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NFL Parlay Picks, Predictions for Conference Championships: Will Purdy Throw His 1st Playoff Interception?

Connor Cooper

Last Updated: January 29, 2023 9:24 AM EST • 2 min 35 sec read.

The Eagles' elite secondary will present a very challenging test for Brock Purdy, who has yet to be intercepted in these NFL playoffs. Read on for our championship game parlay picks based on the best NFL odds.

Many consider the San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles, Cincinnati Bengals, and Kansas City Chiefs to be the best four teams in the NFL, so it’s no surprise to see some extremely tight point spreads in this weekend’s conference championship games. In fact, it’s likely that both games will kick off on Sunday with point spreads under a field goal.

Rather than taking your chances betting on games that seem close to a toss-up, you might want to consider parlaying several likely outcomes together for a chance at a plus-money return.

That’s what we’re doing with our best NFL parlay picks for conference championship weekend (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our 49ers vs. Eagles picks, Bengals vs. Chiefs picks, best bets, and player prop picks.

NFL parlay picks for Conference Championships

  • Brock Purdy to throw an interception (-162) vs. Eagles
  • Jerick McKinnon 25+ receiving yards (-154) vs. Bengals
  • Chiefs +7.5 (-390) vs. Bengals

Combined odds: +248

Check out our Super Bowl odds and Super Bowl MVP odds.

NFL parlay predictions

Brock Purdy to throw an interception (-165) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Mr. Irrelevant has yet to throw an interception in these playoffs, but this Eagles defense is the toughest that Purdy will have faced in his NFL career. Philly’s defense not only ranked first overall against the pass this season, it also averaged an interception per game and has a fierce pass rush that can force Purdy to throw the ball quicker than he wants to.

No rookie quarterback has gone an entire postseason with more than 14 pass attempts without throwing at least one pick. At these short odds, I’m willing to bet that Purdy’s bubble bursts this week.

Jerick McKinnon 25+ receiving yards (-154) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

With Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes hobbled by an ankle injury, he won’t be able to buy himself much time maneuvering around the pocket. That should mean K.C. emphasizes the short throwing game even more than usual, which means more work for Jerick McKinnon catching the ball out of the backfield.

The Chiefs should also look to get McKinnon more involved after the December AFC Offensive Player of the Month didn’t get many touches in the divisional round against Jacksonville, going without a passing target for the first time all season. McKinnon had at least 26 receiving yards in four of his previous five games and nine of the previous 12, and that’s all we need by taking the 25-plus on his receiving yards alternate line.

Chiefs +7.5 alternate spread (-390) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

If the Chiefs go down to defeat on Sunday, it won’t be without a fight. Kansas City hasn’t lost by more than a touchdown at home in nearly two full seasons, and the Chiefs have been beaten by more than one score at Arrowhead just twice since 2014 if you throw out a meaningless Week 17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers at the end of the 2021 campaign.

While it’s true that the Bengals are 3-0 against K.C. in the past two years, each of those games were decided by just three points. Now that it’s apparent that Mahomes is healthy enough to play, backing the Chiefs not to lose by more than a TD looks like an extremely safe way to close out our three-leg parlay.

Conference Championships parlay picks made 01/26/2023 at 8:45 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Connor Cooper
Connor Cooper has written about sports in various capacities for more than 20 years, including as a newspaper reporter, sports handicapper, and betting analyst. He originates hockey plays every day throughout the NHL season, regularly bets his own opinions on NFL and college football, and relies on handicappers he trusts to find daily action in basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, and golf. A diehard Maple Leafs and Blue Jays fan growing up in the Toronto area, Connor quickly shed all his allegiances once he realized that making money betting on sports was much more fun than cheering for his favorite team. Connor won’t hesitate to bet on — or against — anybody if that’s where the value lies. In addition to analyzing recent and season-long statistics, Connor always looks to account for the human element when breaking down games, weighing situational and motivational factors into his handicapping process. He's also a big believer in finding creative ways to generate more value, constantly scouring BetMGM, Caesar, FanDuel, and other regulated sportsbooks' derivative markets such as team totals, alternate lines, and player props.