The Rams are 1-1 and have looked impressive on both sides of the ball in 2023. The defense is allowing just 281.0 yards per game thus far, while rookie wide receiver Puka Nacua entered the week with the NFL's most catches and targets.
Meanwhile, both losses for the 0-2 Bengals have come against AFC North opponents, and Joe Burrow’s status for Monday's game is uncertain. Can we trust anyone on the Bengals’ offense?
Here are our best Rams-Bengals SGP predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Rams vs. Bengals parlay for MNF
(Odds via DraftKings)
- Puka Nacua Over 7.5 receptions (+195) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Kyren Williams Over 59.5 rushing yards (-105) ⭐⭐⭐
- Rams +3.5 (-150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +700 via DraftKings
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SGP predictions for Rams vs. Bengals
Puka Nacua Over 7.5 receptions (+195) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Nacua has already stunningly racked up 35 targets over only two games, so it's hard to imagine him not getting at least eight catches on Monday. The rookie has turned that high target volume into 25 catches.
Now the Rams face a defense allowing just 195.5 passing yards per game, but Los Angeles' offense is a pass-first unit. The Rams have registered 320.5 passing yards per game, while only managing 90.5 yards on the ground.
Even if the Rams attempt to run more than usual, it cannot be understated just how ridiculous Nacua's workload is already. All but two games have been played in Week 3, and Nacua is still sitting among the top five in the league in targets.
Don’t get too greedy and take Over 9.5 catches here, but the price being offered at Over 7.5 is a must-add to every parlay.
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Kyren Williams Over 59.5 rushing yards (-105) ⭐⭐⭐
With Cam Akers gone to Minnesota, there's zero doubt the backfield in Los Angeles belongs to Kyren Williams. He's run the ball 29 times for 104 yards through two games, including 14 carries despite the Rams trailing the San Francisco 49ers for the majority of Week 2.
The Bengals have been dreadful against the run in 2023. They’re allowing 192.0 yards per game, and three different runners gained 40 yards against them during Week 2.
The Rams may not run as much if Burrow plays, as this contest could be a high-scoring affair. However, the Bengals’ offense has been bad in 2023, so there's no reason to think the Rams will trail significantly.
Without needing to split carries, Williams shouldn't struggle to hit this number against a weak run defense.
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Rams +3.5 (-150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Editor's note: This spread is moving fast amid the uncertainty tied to the Bengals' quarterback situation. The Rams are now way down to +1.5 at some of our best sportsbooks, though +2 can still be found at DraftKings, Caesars, and bet365.
With so many unknowns surrounding the Bengals’ offense, it’s impossible to pick any player props tied to the team with real confidence. The Rams very well could still win if Burrow plays, but we’re going to take an extra safe approach.
Let’s assume Burrow plays. The Rams should still be able to keep this game within a field goal after looking very impressive through two weeks. They're been especially great defensively while allowing just 281.0 total yards despite playing two of the NFL's best offenses (Seattle Seahawks and 49ers).
There are simply too many variables entering this game. But one thing is certain: There are problems with the Bengals’ offense. We don’t see them covering this spread with or without Burrow, even if the team looks much better than the previous two weeks.
Rams vs. Bengals SGP picks made 09/25/2023 at 9:44 a.m. ET.
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