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Texans vs. Jets NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: December 10, 2023 12:09 PM EST • 3 min 32 sec read.

C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans warms up before the game against the Denver Broncos as we look at our Texans-Jets prop picks.
C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans warms up before the game against the Denver Broncos at NRG Stadium. Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images/AFP.

The woeful New York Jets play host to the Houston Texans, who are clinging to a playoff spot in the AFC. Let's analyze the matchup in our Jets-Texans NFL player props for Week 14 based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.

Both the Houston Texans and New York Jets are intriguing, though that applies to the latter in the same way it does for potato chips with a questionably creative flavor. You wonder why this all happened, but can't help but be a little curious about how the chaos will unfold.

As the Jets head toward disaster, the Houston Texans are flying high despite a minor speed wobble in Week 12. They rebounded with a win over the Denver Broncos in Week 13, their fourth victory in five contests to sit in a wild-card spot. The surefire offensive rookie of the year and MVP candidate C.J. Stroud is still powering Houston's surge.

To accompany all of our NFL predictions for Week 14 and NFL best bets, here are our best Texans vs. Jets NFL player props for Week 14 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Texans vs. Jets NFL player props: Week 14

C.J. Stroud Over 213.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Yes, the Jets still boast a top-tier pass defense, despite the team's constant state of decay elsewhere. New York sits third leaguewide in passing yards given up per game (176.6), which is what's allowed the team to stay even somewhat competitive at times.

But this number still feels like an overreaction, especially given Stroud's consistent effectiveness and care with the ball, which leads to longer drives and more opportunities to accumulate yards. The shining first-year gem has thrown only five interceptions, three of which came during one off day in Week 11 against the Arizona Cardinals.

In his only other appearance against a top-three pass defense, Stroud easily cleared this number while racking up 242 yards against the Baltimore Ravens - who rank second in yards allowed (171.7) - in his first career start.

That was the first of his 10 games with at least 240 yards this season, and he's been averaging 348 yards per outing over the Texans' past five games. The total here is lower to respect the Jets' pass defense, but it's still a number Stroud should sail past. Most projections agree, with Stroud being forecasted for up to 249.9 yards.

Four of our best sportsbooks are sitting on the same total, with bet365 offering the best price. Stay away from FanDuel, and its 223.5 total.

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Garrett Wilson Over 54.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The spread for this game commonly opened at Texans -5.5 among our best sports betting sites. It's since shifted to -3.5 across the board, largely due to the announcement that Zach Wilson will resume starting quarterback duties for the Jets following a disastrous run from Tim Boyle, who was cut earlier this week.

Still, there's the potential for this game to slant toward the Texans, which was reflected even more in the opening line. The resulting negative game script for New York could lead to a whole lot of passing from the Jets, and even Zach Wilson should be able to do enough against a poor Texans pass defense to help Garrett Wilson clear this low receiving yards bar.

The Texans rank 26th against the pass while allowing 245.2 yards per game. Despite the miles-long list of flaws for the quarterback, "Wilson squared" had been an effective combination during Zach's last five games before getting benched. Garrett averaged 74.4 yards per outing throughout that span prior to the Jets pulling the rip cord on their first-round bust. That's impressive considering the crumbling circumstances around him.

That connection, combined with the likely negative game script and a suspect Texans pass defense, surely played a part in Garrett getting a projection of 63.0 yards for Sunday.

Dameon Pierce Over 37.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Jets' defense excels in many areas. Enough that somehow five of the team's losses have come by five points or fewer, despite an utterly inept offense.

That said, stopping the run has increasingly become a sore point. Overall the Jets are allowing 136.1 rushing yards per game - putting them ahead of only the Green Bay Packers, Arizona Cardinals, and Denver Broncos.

The team isn't far removed from allowing Raheem Mostert of the Miami Dolphins to go off for 94 rushing yards and two touchdowns in Week 12, and prior to that the Buffalo Bills' James Cook tallied a respectable 73 yards. Josh Jacobs of the Las Vegas Raiders erupted against New York, too, for 116 yards in Week 10.

There are some mild timeshare concerns with Pierce amid his partnership with Devin Singletary. But that's baked into this line, and the number is still too low to clear while exploiting the Jets' weakness.

Texans-Jets player props made 12/8/23 at 10:20 a.m. ET

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Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.