Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday's Premier League Match
All signs point to the Eagles facing a relegation battle, and I don't expect their situation to improve after Sunday's home match (9 a.m. ET, NBCSN), the reasons for which I detail in my Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool prediction.
Sixth-place Liverpool are the -180 betting favorite. As part of these Premier League best bets, I'm also featuring Liverpool's team total and Alexander Isak, who has scored more than 50% of Liverpool's top-flight goals thus far.
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| Best bets | Best odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool ML & Under 3.5 goals | +155 via BetMGM | 1 unit to profit 1.55 units |
| Liverpool Over 1.5 goals | -180 via BetMGM | 2 units to profit 1.11 units |
| Alexander Isak anytime goal | +110 via FanDuel | 2 units to profit 2.2 units |
Picks submitted: Nov 7 at 6 a.m. ET
Total wagered: 5 units | Profit if all picks win: 4.86 units
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Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Liverpool ML & Under 3.5 goals (+155)
Liverpool enter on the back of defeats on either side of a league cup win over Chelsea, decided by penalties.
They tossed away two leads in Turkey midweek in the 3-2 defeat to Fenerbahce and fell to Arsenal 1-0 in their previous Premier League match. Despite the recent blip, Liverpool are one of two undefeated teams on their travels in the top flight, and they face a Palace side with the second-worst home record (1-0-3).
Crystal Palace's only victory at Selhurst Park in four matches came against second-from-bottom Nottingham Forest. Meanwhile, Liverpool have won three of four in enemy territory, with their only blemish a 2-2 draw at Newcastle in the season opener.
🆚 Who will win Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool?
I'm backing Liverpool to secure their fourth away victory from five matches in a 2-1 win over Crystal Palace at Selhurst. It's one of the rare occasions I'm overlooking current form, with Liverpool entering after defeats in the Premier League and Champions League.
Score prediction: Crystal Palace 1, Liverpool 2
More Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool expert picks
Liverpool Over 1.5 goals (-180)
The odds are about as ugly as Liverpool's winter weather. However, I'm willing to sacrifice profit margins on this occasion due to the high probability of cashing the bet.
Liverpool have scored 16 goals in the previous six Premier League and Champions League matches. Even if you exclude the six they scored against LASK in the Champions League, their average remains two goals per game over that sample.
While that contributed to my decision, I'm more compelled by Crystal Palace's putrid defensive record. They've conceded the most goals (21) and the most expected goals (19.2) and were outscored 9-0 in their previous three Premier League matches.
Alexander Isak anytime goal (+110)
Isak has six of Liverpool's 11 Premier League goals, accounting for 55% of the total output. He's also been lethal recently, bagging four in his previous five appearances, including in a 24-minute cameo appearance midweek against Fenerbahce.
The Swede has been superb in away matches, too, netting four times in the previous three. He scored the last time he faced Crystal Palace, and I fancy his chances of a repeat performance against the league's most porous team, especially given his current form.
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool key stats
| Statistic | Crystal Palace | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Record (domestic) | 2-1-6 | 4-3-2 |
| Recent form (all comps) | DLWLD | LLWWW |
| Goals for (Premier League) | 9 | 11 |
| xG (domestic) | 11.2 | 13.2 |
| Goals against (Premier League) | 21 | 9 |
| xGA (domestic) | 19.2 | 10.6 |
| Average possession (domestic) | 41.8% | 53.6% |
Live Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool odds
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool; subject to change:
| Crystal Palace (3-4-2-1) | Liverpool (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| Henderson (GK) | Alisson (GK) |
| Canvot (D) | Araujo (D) |
| Disasi (D) | Jacquet (D) |
| Richards (D) | Van Dijk (D) |
| Khalaili (M) | Kerkez (D) |
| Wharton (M) | Szoboszlai (M) |
| Kamada (M) | Mac Allister (M) |
| Mitchell (M) | Gakpo (M) |
| Pino (M) | Wirtz (M) |
| Guessand (M) | Barcola (M) |
| Nketiah (F) | Isak (F) |
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool injuries
Crystal Palace
- Chadi Riad – Out (Knee)
Liverpool
- Jeremie Frimpong – Out (Hamstring)
- Conor Bradley – Out (Knee)
- Hugo Ekitiké – Out (Achilles)
- Giovanni Leoni – Out (Knee)
How to watch Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 8
- Kickoff: 9 a.m. ET
- Location: Selhurst Park (London)
- TV: NBCSN
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