Ravens vs. Jaguars Picks, Predictions Week 12: Baltimore Battling Injuries While Visiting Jacksonville
The streaking Baltimore Ravens face the sliding Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. Can the Jags pull off the upset? Read on for our top Ravens-Jaguars NFL picks.
The Baltimore Ravens are clearly Super Bowl contenders in the AFC, and they're targeting the No. 1 seed. Meanwhile, the Jacksonville Jaguars have mostly disappointed their backers in 2022. Who will cover with the Jaguars catching four points against the Ravens at home on Sunday?
Here are our Week 12 picks for the Ravens-Jaguars game (odds via Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and PointsBet; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our picks roundup, ATS pick rankings, and odds and lines for Week 12.
Ravens vs. Jaguars Game Info
Date: Sunday, Nov. 27, 1 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Location: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Weather: 72 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 11-mph southwest winds
Ravens vs. Jaguars Odds
Ravens vs. Jaguars Odds Analysis
The Ravens were installed as 3.5-point favorites and the spread has remained there. Roughly 66% of the cash and 75% of the tickets are in support of Baltimore.
The total opened at 46.5 and dropped to 43, likely due to injury speculation to Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson. The total could climb back up once Jackson is announced as the starter.
Check out our top sites for Maryland sports betting.
Ravens vs. Jaguars Picks
Ravens vs. Jaguars ATS Pick
Jaguars +4 (-110) ★★★
The Ravens defeated the Carolina Panthers 13-3 in Week 11, earning an uninspiring victory. Jackson's health is now in doubt, though the signal-caller insists he'll be able to play. The Ravens could also be without left tackle Ronnie Stanley and standout rookie safety Kyle Hamilton. Meanwhile, the Jaguars are healthy and coming off a bye week.
There are two reasons why I like the Jaguars against the spread. Firstly, I only make the Ravens a 3-point favorite over the Jaguars when Jackson and Stanley are healthy. Even though it's only a one-point difference, the significance of three versus four points in a football spread cannot be overstated. Additionally, I prefer the Jaguars because if you take them at +4 now and Jackson is ruled out on Sunday, you'll be in the driver's seat.
There's still a Jaguars +4 available in the market, so don't settle for Jaguars +3.5. Both Caesars and FanDuel are showing the Jaguars as 4-point underdogs, but Caesars is listing the lower juice.
Check out our Super Bowl picks
Ravens vs. Jaguars O/U Pick
Over 43.5 (-105) ★★★★
The Ravens' offense struggled in Week 11 while scoring only 13 points. However, it's important to remember that the Panthers' offense is the reason they aren't a good team, and not necessarily their defense. The Jaguars' defense is statistically worse than the Panthers' unit, ranking 26th in overall defensive DVOA compared to 21st for Carolina. The Ravens and Jaguars will meet in a game featuring two offenses that are both above the league's average.
Additionally, I believe this total is being traded a couple of points lower than it should be due to Jackson's uncertain health. Jackson has been adamant about playing. If he does, this total would trade closer to 47.5.
DraftKings offers the best value for this total due to its low juice on the Over. FanDuel lists the total trading at 43.5, but the Over is juiced to -114 compared to DraftKings, which shows it at -105.
Check out our top trends to know for Week 12.
Ravens vs. Jaguars Prop Pick
Jaguars Over 20.5 team total (+100) ★★★
I expect the Jaguars to cover the 4-point spread and the game total to exceed 43.5. So it's not surprising that I would favor the Over here on the Jaguars team total of 20.5 points. I believe this total should be trading closer to 22.5 rather than 20.5.
PointsBet offers a cool feature that allows you to select the Jaguars' team total while using a sliding toolbar. There's an option on the slider of 18.5 (-140), which is comparable in the market, since BetMGM is offering the same total at -140. I believe the Jaguars' total should be closer to 22.5, so I'm stopping the slider at 20.5 and betting this prop at plus money.
Check out our Over/Under picks for Week 12.
Where to Bet on Ravens-Jaguars Picks
Ravens-Jaguars picks made 11/24/2022 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
