Multiple MLB Chase Systems (+250 units in 2012)

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  • TheDarkKnight01
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-31-12
    • 390

    #1
    Multiple MLB Chase Systems (+250 units in 2012)
    Hey Everyone,

    For years, I have been tracking various systems and gathering data on many chases from all over the place and have finally narrowed it down to the ones that are profitable year in and year out. They are a combination of 3 and 4 game chases that netted over 250 units last year and I am now ready to post system plays. It will contain at least 6 separate chase systems (I am looking into a couple more that may be added). The chases begin at various times throughout the season with not as much action the first month of the season but it picks up once May comes around.

    In this thread, I will not only post plays but will post actual lines I receive (bet x to win x), what game the chase is on, and date of the next game of the chase. For organizational purposes, I will number each chase so that everyone can track them as well.

    Additionally, I will try and track record count (by game and overall), units won/lost, and current $$$ with respect to pending chases and units won so that you have an idea of what your bankroll is presently at.

    I do not need to tell you money management is VITAL, typical rules to managing your $$$ with respect to several chase systems apply and I will bet to win 1 unit ($100). If there is a chase I especially like, I may decide to play the chase to win 2 units. Obviously, everyone is free to do what they wish and we’re all here to make some money so let’s do that with these systems.

    On many occasions throughout the season, the systems will overlap or conflict, I will still play them all regardless as its own chase. These chases have all proven to be successful and profitable so I will play it the way it’s supposed to be played.

    I know I am new to posting and frankly if you were me, I wouldn’t trust this either so I’ll be posting the plays once baseball season is here to prove the systems work and we can all make some money off of it.

    Please keep in mind I’m on the West Coast and may not have the time to post early in the morning however, I do plan on posting plays by 1pm Pacific time each day. On weekends where games are early, I will try to post either the night before or by 9:30am Pacific time.

    Also, filters and parameters to the chases will NOT be released so please do not ask.

    Thanks and here’s to a profitable baseball season to us all!
  • Rented Mule
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-06-10
    • 387

    #2
    This should be interesting. Good luck.
    Comment
    • Semper Fidelis
      SBR MVP
      • 09-22-11
      • 1999

      #3
      Welcome to the forum buddy, this thread is looking like it may become a favorite hangout for me this season. I love baseball season because it seems there are so many ways to make some money if you strictly follow a set system of plays and parameters. I imagine that your starting bankroll must be pretty substantial to accommodate so many different chases? How many units would you recommend starting out with?
      Comment
      • TheDarkKnight01
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-31-12
        • 390

        #4
        Thanks guys, feeling welcomed already. As far as bankroll is concerned, I would say 150 units would be a good starting point if you plan on playing every chase. That way each chase you will bet to win 1/150 or .67% of your bankroll. It's pretty conservative but that may be the best approach when dealing with so many chases at the same time and each chase can add up too when it goes deep into the chase. Juice can be quite heavy as well in baseball. The good thing though is April will be relatively slow compared to the later months so hopefully we can build our bankroll in preparation for the other chases that start at a later time.

        Good luck with whatever you decide, I'm really looking forward to the upcoming season!
        Comment
        • TheDarkKnight01
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-31-12
          • 390

          #5
          Also, each chase's win % is over 95% with the average being a little over 97% for all the chases the past few years.
          Comment
          • Semper Fidelis
            SBR MVP
            • 09-22-11
            • 1999

            #6
            Yeah I figured you'd need over 100 units to start these chases. Do you increase your wagers at all as you progress through the season and start to win, or will 1 unit always=$100? Also, what's your team bud? Being on the West Coast I'm guessing either the Dodgers or Giants. Or maybe the Angels?
            Comment
            • TheDarkKnight01
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-31-12
              • 390

              #7
              I keep my unit play the same, at $100. I find it better to be consistent with the unit play then to risk being too greedy. The most I've done is play a 3 game chase for 2 units since 4 game chases tend to be quite pricy but that's just me. My team are the Dodgers. Been to a few games, there's nothing like it although the stadium is quite old. They look promising this season though and really am looking forward to going to a few games.

