Multiple MLB Chase Systems (+250 units in 2012)

Poison-Nut · 05-18-13, 02:26 AM

TDK do you do baseball only????? Or do you have a system for College football or NFL????? Just wondering because you are amazing.

laca07 · 05-18-13, 12:04 PM

Should BALT be a play even though they're not faves at the moment?

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-18-13, 01:29 PM

yes, Balt is still a play.

No systems for College Football or NFL, I do cap nfl but it's just regular plays that I like. NFL is my favorite sport to watch and enjoy, I'm a HUGE Niners fan. Have championship hopes for them this season, really looking forward to it!

However, there are systems for NBA and NHL. I'll most likely post them as well but obviously MLB is currently my focus right now (and it's the most profitable).

good luck today guys, let's cash those Orioles and Angels.

mantorras77 · 05-18-13, 01:43 PM

TDK..any money management advice for this..meaning what % of bankroll do you recommend for 1 unit to be safe?

mantorras77 · 05-18-13, 02:39 PM

Originally posted by Mazzarini

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dalogester · 05-18-13, 03:26 PM

Booooooom, O's up 4-0 after 1.

skyscrapers · 05-18-13, 06:17 PM

Oh boy, Jimmy Johnson 3 Hits, 1 HR, 3 Runs & 2 Walks.

Balty completely lost it in the 9th.

dalogester · 05-18-13, 06:19 PM

This one Is gonna sting for awhile. especially if they lose one of these other chases too..

skyscrapers · 05-18-13, 06:29 PM

And now the fuking Angels are trying to piss their game away. White Sox with 5 runs in the 8th.

theanswer03k · 05-18-13, 06:49 PM

Final game for Orioles in 2 seperate chases....

hubbard689 · 05-18-13, 07:14 PM

Just stumbled upon this thread and trying to wrap my head around it. Think I got it, and looks pretty amazing. Looks like the O's lost some $ today but overall still up plenty!

So am I correct in that if I want to tail I simply make all of TDK's picks as he posts them and (130/100) for example means he bet $130 to win $100?

Thanks and continued good luck all season TDK!!

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-18-13, 07:15 PM

Damn, stupid O's...

Awesome, Moore's on the hill for the Rays tomorrow (sarcasm)...

I'm going to have to think about this one, have a game 4 and a game 3 on them tomorrow...

hubbard, yes that is correct.

mantorras, i recommend .5 - .66% of your bankroll as your unit measurement

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-18-13, 10:33 PM

Recap of 5/18/13

4 game chase play:
#134 Orioles -115 (650/565) for Game 3 Loser, on to Game 4 on 5/19/13 (I'm playing it on ML)
#137: Angels -138 (305/221) for Game 2 Winner
#138: Angels -138 (305/221) for Game 2 Winner
#143: Tigers -125 (125/100) for Game 1 Loser, Game 2 TBD
#144: Reds -105 (105/100) for Game 1 Winner

YTD: 134-2 +5222
Game 1: 85
Game 2: 33 (#117, #133, #143 pending)
Game 3: 11 (#93, #113, #115, #128 pending)
Game 4: 5 (#134 pending)
Losses: 2

Series Chase Plays:
#28: Orioles -115 (252/219) for Game 2 Loser, on to Game 3 on 5/19/13

YTD: 26-0 +3200
Game 1: 21 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 4
Game 3: 1 (#28 pending)

hubbard689 · 05-19-13, 08:20 AM

So I plan to start tailing today.. wondering if I should start off with just the "game 1s" like the 1 unit ones, and not the "chase" ones that are on game 2s or higher? Thanks again TDK and looking forward to today's picks

yankee8 · 05-19-13, 08:57 AM

Originally posted by hubbard689

Just stumbled upon this thread and trying to wrap my head around it. Think I got it, and looks pretty amazing. Looks like the O's lost some $ today but overall still up plenty!

So am I correct in that if I want to tail I simply make all of TDK's picks as he posts them and (130/100) for example means he bet $130 to win $100?

Thanks and continued good luck all season TDK!!

