⚽ Manchester City vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday's Premier League Match
Ahead of Sunday's huge Premier League game at the Etihad Stadium (11:30 a.m. ET on NBC) in Manchester, England, my Manchester City vs. Arsenal prediction offers analysis on what might end up being the defining moment of the title race.
Arsenal's lead atop the table has shrunk so much that Manchester City could be within three points of the Gunners - with a game in hand - if they win. Despite being second, City are comfortably the favorites, with oddsmakers giving them -118 odds to beat +320 Arsenal in this weekend's marquee match.
⚽ Manchester City vs. Arsenal predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City ML | -118 via bet365 | 1.5 units -> 1.27 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 | +100 via bet365 | 1.5 units -> 1.5 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Rayan Cherki anytime assist | +290 via FanDuel | 1 unit -> 2.9 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Nico O'Reilly anytime goal-scorer | +700 via DraftKings | 0.5 units -> 3.5 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
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💰 Manchester City vs. Arsenal best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Manchester City ML (-118)
If Arsenal's latest setback in the Premier League wasn't enough proof that Mikel Arteta's squad is crumbling under pressure, then a defeat against red-hot Manchester City should end the title debate.
The timing couldn't be any worse for the Gunners, as April is Manchester City's best month under coach Pep Guardiola. City are averaging 2.51 points per game while maintaining a 79.5% win percentage in April with Pep in charge.
City's current form suggests that those numbers will only improve. Conversely, April is Arsenal's worst month for both of those categories while's Arteta been at the helm.The Gunners have been a shell of the team that sprinted out to a commanding lead atop the table for much of the season after losing three of their last four games in all competitions.
Score prediction: Manchester City 3, Arsenal 1
🔥 Best Manchester City vs. Arsenal prop bet
Rayan Cherki assist (+290)
Rayan Cherki could be the key to Manchester City taking control of the title race. We're backing the 22-year-old to have a big day and register another assist at home, where six of his 10 contributions have occurred.
He's proving to be one of the signings of last summer, averaging one assist every 138 minutes played in the Premier League in his debut season with City. That stat puts him in elite company, with Cesc Fabregas and Kevin De Bruyne as the only players with a better rate among those with 1000+ minutes played in a Premier League season.
Cherki recently proved why he's Manchester City's main creator after supplying a pair of assists in last weekend's win over Chelsea.
🙌 Best Manchester City vs. Arsenal goal-scorer prediction
Nico O'Reilly , Manchester City (+700)
A bet on Erling Haaland to score will probably hit, but it wouldn't be nearly as satisfying as cashing in on a Nico O'Reilly anytime goal.
Now that he's been given the all clear by Guardiola after an injury scare, we're backing O'Relly, who has been a revelation this season with nine goals, to provide City the fluidity in attack that has helped the team shrink the gap to six points with Arsenal heading into this weekend's game.
The versatile 21-year-old, who can shift between midfield or left-back duties throughout a match, leads all Manchester City players in scoring with six goals since the start of February.
🚀 Manchester City vs. Arsenal same-game parlay
This parlay has Manchester City win written all over it. Every play correlates perfectly, but it may be a bit of a stretch to back Nico O'Reilly scoring given that City have so many other offensive weapons. However, if the youngster does find the back of the net, then there's a good chance that Cherki created the opportunity. If this long shot does hit, it might one of the most satisfying bets of the year.
💵 Manchester City vs. Arsenal SGP picks
- Manchester City ML (-118)
- Rayan Cherki assist (+290)
- Nico O'Reilly anytime goal-scorer (+700)
Best odds: +5664 via bet365 (0.5 -> 28.22)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Manchester City vs. Arsenal
Arsenal might be leading the Premier League, but they're lacking the psychological edge needed to beat Manchester City. Their recent form has been telling, as Arsenal have committed 15 errors leading to a shot in 13 league games played this calendar year.
It also doesn't help Arsenal's case that Manchester City have had a full week's rest to prepare for Sunday's game. The Gunners will be working on four days rest after their Champions League match on Wednesday. And it's never easy for Arsenal at the Etihad, where they haven't won since December 2015.
Manchester City vs. Arsenal key stats
| Manchester City | Arsenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 63 | 62 |
| Goals against | 28 | 24 |
| Shots on target | 165 | 157 |
| xG | 57.6 | 55 |
📊 Manchester City vs. Arsenal odds
There has been a significant shift in the market toward Manchester City after Arsenal's loss to Bournemouth and news that talisman Bukayo Saka won't be fit for the game. After opening at +100, City's odds have plummeted to -118 amid dwindling confidence in Arsenal being able to compete on the road at the Etihad Stadium.
🆚 Manchester City vs. Arsenal projected lineups
Here are Sunday's projected lineups for Arsenal vs. Manchester City; lineups subject to change:
| Manchester City | Arsenal |
|---|---|
| Donnarumma | Raya |
| Nunes | White |
| Khusanov | Saliba |
| Guehi | Gabriel |
| O’Reilly | Lewis-Skelly |
| Rodri | Zubimendi |
| Silva | Rice |
| Semenyo | Havertz |
| Cherki | Madueke |
| Doku | Martinelli |
| Haaland | Gyokeres |
📈 Manchester City vs. Arsenal betting trends
| Manchester City | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 19-7-5 | Season record | 21-7-4 |
| 66-48-101 | H2H record | 101-48-66 |
| W-W-D-D-W | Last 5 games | W-W-W-W-L |
| Won 3-0 vs. Chelsea | Previous result (Premier League) | Lost 2-1 vs. Bournemouth |
| Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 10 Premier League games at home against Arsenal. | Key stat | Arsenal lost 12 games in row against Manchester City before their current five-game unbeaten streak began. |
Manchester City will be without Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol, but Guardiola won't sweat their absence after the admirable performances from Marc Guehi and Abdukodir Khusanov.
The news is grim at Arsenal after Bukayo Saka was ruled out, while Jurrien Timber, Riccardo Calafiori and captain Martin Odegaard are also dealing with injuries. The trio will be reassessed before the game to determine their availability, according to Arteta.
Noni Madueke is set to fill in for Saka, while Gabriel Martinelli will be depended on for another big performance after scoring a dramatic equalizer against City in the first meeting of the season back in September. Arsenal are in the midst of a five-game unbeaten run against City, which looks to be in serious jeopardy of ending.
🌤️ Manchester City vs. Arsenal weather
Players shouldn't have to worry about overheating, as the weather will be mostly cloudy with a high of 54 in Manchester for Sunday's match. The pitch should be dry, but there is a 20% chance of rain in the forecast that could end up slowing down the pace of the game.
📺 How to watch Manchester City vs. Arsenal
- Date: Sunday, April 19
- Kickoff: 11:30 a.m. ET
- Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester, England)
- TV: NBC
❓ Manchester City vs. Arsenal FAQ
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs. Arsenal?
Manchester City are a +125 betting favorite against Arsenal on Sunday.
What are the best Manchester City vs. Arsenal bets?
The best bets for Manchester City vs. Arsenal include Rayan Cherki assist (+290) and Nico O'Reilly to score (+700).
Where to watch Manchester City vs. Arsenal in the US and Canada?
You can watch Manchester City vs. Arsenal on NBC in the United States, or stream the game on FuboTV in Canada.
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