              I hope that helps.
              Comment
              • Semper Fidelis
                SBR MVP
                • 09-22-11
                • 1999

                #8
                Thanks, that definitely helps! I suppose the real key to being successful with chase systems is like you said to be consistent and not up the units or anything. That's hard to do though once the bankroll starts growing!

                I've always liked the Dodgers for some reason, but don't care too much for any of the other West Coast teams. Obviously the Braves are my team, and I'm looking forward to going to a few games this season. Kinda anxious about our team though, it just won't be the same without Chipper out there. Hopefully going all out and getting the Upton brothers will make up for losing Chipper and Prado. Definitely looking forward to the season though-it can't start soon enough!
                Comment
                • maxim79
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 10-02-12
                  • 85

                  #9
                  can you explain the different system rules?
                  Comment
                  • TheDarkKnight01
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-31-12
                    • 390

                    #10
                    As stated in my original post, filters and parameters will not be released. Good luck if you choose to follow.

                    Thank you.
                    Comment
                    • dlunc3
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-31-09
                      • 9129

                      #11
                      I am hoping that you backtested these systems more then just 2012 correct?
                      Comment
                      • TheDarkKnight01
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-31-12
                        • 390

                        #12
                        Yes I've been tracking since 2010 and they were even more profitable in 2010 and 2011.
                        Comment
                        • Nova99
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-31-12
                          • 428

                          #13
                          Good luck this season. Will you name the separate chases with a generic name like 1-6 or A-E or will they have a semi meaningful name? Like home chase, or umpire chase, etc
                          Comment
                          • Reno Gambler
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 03-24-09
                            • 175

                            #14
                            Good Luck!! Can't wait to get started!
                            Comment
                            • TheDarkKnight01
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-31-12
                              • 390

                              #15
                              Thanks guys, I can't wait either! I will find a way to separate out the chases to make it the most organized as possible. It is rather time consuming but I will find a way that makes the most sense.
                              Comment
                              • dlunc3
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-31-09
                                • 9129

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TheDarkKnight01
                                Yes I've been tracking since 2010 and they were even more profitable in 2010 and 2011.
                                I know you said you made 250 units in 2012. Do you have a total for 2010 and 2011?
                                Comment
                                • thefonzo
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-10-10
                                  • 671

                                  #17
                                  Check out Stifler's NBA chase thread. It may give you some ideas as to how you want to organize and/or name and post your series and plays.

                                  Good luck!
                                  Comment
                                  • TheDarkKnight01
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-31-12
                                    • 390

                                    #18
                                    Thanks for the advice, thefonzo, I'll take a look at it!

                                    For 2011, the systems were up 320 units and for 2010, they were up 284 units. Sorry, I should have included these amounts in the original post for more background information. If it's anything close to these numbers for 2013, I will be a happy man!

                                    Good luck to us!
                                    Comment
                                    • jv040
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 07-14-09
                                      • 86

                                      #19
                                      only way to make money during baseball season is betting underdogs. it's the only way to take a 2000$$$$ bankroll up to 5o grand in one summer
                                      Comment
                                      • jv040
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 07-14-09
                                        • 86

                                        #20
                                        hope your systems arn't based on all favorites.
                                        Comment
                                        • dalogester
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-02-13
                                          • 1088

                                          #21
                                          Interesting, considering tailing but for small amount as im going to be doing a couple other chase systems. Hoping this works out... You will be getting my points if it does
                                          Comment
                                          • TheDarkKnight01
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-31-12
                                            • 390

                                            #22
                                            Thanks dalogester, good luck to you as well...

