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NFL Odds & Best Bets Today: Schedule, Picks for Conference Championships

Mike Spector

Last Updated: January 29, 2023 9:07 AM EST • 3 min 31 sec read.

NFL best bets
NFL best bets

The Cincinnati Bengals and San Francisco 49ers are both on the road this weekend, which threatens their double-digit winning streaks. Read on for our NFL best bets for the Conference Championship Games based on the best NFL odds.

The Kansas City Chiefs are the first team since the 2002 Philadelphia Eagles to enter the playoffs as the Super Bowl favorite, win their first playoff game, and not be the favorite entering the Conference Championship. In the NFC, the 49ers are underdogs despite entering with a 12-game winning streak, as Brock Purdy becomes the fifth rookie quarterback to start in a conference championship.

Here are our best NFL bets for the Conference Championships (odds via WynnBet, DraftKings Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our top picks for the AFC and NFC Championships, parlay picks, and player prop picks.

NFL Schedule and Odds for the Conference Championships

(odds via FanDuel)

  • San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)
  • Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5)

NFL Best Bets for the Conference Championships

  • Total: 49ers-Eagles Under 46.5 (-108 via WynnBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Total: Bengals-Chiefs Under 48 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Player Prop: Ja’Marr Chase Over 83.5 receiving yards (-122 via FanDuel) vs. Chiefs ⭐⭐⭐
  • Player Prop: Brock Purdy Under 222.5 passing yards (-120 via DraftKings) vs. Eagles ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Conference Championship NFL Top Picks

Total: 49ers-Eagles Under 46.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

San Francisco and Philadelphia is a meeting of two teams with defenses that rank in the top six in points per game allowed, sacks, and takeaways and are the top two defenses in terms of total yards per game allowed. 

Purdy is 7-0 with a 7:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Since Week 14, he has not turned the ball over when pressured and ranks second in passing touchdowns (four) and fifth in yards per attempt (6.4). However, this Eagles defense needs eight sacks to break the record held by the 1984 Bears for most sacks in a season and should frustrate the young quarterback. In addition, this is a four-star play, as the 49ers defense has allowed 17.9 points per game in the playoffs since 2019, the best in the NFL.

We are headed to WynnBet to make this 49ers vs. Eagles bet since they charge slightly less juice than the standard -110 price.

Total: Bengals-Chiefs Under 48 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Bengals defense has the most takeaways (12) in the playoffs since 2021 and allowed just 18.2 points per game. They have averaged two takeaways per game and allowed an opposing passer rating of 77.4 in that span while intercepting opposing quarterbacks 10 times and allowing just 10 passing touchdowns. 

Last week, Cincinnati held Buffalo to season lows in points (10) and rush yards (63) and its second-worst red zone touchdown percentage (33%). Patrick Mahomes’ high ankle sprain also lowers Kansas City’s offensive ceiling. In addition, we expect the Chiefs defense to rise up against the Bengals’ banged-up offensive line and pressure Joe Burrow more than 21% of the time, which the Bills did with their conservative game plan.

DraftKings and BetMGM are the only sportsbooks offering a line of 48 at standard juice (-110) for our top Bengals-Chiefs pick, while all other competitors are at 47 or 47.5.

Player Prop: Ja’Marr Chase Over 83.5 receiving yards vs. Chiefs (-122) ⭐⭐⭐

Bengals wideout Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 139 receiving yards per game in his career vs. Kansas City, the most against the Chiefs by any player in NFL history. By comparison, Andre Johnson has the second-highest average with 102.8 receiving yards. Chase has at least 80 receiving yards and/or one receiving touchdown in all six career playoff games, and his 513 receiving yards in the playoffs are the second-most of any player in their first two seasons. 

Besides the 417 career receiving yards against Kansas City, Chase has 24 receptions and four touchdowns in three games, making his O/U seem low in comparison. He has hit the Over on his receiving yards prop in nine of his last 14 games, and we like him to do so again this week.

Player Prop: Brock Purdy Under 222.5 passing yards vs. Eagles (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Purdy has started seven games in his young career, but just two have been on the road and came against two teams that combined for one more regular season win than the team he is about to play. A scary proposition for Eagles backers is that Purdy has attempted just four passes in seven games with his team trailing by nine or more points. So how will Purdy respond if San Francisco gets down early on the road? 

Since Week 14 (when Purdy became the starter) and through the wild-card round, the 49ers averaged 34.8 points per game, 9.3 passing yards per attempt, had 14 passing touchdowns, and a 121.4 passer rating. Last week, the 49ers scored 19 points, and Purdy had 7.4 passing yards per attempt, no passing touchdowns, and an 87.4 passer rating. We expect the best defense he has faced all year to limit him even more. 

NFL best bets made 1/27/2022 at 6:23 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.