New Zealand vs. Belgium Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 26)

Kevin De Bruyne and Belgium are set to pick up their first win and advance to the knockout stage.
Belgium's Kevin De Bruyne reacts as we make our best New Zealand vs. Belgium prediction.
Pictured: Belgium's Kevin De Bruyne reacts as we make our best New Zealand vs. Belgium prediction. Photo by REUTERS/Lisi Niesner
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The Belgian offense has struggled at this World Cup, scoring just once in two matches. But Belgium can still win Group G with a victory, and my best New Zealand vs. Belgium prediction highlights why Kevin De Bruyne and his teammates will finally get the better of an inferior opponent.

Below, I make my best World Cup best bets for Friday's 11 p.m. ET match at BC Place in Vancouver. Belgium is a -650 betting favorite. The game airs on FOX and Universo and streams on FOX One.

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⚽ New Zealand vs. Belgium predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets

See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.

💰 Best bets 📊 Best odds ⚖️ Wager (units)
Belgium -1.5 -210 via DraftKings 2u -> 0.95u
Belgium clean sheet -138 via FanDuel 2.5u -> 1.82u
Belgium Under 6.5 corners -110 via DraftKings 3u -> 2.73u

⚽ Who will win New Zealand vs. Belgium?

On paper, Belgium should win this game easily. But on paper, Belgium also should have dominated its first two matches. Instead, the only Belgian goal was scored by an Egyptian defender, as Belgium's attackers have been unsuccessful despite 10 shots on goal in two matches. 

New Zealand is a defensive-minded team, though opponents have scored five goals in two games thus far. This gives me hope for the Belgian offense. But Belgium has struggled so much, I can't fully commit to them even though they could win this game 4-0 or 5-0.

Score prediction: Belgium 2 New Zealand 0

💵 My best bet: Belgium Under 6.5 corners (-110)

For as much as I expect Belgium to dominate possession, corners simply haven't been part of the game plan through two matches. Belgium has just six corners at the World Cup, with four or fewer in both games.

Meanwhile, New Zealand hasn't conceded many corners at this World Cup. Through two matches, opponents have just seven corners, with four or fewer in each contest.


🦶 Who will score in New Zealand vs. Belgium?

Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.

Kevin De Bruyne, M, Belgium (+170)

Romelu Lukaku is the most likely player to score in this match, but with how inconsistent he and the Belgian attack have been, I can't justify backing him to score for -165. Therefore, I'm turning my attention to a much more valuable play.

De Bruyne is the only Belgian player who has consistently attacked the net in the first two matches. He has nine total shots and a shot on goal in each game. What I also love about this matchup for De Bruyne is that New Zealand has allowed two goals to midfielders at this World Cup.

Best New Zealand vs. Belgium goal-scorer pick: Kevin De Bruyne (+170 via DraftKings)


🥅 Will both teams score in New Zealand vs. Belgium?

New Zealand is not going to score in this match. Belgium has allowed just one goal through two matches. Even though New Zealand has 13 shots on goal in two games, I ultimately believe that the Belgians are too strong in possession and too sound defensively for New Zealand to find any sort of offensive advantage.

Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: No (-180 via DraftKings)

💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)

Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.


📊 New Zealand vs. Belgium odds

We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.


📺 How to watch New Zealand vs. Belgium

  • Date: Friday, June 26
  • Kickoff: 11 p.m. ET
  • Location: BC Place (Vancouver)
  • TV: FOX, Universo, FOX One