🏀 Valkyries vs. Lynx Prediction: WNBA Picks for Thursday, June 4
Two of the top teams in the WNBA will face off in the nightcap of Thursday's doubleheader on Amazon Prime. The Minnesota Lynx (7-2) host the Golden State Valkyries (6-3) at 9 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis.
Both teams have emerged as legitimate WNBA championship odds contenders after their strong starts. With Minnesota favored by a full possession at home, my Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction will side with the visitors.
🏀 Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Valkyries +3 (-110 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.91u | Since joining the league last year, the Valkyries are 31-21-2 against the spread. |
| Valkyries ML (+140 via Caesars) | 0.5u → 0.7u | Minnesota's power rating might be a touch inflated due to a soft opening schedule. |
| Gabby Williams Under 3.5 assists (-135 via bet365) | 1u → 0.74u | Gabby Williams has only cleared this line in two of her nine games with the Valkyries. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.35 units
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🏆 Who will win Valkyries vs. Lynx?
I predict the Valkyries will pull off the upset, defeating the Lynx by one point on the road in Thursday's showdown. This could be a real test for the Lynx, who have only played two teams that are currently projected to make the playoffs.
Score prediction: Valkyries 83, Lynx 82
💰 Valkyries vs. Lynx prediction & best bet
Valkyries +3 (-110)
The market continues to rapidly adjust its priors on the Lynx, who were considered a fringe playoff team before the season without their best player. Now they are favored by a full possession against the team with the second-best net rating in the league.
I think we've reached a sell point on the Lynx, who deserve a ton of credit for their fast start. It's also worth noting that five of their seven wins have come against non-playoff teams.
I'll fade what could be an inflated line by taking the points with Golden State.
🔥 Best Valkyries vs. Lynx player prop bet
Gabby Williams Under 3.5 assists (-135)
This might actually be a good matchup for Valkyries forward Gabby Williams. The Lynx rank 12th in defending spot-up shooters, per Props Madness, which is how Williams gets 30% of her production.
But rather than taking the Over on Williams' 14.5 scoring line, I prefer to fade her assist market. It could be a similar angle, as Williams isn't likely to pass when she's knocking down shots.
More importantly, Williams hasn't been much of a facilitator. She's averaging 2.6 assists on 6.2 potential dimes per game, failing to clear this line in seven of her nine outings. With the Under as high as -155 in the market, it's worth grabbing the bargain at bet365.
🚀 Valkyries vs. Lynx same-game parlay
I like the Valkyries' chances to play spoiler tonight, so I've created a +490 parlay that involves their spread and a pair of player props for Williams. In addition to the Under on Williams' assist line, I like her chances of knocking down multiple triples. In a way, the player props are correlated to what I project as a favorable matchup for the Golden State wing.
💵 Valkyries vs. Lynx SGP picks
- Valkyries +3 (-110)
- Gabby Williams Under 3.5 assists (-135)
- Gabby Williams 2-plus 3-pointers (-150)
Best odds: +490 via bet365 (0.1u -> 0.49u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-25 | +6.18 units ✅ | 17.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 9-4 | +4.47 units ✅ | 33.6% ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-12 | -0.92 units ❌ | -70.8% ❌ |
📊 Live Valkyries vs. Lynx odds
📺 How to watch Valkyries vs. Lynx
- Date: Thursday, June 4
- Tipoff: 9 p.m. ET
- Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
- TV: N/A
- Streaming: Amazon Prime
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