130/100 MEAN 100 to win 130 and 130 to win 100 is 100/130

dalogester · 05-19-13, 09:21 AM

Yankee you're wrong.. have it backwards

samrock67 · 05-19-13, 09:24 AM

Originally posted by hubbard689

So I plan to start tailing today.. wondering if I should start off with just the "game 1s" like the 1 unit ones, and not the "chase" ones that are on game 2s or higher? Thanks again TDK and looking forward to today's picks

Up to you. I would recommend starting with the game 1s to make it easier on yourself

if you are going to keep track on a spreadsheet, no harm in jumping in on series that have already started, though

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-19-13, 11:09 AM

Plays for 5/19/13

4 game chase play:
#134: Orioles -110 (1336/1215) for Game 4
#145: Tigers +1.5 -180 (180/100) for Game 1
#146: White Sox +106 (100/106) for Game 1

YTD: 134-2 +5222
Game 1: 85
Game 2: 33 (#117, #133, #143 pending)
Game 3: 11 (#93, #113, #115, #128 pending)
Game 4: 5 (#134 pending)
Losses: 2

Series Chase Plays:
#28: Orioles -110 (518/471) for Game 3

Going to ask for a favor from the gambling gods on this O’s game today, good luck everyone! Didn’t expect O’s to be favored today going against Moore. Would this qualify as a fishy line or is there money coming in on the O's to avoid the sweep? Well, I hope we’re on the right side of it!

YTD: 26-0 +3200
Game 1: 21 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 4
Game 3: 1 (#28 pending)

theanswer03k · 05-19-13, 11:14 AM

Originally posted by TheDarkKnight01

4 game chase play:
#134: Orioles -110 (1336/1215) for Game 4
#145: Tigers +1.5 -180 (180/100) for Game 1
#146: White Sox +106 (100/106) for Game 1

YTD: 134-2 +5222
Game 1: 85
Game 2: 33 (#117, #133, #143 pending)
Game 3: 11 (#93, #113, #115, #128 pending)
Game 4: 5 (#134 pending)
Losses: 2

Series Chase Plays:
#28: Orioles -110 (518/471) for Game 3

Going to ask for a favor from the gambling gods on this O’s game today, good luck everyone! Didn’t expect O’s to be favored today going against Moore. Would this qualify as a fishy line or is there money coming in on the O's to avoid the sweep? Well, I hope we’re on the right side of it!

YTD: 26-0 +3200
Game 1: 21 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 4
Game 3: 1 (#28 pending)

Moore's outperforming his peripherals by alot, so this is Vegas setting a line accounting for regression I guess.

groovybrandone · 05-19-13, 12:05 PM

goodluck to us!

dalogester · 05-19-13, 12:28 PM

Would you guys please stop quoting the plays? It's unnecessary and clutters the thread up.

knugen · 05-19-13, 03:23 PM

Not looking good. But one inning left

Tomfoolery · 05-19-13, 07:55 PM

Tdk, I totally respect and admire what you do day in and day out in your handicapping of the MLB. The loss incurred by the Orioles was an unfortunate event. They were not a large chalk so the pain is somewhat dulled. I did not take that game 4 and 3 with you. There was simply too much logic indicating it was a bad play. I am sure no one needs tell you that. Perhaps, game 4's should undergo a system of their own. Or even a fundamental approach would suffice. Your system is excellent! The only flaw is game 4's have the potential to wipe out fortunes. I have ideas that I would not mind sharing with you after all you have done for me this season. Your are doing excellent and I am sure at season's end you will be well positioned.

samrock67 · 05-19-13, 10:23 PM

JMD and whoever else is interested...

I just went back through the thread to get a tally on when the series have been winning, and not including tonight, here is a breakdown of the 134 wins:

Game 1: 85 wins
Game 2: 33 wins
Game 3: 11 wins
Game 4: 5 wins

So, 88% of series win within the first 2 games and 96.2% win by the 3rd game...

Makes me think of bettor2win's strategy in his own 4-game chase on Covers, where in his rules he states that although his system is a 4-game chase, he only chases for 3 games, and on the 3rd game he bets the same amount as the 1st game...he says that it saves you money long-term because the Game 1 and 2 wins absorb the losses from series that go 3 games and lose...in his system, 91% of series were won within the first 2 games.

just some food for thought...

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-19-13, 11:43 PM

Recap of 5/19/13

4 game chase play:
#134: Orioles -110 (1336/1215) for Game 4 Loser (-2451)
#145: Tigers +1.5 -180 (180/100) for Game 1 Loser
#146: White Sox +106 (100/106) for Game 1 Loser

YTD: 134-3 +2771
Game 1: 85
Game 2: 33 (#117, #133, #143, #145, #146 pending)
Game 3: 11 (#93, #113, #115, #128 pending)
Game 4: 5
Losses: 3

Series Chase Plays:
#28: Orioles -110 (518/471) for Game 3 Loser (-889)

YTD: 26-1 +2311
Game 1: 21 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 4
Game 3: 1
Losses: 1

Poison-Nut · 05-20-13, 12:58 AM

Samrock I like that idea. Might give it a go around on the next game 4 scenario. Hopefully we won't see this in the near future, but when it does, I like it.

hubbard689 · 05-20-13, 07:09 AM

Like your thinking samrock, although I don't really get why the 3rd game bet is the same amount as the 1st, wouldn't that just be like a 2 game chase and the 3rd game is starting over kind of? Wouldn't be a bad idea to try something like this TDK as in game 4s you're only 5-3 and even just quitting after game 3 you'd have a higher profit right now I think. But do your thing!

