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Lions vs. Packers Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 18: Green Bay Favored in Sunday Night Football Finale

Philip Wood

Last Updated: January 8, 2023 12:52 PM EST • 2 min 36 sec read.

Two of the hottest teams in the NFL, the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions, will compete for the last spot in the NFC playoffs on Sunday Night Football. Read on for our top Lions vs. Packers NFL pick based on the top odds.

Week 18 is simple for the Packers. If they win, they’re in the playoffs. If they lose, they’re out. They’ve won four games in a row, including a 41-17 beat down of the NFC North champion Minnesota Vikings.

For the Lions, they'll know whether they have a chance at the postseason or not right before kickoff. If the Seattle Seahawks win, then the Lions can't make the playoffs. But if the Seahawks lose, then the Lions face the same scenario as the Packers: win and in.

Here is our best Lions vs. Packers NFL Week 18 pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets.

Lions vs. Packers Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 8, 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV: NBC
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
  • Weather: 21 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 12-mph winds

Lions vs. Packers Odds

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Lions vs. Packers Odds Analysis

A total that opened at 47 has ballooned to 49.5 though the game will be played at night at Lambeau Field in frigid temperatures. More than 80% of bettors on Pregame.com have backed the Over. 

The spread opened at -3.5 for the Packers. After the schedule was finalized and the Lions potentially playing for nothing by kickoff, the line moved to Packers -5. The Pack are drawing 79% of the cash and 66% of the tickets.

Lions vs. Packers Pick

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 69.5 receiving yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐

A lot of bettors are taking a wait-and-see approach to this game, which makes sense since the Lions could be eliminated from the playoffs before kickoff. While head coach Dan Campbell and the Lions will still play hard even if they're just spoilers for the Packers, Detroit against the spread is not the best bet.

Instead, Lions wideout Amon-Ra St. Brown going for 70 or more receiving yards is the correct play. When these two teams met in Week 9, Detroit quarterback Jared Goff threw for just 137 yards. Since then, he's gone for over 230 passing yards in eight of his last nine games. St. Brown is his No. 1 consistent target.

St. Brown went for 60 yards or more in eight consecutive matchups, and in six of those contests, he went for 75 or more. He's been targeted at least five times in all but one game this season, and in that contest, he was taken out early because of an injury.

The Packers rank an NFL fourth passing yards allowed per game, and what they did to Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson last week was impressive. But the Lions have more weapons than the Vikes, which will prevent the Pack from focusing all their attention on St. Brown in this one.

Lions vs. Packers Best Odds

DraftKings (-115)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Over 69.5 Over 70.5 Over 69.5 Over 69.5 Over 70.5 
-115-114-115-119-110

DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars all list this line at 69.5, while FanDuel and PointsBet have it at 70.5. This total will likely go up at the three sportsbooks that currently lag behind, especially Caesars, where the price is -119.

DraftKings and BetMGM offer the exact same bet, so it doesn't make much difference which book you choose. If you plan to parlay St. Brown’s yards with something else, then shop between those two books to determine which offers the best odds for your parlay.

Lions vs. Packers pick made 01/07/2023 at 9:58 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.