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Premier League Best Bets
Premier League Best Bets

The Premier League's Matchday 26 kicks off Saturday morning with a full schedule. Manchester City host Newcastle United in the early game, needing a win to close the gap on leaders Arsenal, who play struggling Bournemouth shortly after. Read on for our Premier League best bets for Matchday 26, based on the best EPL odds.

Two of the league’s biggest rivals square off at Anfield on Sunday. Liverpool are 10 points behind Manchester United, but head into the match off the back of a 2-0 win over Wolves on Wednesday. No team has won more points than United since the Premier League resumed after the World Cup break.

Meanwhile, Graham Potter will be aiming to get Chelsea back to winning ways, as they take on Leeds at Stamford Bridge. The Whites have the worst away record in the league, which could offer Potter the perfect opportunity to turn things around. 

Here are our best Premier League bets for Matchday 26 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, and PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our soccer best bets this week from Europe's other top leagues!

Premier League schedule and odds for Matchday 26

(odds via FanDuel)

  • Manchester City (-210) vs. Newcastle (+550)
  • Arsenal (-470) vs. Bournemouth (+1300)
  • Chelsea (-160) vs. Leeds (+460)
  • Wolves (+230) vs. Tottenham (+120)
  • Liverpool (+135) vs. Manchester United (+185)

Premier League best bets for Matchday 26

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa (+105 via DraftKings and PointsBet) vs. Crystal Palace⭐⭐⭐
  • Spread: Arsenal (-2) vs. Bournemouth (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Total: Brentford vs. Fulham Over 2.5 goals (-115 via PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Prop: Southampton vs. Leicester both teams to score, Southampton win (+450 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

Check out our best Champions League odds.

Premier League top picks

Moneyline: Aston Villa (+105) vs. Crystal Palace (via DraftKings and BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Crystal Palace haven’t won a single Premier League game in 2023, which is a winless run stretching over eight games. They are, however, unbeaten in their last three matches (D3), and have drawn five of their last six. 

Villa boss, Unai Emery, has taken charge of 11 Premier League games with the club and the Villans have scored in each of those contests. They’ve won six and lost four in the competition during his reign. Their last two home games have each been 4-2 defeats, but Villa have only lost once at home to Palace in the Premier League, which was 10 years ago. 

This is a matchup featuring 11th vs 12th but Emery has got Villa competing for European qualification with 14 games remaining. They won on the road to Everton last week and will capitalize on Palace’s inability to win. This is a game that favors the home team. 

All our main sportsbooks feel the same about this play, with each of them pricing Villa as big favorites. PointsBet dropped its value from +105 on Wednesday to +100 on Thursday. Caesars also dropped from +105, but to +102 over the same period. DraftKings has remained consistent, while BetMGM went against the trend and increased its price to +105.

Spread: Arsenal (-2) vs. Bournemouth (+105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If Arsenal are going to clinch the Premier League title, these are the games they need to be winning. They handsomely beat Everton 4-0 at the Emirates on Wednesday and the pressure will be on them to deliver against the Cherries this Saturday. 

The Gunners have a 100% home record against Bournemouth in all competitions. The Cherries have never kept a clean sheet against Arsenal in the Premier League.

Since the World Cup break, no team has scored fewer goals and won fewer points in the competition than Bournemouth. They’ve conceded the most goals (48) in the league this season, and only Manchester City (64) have scored more than Arsenal (56) during this campaign. 

This is my only four-star play of the week, and that’s because the form between these two sides is so great. If Bournemouth are going to survive this season, they’re going to have to win their battles with the teams around them. The gulf in class between them and Arsenal is too great. Not only is Arsenal’s firepower very strong, but they also have the second-best defensive record in the league. They should cover in this match with ease. DraftKings is the only book offering the spread at -2.

Total: Brentford vs. Fulham Over 2.5 goals (-110 via PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐

Brentford haven’t lost in their last 11 Premier League games, which is the longest current unbeaten run in the competition. Fulham head to their neighbours having won five away matches in the league this season, which equals their record for top-flight road wins in a single campaign. 

Both teams know how to score. Only six sides have scored more than Brentford (37) this term, and Fulham have scored 36. The Cottagers are only six points off a Champions League spot, which is a remarkable achievement for a newly promoted side with 13 games remaining. 

Heading into this matchday, only Harry Kane’s eight London derby goals top the four scored by Fulham's Aleksandar Mitrovic and Brentford's Ivan Toney in this season’s competition. 

Back the goals in this contest. PointsBet has increased its odds to -110 and offers the best value for the Over. Caesars has priced this play at -120, BetMGM dropped its odds to -118 between Wednesday and Thursday. Take the -110 while you can. This game isn’t until Monday, so there could still be movement.

Prop: Southampton vs. Leicester both teams to score, Southampton win (+450 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

Southampton and Leicester both suffered humiliating FA Cup defeats at home to lower league opposition this week. The Saints are bottom of the Premier League, but are still only four points from safety. These are the matches they know they must win if they’re to avoid relegation. 

Southampton are winless in their last eight Premier League home games (D2, L6), losing each of the last five in a row. They've never lost six consecutive home games. Only two teams have conceded more away goals in the league than Leicester this term. Southampton beat the Foxes in the reverse fixture back in August, when they came from a goal down to win 2-1. 

Expect goals in this game, as both teams fight for their Premier League status. Time is running out for the Saints, which makes this home game increasingly valuable. The odds are high for this prop play, and the price is consistent among our main books. Caesars has that extra bit of juice at +450. 

Premier League best bets made 03/02/2023 at 8 a.m. ET.

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