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-20-13, 10:21 AM

Plays for 5/20/13

4 game chase play:
#147: Braves -160 (160/100) for Game 1
#148: Phillies -175 (175/100) for Game 1
#149: Rangers -126 (126/100) for Game 1
#150: Blue Jays -158 (150/100) for Game 1

Notes:
Possible play on the Dbacks/Rockies game later, will update an hour before game time

YTD: 134-3 +2771
Game 1: 85
Game 2: 33 (#117, #133, #143, #145, #146 pending)
Game 3: 11 (#93, #113, #115, #128 pending)
Game 4: 5
Losses: 3

Series Chase Plays:
#29: Braves -160 (160/100) for Game 1
#30: Reds -156 (156/100) for Game 1
#31: Yankees -145 (145/100) for Game 1
#32: Rangers -126 (126/100) for Game 1
#33: Cardinals -144 (144/100) for Game 1
#34: Giants -141 (141/100) for Game 1
#35: Red Sox -150 (150/100) for Game 1

YTD: 26-1 +2311
Game 1: 21 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 4
Game 3: 1
Losses: 1

Swarles · 05-20-13, 03:17 PM

Tailing hard on the series plays tonight, hoping for some greens.

BOL everyone

Poison-Nut · 05-20-13, 05:19 PM

Let's hope for a big day. Tons of game 1's.

mantorras77 · 05-20-13, 06:07 PM

no ChiSox for game B since they lost yesterday or am i missing something?

hubbard689 · 05-20-13, 07:12 PM

I'm still new to this so someone else correct me if I'm wrong, but losses are not necessarily chased the very next day. It could be a little while, hence the game #s to keep track.

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-20-13, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by mantorras77

no ChiSox for game B since they lost yesterday or am i missing something?

Hey mantorras, that chase is an Angels home fade, it will continue tomorrow when Angels play again at home

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-21-13, 10:32 AM

Recap of 5/20/13

4 game chase play:
#147: Braves -160 (160/100) for Game 1 Winner
#148: Phillies -175 (175/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/21/13
#149: Rangers -126 (126/100) for Game 1 Loser, on to Game 2 on 5/21/13
#150: Blue Jays -158 (150/100) for Game 1 Winner

YTD: 136-3 +2971
Game 1: 87
Game 2: 33 (#117, #133, #143, #145, #146, #148, #149 pending)
Game 3: 11 (#93, #113, #115, #128 pending)
Game 4: 5
Losses: 3

Series Chase Plays:
#29: Braves -160 (160/100) for Game 1 Winner
#30: Reds -156 (156/100) for Game 1 Winner
#31: Yankees -145 (145/100) for Game 1 Winner
#32: Rangers -126 (126/100) for Game 1 Loser
#33: Cardinals -144 (144/100) for Game 1 Loser
#34: Giants -141 (141/100) for Game 1 Winner
#35: Red Sox -150 (150/100) for Game 1 Loser

YTD: 30-1 +2711
Game 1: 21 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 4 (#32, #33, #35 pending)
Game 3: 1
Losses: 1

TheDarkKnight01 · 05-21-13, 10:40 AM

Plays for 5/21/13

4 game chase play:
#143: Tigers -130 (293/225) for Game 2
#145: Tigers -130 (364/280) for Game 2
#146: Mariners +1.5 -160 (320/200) for Game 2
#148: Phillies -112 (308/275) for Game 2
#149: Rangers -217 (490/226) for Game 2
#151: Rockies -122 (122/100) for Game 1
#152: Pirates -147 (147/100) for Game 1
#153: Royals -153 (153/100) for Game 1
#154: Phillies -112 (112/100) for Game 1
#155: Cardinals -142 (142/100) for Game 1

YTD: 136-3 +2971
Game 1: 87
Game 2: 33 (#117, #133, #143, #145, #146, #148, #149 pending)
Game 3: 11 (#93, #113, #115, #128 pending)
Game 4: 5
Losses: 3

Series Chase Plays:
#32: Rangers -217 (490/226) for Game 2
#33: Cardinals -142 (346/244) for Game 2
#35: Red Sox -108 (270/250) for Game 2
#36: Pirates -147 (147/100) for Game 1

YTD: 30-1 +2711
Game 1: 21 (#4 pending)
Game 2: 4 (#32, #33, #35 pending)
Game 3: 1
Losses: 1