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The Group E match between the national teams of Belgium and Romania at the Rhein-Energie stadium as we look at our best Ukraine vs. Belgium prediction.
The Group E match between the national teams of Belgium and Romania at the Rhein-Energie stadium. From left to right: Belgium players Wout Fas, Romelu Lukaku, Arthur Theate, and Timothy Castagne. Photo by Alex Sochacki/Sipa USA.

It’s a winner-takes-all matchup in Group E, with each team entering the final match of this stage level on points, and we have you covered with our predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.

Both Ukraine and Belgium recovered from their tournament-opening defeats with wins on Matchday 2. That makes it the first time in the history of the European Championships that all four teams from the same group are level on points heading into the final round of matches. 

These two teams have never faced off before, and Belgium is unbeaten in 22 matches against sides they’re playing for the first time. However, Ukraine has only lost once in 11 such contests.

Let's break down the matchup in our Ukraine vs. Belgium predictions.

Ukraine vs. Belgium predictions for Wednesday

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Ukraine vs. Belgium score prediction

Belgium 2 - Ukraine 0

The Ukrainians struggle to keep clean sheets. They’ve managed two this calendar year and have conceded eight goals in their last six games.

Meanwhile, the Belgians have only shipped three goals in that period and scored nine. Belgium registered an xG of 1.76 during their 2-0 win over Romania, and that side beat Ukraine 3-0 in their opening Group E match.

The Romanians punished Ukraine despite holding just 29% of possession. That’s the lowest share for a winning team in a single match at a European Championship in over 40 years.

Despite all that possession, the Ukrainians managed just two shots on target. However, they did improve against Slovakia in their comeback win on June 21. But they're coming up against top-class players such as Jeremy Doku, who completed more dribbles (nine) than any other player after the first two games of Euro 2024. And Manchester City’s superstar midfielder Kevin De Bruyne, who has been directly involved in 31 goals in his last 32 appearances for Belgium in all competitions.

The gulf in class is too evident. At +800, FanDuel's odds imply a probability of 11.1%, and a $10 wager pays a profit of $80 if it hits.   

Best odds: +800 via FanDuel

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Ukraine vs. Belgium anytime goalscorer prediction

Romelu Lukaku, Belgium

If it wasn’t for VAR, Lukaku would be the top goalscorer at Euro 2024. The Chelsea striker tied with De Bruyne for shots (five) in the match against Romania on Saturday. Both men have logged eight strikes during the tournament, though Lukaku’s five shots on target are the most for the Red Devils in their two games.

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Ukraine have never kept a clean sheet at the European Championship, and Belgium will surely get lots of chances. Lukaku is the country’s premier scorer, and he'll no doubt be handed more opportunities to find the net on Wednesday. 

Best odds: +120 via bet365

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Ukraine vs. Belgium best bet

Belgium wins and Under 2.5 goals

Ukraine holds the record for the most games played at the European Championship without keeping a clean sheet (13). They’ve also failed to score in eight of 13 games.

They’re going to find Belgium tough to beat. The Red Devils have lost just one of their last 17 games in all competitions, and the defeat was a 1-0 result in their Group E opener against Slovakia. That loss was an anomaly for the Belgians, who have won six of their last seven group games in the competition. They’re unbeaten in the team's final group matches during the tournament since Euro 2000.

The Ukrainians have totaled seven shots on target at Euro 2024. Belgium has doubled that number, including nine in their last outing. This is a mismatch, so expect Belgium to take care of business and advance to the Round of 16. At +330, DraftKings’ odds represent a 23.3% win probability, and a $10 wager will pay a profit of $33 if it cashes. 

Best odds: +330 via DraftKings

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Ukraine vs. Belgium game info

  • When: Wednesday, June 26, 12 p.m. ET
  • Where: Stuttgart Arena, Stuttgart, Germany
  • How to watch: Fox, Fubo
  • Favorite: Belgium (-150 via FanDuel)

Ukraine-Belgium predictions made Monday at 1:10 p.m. ET.

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