                                            jv040, I disagree, I believe you can win with systems based on only favorites but to reply to your statement, no they are not all based on favorites.
                                            Comment
                                            • jv040
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 07-14-09
                                              • 86

                                              #23
                                              have you thought about turning all your systems into a 4 game chase on the underdog. going back 3 years to see if it would work out. assuming you kept records of every play you made. for example mlb john morrison is a 3 game chase bet on the 1.5 line if the team betting on is favored and bet the dog if it's a dog if lose 3 games then wait till that team qualify's again to bet the fourth game. adg is doing this over at covers . com and his high was 50,000 on a 2000 doller bankroll. he ended up with 12,00 cause a terrible last 2 weeks in augest. if you try to play underdogs it's probably best too quit around middle of Augest. maybe somthing too look forward too next year. as youll have all nba season to back and test to see if it would work.
                                              Comment
                                              • figue
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-23-10
                                                • 2524

                                                #24
                                                Comment
                                                • TheDarkKnight01
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 10-31-12
                                                  • 390

                                                  #25
                                                  jv040, I will take that into consideration, thanks for the input. I'm still backtracking a few more systems but I'll see if I can come up with one for dogs. I do agree with you that the value are def on dogs and you can make some good money off them, and juice will be low too.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jv040
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 07-14-09
                                                    • 86

                                                    #26
                                                    when he bets he uses 1.5 A bet . 3 B bet 4.5 C bet and 6 D then raises bets up when the bankroll increases at 50 percent. starting out at 1.5 his bank roll.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TheDarkKnight01
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 10-31-12
                                                      • 390

                                                      #27
                                                      jv040, for that chase, he bets dogs right or favorites on the RL so that no juice is involved? That's a relatively cheap chase if lost! I imagine win % will be a little lower than picking faves but the no juice should more than make up for it. Thanks for your input.

                                                      Also regarding the individuals who PM'd me, I am not ignoring you. Since I am a new member to this forum, I'm required to post 20 times or something like that before replying. Once I hit that mark, I will be able to respond. Another option is if you e-mail me at thedarkknight1949 at g mail, I can reply if you're in need of a response now.

                                                      Thanks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Semper Fidelis
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-22-11
                                                        • 1999

                                                        #28
                                                        Yes I've seen chases like that before, where almost every bet is + odds. Those systems were good, especially because not much is lost when one loses, but from what I've seen it's like you said darknight, the winning % is decreased. Personally I'd rather use systems that have very few losses, even if it means having to lay down a lot on the juicy heavy favorites deep into a chase. It's certainly something to look into though, I'll definitely follow whichever chases you end up utilizing in order to maximize profits.

                                                        I used to have a really good underdog system I used for a few years to make some decent profits, but it was a straight system, and I never even thought about trying to tweak it into a chase system. I'll try to look more into it when I have time; it's just hard bc the system itself has to be manually tracked day by day, and it takes forever to backtrack bc part of it is based on pitchers daily ERAs, and I've never been able to find a site that has those kind of stats.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jv040
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 07-14-09
                                                          • 86

                                                          #29
                                                          hurry up and get your 20 posts. i'm trying too get mine in as well cause I have a simple underdog system I came up with last year. I will send it to you. I played it last year and it made 20 units.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jv040
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 07-14-09
                                                            • 86

                                                            #30
                                                            he bets favorites on the 1.5 line so they have to win by 2 points to get paid.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jv040
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 07-14-09
                                                              • 86

                                                              #31
                                                              good luck this year on your systems.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheDarkKnight01
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-31-12
                                                                • 390

                                                                #32
                                                                jv040,

                                                                haha plenty of time to get to 20 posts. Still over 20 weeks away till Opening Day! If you're in a hurry, you can post on everyone's thread 'good luck'. That should do the trick!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • dalogester
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-02-13
                                                                  • 1088

                                                                  #33
                                                                  i think you meant 20 days, not weeks. lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TheDarkKnight01
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 10-31-12
                                                                    • 390

                                                                    #34
                                                                    hahaha opps, I actually meant 2 weeks. 5 more posts and I'll be able to sent PM's!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Kababayan
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 07-19-10
                                                                      • 193

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'll be following this year. Thanks DarkKnight
                                                                      Comment
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