⚽ Everton vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday's Premier League Match
History will be made Sunday, as Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool hosts the Merseyside derby for the first time. The 245th eidition of the Merseyside derby between Everton and Liverpool starts at 9 a.m. ET on USA Network.
Liverpool are coming off of a toothless performance in the Champions League, but enter Sunday's game as the +125 favorite to beat Everton (+210) on the road. My Everton vs. Liverpool prediction focuses on how a significant injury will impact a Liverpool team clinging onto the final Champions League qualifying position for next season.
⚽ Everton vs. Liverpool predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | +245 via DraftKings | 1 unit -> 2.45 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 2.5 | -111 via bet365 | 1 unit -> 0.9 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Rio Ngumoha 1 shot on target | -150 via bet365 | 1 unit -> 0.7 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Mohamed Salah anytime goal-scorer | +280 via DraftKings | 0.5 -> 1.4 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
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💰 Everton vs. Liverpool best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Under 2.5 goals (-111)
Those expecting a game loaded with of goals are setting themselves up for disappointment, as we're backing the Merseyside derby to produce Under 2.5 goals. It's a bet that's hit in six of the last eight games between the two bitter rivals.
These games are traditionally low-scoring, physical affairs in which both teams leave with a point. The last game produced Over 2.5 goals, but we're expecting a reserved performance at Hill Dickinson Stadium between two teams trying to finish the season on a high.
Fifth-placed Liverpool are pushing hard for a place in the Champions League after a woeful start. However, they'll have to cope without injured forward Hugo Ekitike, who was ruled out for the season. Meanwhile, Everton have turned things around this season and are in position to finish in the top half of the table for the first time since 2020-21.
Score prediction: Everton 1, Liverpool 1
🔥 Best Everton vs. Liverpool prop bet
Rio Ngumoha 1 shot on target (-150)
Rio Ngumoha's first Merseyside derby is a chance for the teenager to show why the future is bright at Liverpool.
The 17-year-old has been one of the few positives during a difficult season for the reigning Premier League champs. With three shots on target in his two Premier League starts this season, we're backing Ngumoha to test Everton goalkeeper Jordan Pickford on Saturday.
He's already proven he's not shy about taking shots. He recently played a starring role in Liverpool's victory over Fulham, drawing comparisons to Mohamed Salah after unleashing a curling strike into the Cottagers' net.
A big performance against Everton from the tricky winger could also help Liverpool's bid to seal a Champions League place for next season.
🙌 Best Everton vs. Liverpool goal-scorer prediction
Mohamed Salah, Liverpool (+280)
The focus shifts back to Mohamed Salah after Hugo Ekitike was ruled out for the remained of the season with an Achilles injury.
Although he hasn't lived up to expectations this season after a stellar 2024-25 campaign, Salah is still Liverpool's most lethal scorer and a tactical shift could lead to more opportunities in his last-ever Merseyside derby.
With his shot volume set to increase without Ekitike, Salah will be in a good position to add to the eight Premier League goals he scored against Everton during his illustrious career.
🚀 Everton vs. Liverpool same-game parlay
We're leaning toward this game featuring a Liverpool goal from Mohamed Salah, with youngster Rio Ngumoha also getting a chance to score. These bets don't necessarily correlate with the third, but Under 2.5 goals has occurred in six of the last eight meetings between these two, so we'll take a shot at it happening again.
💵 [Visitor vs. Host] SGP picks
- Under 2.5 goals (-111)
- Rio Ngumoha 1 shot on target (-150)
- Mohamed Salah anytime goal-scorer (+280)
Best odds: +1104 via bet365 (1 unit -> 11.05 units)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Everton vs. Liverpool
Liverpool's first game without injured Hugo Ekitike wasn't a good sign of things to come, as the Reds struggled to create chances in their 2-0 loss to Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday. While they can still urn to Mohamed Salah and Alexander Isak, there's uncertainty over the pair's ability to pick up the slack.
Meanwhile, Everton aren't a laughing stock anymore now that David Moyes is back on the touchline. The eighth-placed Toffees have improved drastically defensively, conceding five fewer goals than Liverpool.
There has been some concern over the club's form at its new stadium. Although Everton have won more matches on the road than at home, a victory Saturday would be the perfect way to end the first Merseyside derby at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Everton vs. Liverpool key stats
| HOST | VISITOR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 39 | 52 |
| Goals against | 37 | 42 |
| Shots on target | 118 | 145 |
| XG | 38.69 | 52.65 |
📊 Everton vs. Liverpool odds
The lines have moved significantly since Liverpool fired a blank against PSG and Hugo Ekitike was ruled out for the season. After Liverpool opened as a +110 favorite, the negative news saw the odds fall to +130. The line could move further as bettors begin to realize the significance Ekitike's injury will have on Liverpool's attacking scheme.
🆚 Everton vs. Liverpool projected lineups
Here are Sunday's projected lineups for Everton vs. Liverpool; lineups subject to change:
| Everton | Liverpool |
|---|---|
| Pickford | Mamardashvili |
| O’Brien | Frimpong |
| Tarkowski | Konate |
| Branthwaite | Van Dijk |
| Mykolenko | Kerkez |
| Garner | Gravenberch |
| Gueye | Mac Allister |
| McNeil | Szoboszlai |
| Dewsbury-Hall | Salah |
| Ndiaye | Wirtz |
| Beto | Isak |
📈 Everton vs. Liverpool betting trends
| Everton | Statistic | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 13-8-11 | Season record | 15-7-10 |
| 84-87-127 | H2H record | 127-87-84 |
| W-W-L-W-D | Last 5 games | W-L-D-L-W |
| Draw 2-2 vs. Brentford | Previous result (Premier League) | Won 2-0 vs. Fulham |
| Everton have won just one of their last 14 Premier League home games against Liverpool. | Key stat | Liverpool could become the first team to win at 60 different stadiums if they beat Everton in their first game at Hill Dickinson Stadium. |
As they drift closer in the table, recent results indicate that Liverpool and Everton are drifting further apart. Everton have impressed after going four of five games without a loss, while Liverpool's are in the midst of a difficult month that's featured convincing losses against Manchester City and PSG.
The loss of Hugo Ekitike is undoubtedly devastating, as Liverpool were already experiencing an injury crisis with Alisson, Wataru Endo and Conor Bradley out of action. Meanwhile, Everton are missing playmaker Jack Grealish, who suffered a season-ending injury in January.
🌤️ Everton vs. Liverpool weather
There will be sunny skies with a high of 51 in Liverpool on Sunday afternoon. The surface will be fast and relatively dry with no rain in the forecast, which will favor a fast-paced game. Winds won't be much of a factor, with gusts up to 10 mph.
📺 How to watch Everton vs. Liverpool
- Date: Sunday, April 19
- Kickoff: 9 a.m. ET
- Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium
- TV: USA Network
❓ Everton vs. Liverpool FAQ
Who is favored to win Everton vs. Liverpool?
Liverpool are a +125 betting favorite against Everton on Sunday.
Who is the best Everton vs. Liverpool bet?
The best bets for Everton vs. Liverpool include Rio Ngumoha 1 shot on target (-150) and Mohamed Salah to score (+280).
Where to watch Everton vs. Liverpool in the US and Canada?
You can watch Everton vs. Liverpool on USA Network in the United States, or stream the game on FuboTV in Canada.
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