01:47 AM

These are the results based on your recaps. As you can see from notes above I have a couple questions. What happened to chase #12?

Anyone have tally for A B C D? I dont feel like tallying it up right now... gotta get to sleep, but thought this list might help some people.

grecycle99 · 05-07-13, 06:24 AM

Great job again tdk
thanks

Poison-Nut · 05-07-13, 07:15 AM

Come on Giants, double play for them tonight.

Have to tip my cap to you TDK, great system you have.

skyscrapers · 05-07-13, 08:59 AM

Chase #12 was on PHI on Apr. 09 and was cleared on the 'A' bet.

But TDK you actually did omit #5 on the 3-game chase on CLE which was cleared on the 'A' bet on May 03

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-07-13, 09:17 AM

Jellybeans, #4 will be TBD since I thought the KC series turned into a 2 game series but it ended up being a 3. The next series chase on KC will be #4, I'll update my record and put it as pending on my next update.

Thanks skyscrapers for answering that. I don't think #5 was omitted, I believe it was #4 but I'll double check.

J.M. Disciple, I'll get to your other issues in a bit after I work on plays for today. Will you keep posted, whoa that must have taken a ton of time going through and looking that up! Thanks

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-07-13, 10:19 AM

Plays for 5/7/13

4 game chase play:
#28: Angels -178 (178/100) for Game 1
#96: Giants -133 (326/245) for Game 2
#97: Dodgers -123 (123/100) for Game 1
#98: Orioles -120 (240/200) for Game 1 [2u]
#99: A’s -107 (214/200) for Game 1 [2u]
#100: Rockies -120 (120/100) for Game 1
#101: Mets -157 (157/100) for Game 1
#102: Padres -179 (179/100) for Game 1
#103: Rangers -113 (113/100) for Game 1

YTD: 89-2 +1022
Game 1: 56 (#28, #29 pending)
Game 2: 22 (#39, #93, #96 pending)
Game 3: 8
Game 4: 3
Losses: 2

Series Chase Plays:
#7: Giants -133 (326/245) for Game 2
#9: Mets -157 (157/100) for Game 1

YTD: 6-0 +700
Game 1: 3 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 3 (#7 pending)

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-07-13, 10:31 AM

#11: Game 1 was on 4/9/13 on the DBacks. They lost and Game 2 was on 4/10/13 where they won

#19: Game 1 was on 4/12/13 on the Tigers. They lost and Game 2 was on 4/13/13 where they won

#21: Game 1 was on 4/14/13 on the Nationals. They lost and Game 2 was on the Nationals for 4/24/13 where they lost. Game 3 was on Nationals on 4/25/13 where they won.

I'm not sure what post # they are, there's quite a bit of clutter on here...I went through my spreadsheet to dig this up. I hope that helps.

Swarles · 05-07-13, 04:25 PM

I have went back through this entire thread tracking just the game 1 results for the 4 game chases, just because i wanted to see myself what odds are better to bet on...

>+100 - 1 - 0
-101 to -120 - 9 - 7
-121 to -140 - 12 - 11
-141 to -160 - 14 - 10
-161 to -180 - 12 - 6
-181 to -200 - 6 - 4
-201 to -220 - 3 - 0
-220+ - 1 - 1

Remember that these are strictly game 1 results. Games that TDK bet on the RL were included as well.

Note: It seemed that a lot of these started to level out and go win loss win loss after the season settled in a little bit.

DustyDiamond · 05-07-13, 08:26 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

These are the results based on your recaps. As you can see from notes above I have a couple questions. What happened to chase #12?

Anyone have tally for A B C D? I dont feel like tallying it up right now... gotta get to sleep, but thought this list might help some people.

JMD are you still playing only using 1 labby line?

Dayna619 · 05-07-13, 08:31 PM

can you explain the different system rules?

samrock67 · 05-07-13, 08:42 PM

Originally posted by Dayna619

can you explain the different system rules?

Nope. There are no rules. Follow-->Profit-->EZ game

J.M. Disciple · 05-07-13, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by DustyDiamond

JMD are you still playing only using 1 labby line?

I do not remember saying I was playing this system... I went through the list of plays to try and see how the labby would fair. I am not sure I want to play this system, but my advice if you are running a labby with this system since it does hit pretty far above 50% from what I can see is only play each team for 1 play if you are using the labby. There are many occasions when you have multiple series on the same time. Just treat it as one play to cross off two #s. Also because there are many games, I would suggest running a labby similar to On3, but maybe keep a few more numbers on your lines instead of leaving it at 4. Maybe start with six #s per line and run 3 lines like On3 does.

I am currently starting to follow my own system and On3. This one I am still considering even though its pretty far into the system already. Will have to do some virtual testing to decide what my best strategy would be. I have a system I am playing on RL that seems pretty consistent so far, but not a huge profit. I am just trying to win 10 units a month, not trying to be too greedy yet. Build a cushion before adding too many more systems. I failed multiple times doing that in the past.

MoneyTree · 05-07-13, 09:24 PM

dam i got killed down 1000 R.I.P

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-08-13, 12:27 AM

Plays for 5/8/13 Part 1

Will post recap in the morning, wanted to get this in now

4 game chase play:
#28: Angels -141 (392/278) for Game 2
#96: Giants -158 (902/571) for Game 3
#104: Cardinals -116 (232/200) for Game 1 [2u]
#105: Rays -183 (183/100) for Game 1
#106: Rays -183 (183/100) for Game 1
Series Chase Plays:
#7: Giants -158 (902/571) for Game 3

Rest of plays and recap will be posted tomorrow

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-08-13, 01:35 PM

Recap of 5/7/13

4 game chase play:
#28: Angels -178 (178/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/8/13
#96: Giants -133 (326/245) for Game 2 Loser, on to Game 3 on 5/8/13
#97: Dodgers -123 (123/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/8/13
#98: Orioles -120 (240/200) for Game 1 [2u] Winner
#99: A’s -107 (214/200) for Game 1 [2u] Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/8/13
#100: Rockies -120 (120/100) for Game 1 Winner
#101: Mets -157 (157/100) for Game 1 Winner
#102: Padres -179 (179/100) for Game 1 Winner
#103: Rangers -113 (113/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/10/13

YTD: 93-2 +1522
Game 1: 60 (#29 pending)
Game 2: 22 (#28, #39, #93, #97, #99, #103 pending)
Game 3: 8 (#96 pending)
Game 4: 3
Losses: 2

Series Chase Plays:
#7: Giants -133 (326/245) for Game 2 Loser, on to Game 3 on 5/8/13
#9: Mets -157 (157/100) for Game 1 Winner

YTD: 7-0 +800
Game 1: 4 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 3
Game 3: 0 (#7 pending)

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-08-13, 01:38 PM

Additional Plays for 5/8/13

Additional Plays:

4 game chase play:
#93: Brewers -115 (380/330) [changing this back to 1u] for Game 2
#97: Dodgers -182 (406/223) for Game 2
#99: A's -103 (323/314) for Game 2

card is now final. Good luck!

skyscrapers · 05-08-13, 05:33 PM

Blown save by Romo

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-08-13, 05:35 PM

sigh...

Need a Giants walk off big here...

theanswer03k · 05-08-13, 05:47 PM

wow are you kidding me, caught stealing and then double =.= seriously putrid luck here

dalogester · 05-08-13, 05:48 PM

Yeah then a fly out and runner couldn't even advance because he was trying to go for it all. Choke job guarantee we lose now.

tg09 · 05-08-13, 05:53 PM

I realize I'm a little late to the party and I'm sure you already covered this scenario but if I'm reading correctly you are betting to win 2 units on the rangers to beat the brewers tonight and betting to win 1 unit on the brewers to beat the rangers?

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-08-13, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by tg09

I realize I'm a little late to the party and I'm sure you already covered this scenario but if I'm reading correctly you are betting to win 2 units on the rangers to beat the brewers tonight and betting to win 1 unit on the brewers to beat the rangers?

There's no bet on the Rangers tonight, we're betting the Brewers on game 2 of the chase. The Rangers chase (Chase #103) will continue on Friday. I hope that helps.

Alright Giants get another crack at it, Cmon Giants...!!

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-08-13, 06:07 PM

Giants!!!

COYLO · 05-08-13, 06:09 PM

well done giants sat on one ass cheek the whole game but a wins a win, thank you dark knight