🏀 Sun vs. Valkyries Prediction: WNBA Picks for Monday, May 25
The Golden State Valkyries look to get right after Friday's loss to Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever when they host the Connecticut Sun at Chase Center in San Francisco tonight at 10 p.m. ET (WNBA League Pass, Fubo).
With Connecticut having the worst WNBA championship odds in the league, my Sun vs. Valkyries prediction is backing Golden State to cover as a 12.5-point betting favorite.
🏀 Sun vs. Valkyries prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Valkyries -12.5 (-125 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.8u | Connecticut is the worst team in the league and has failed to cover in two of three games as a double-digit underdog |
| Under 160.5 (-113 via BetRivers) | 1u → 0.88u | The Sun have the league's worst offense |
| Veronica Burton Over 21.5 points + assists (-132 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.76u | Burton is playing at an All-Star level and can shine against the lowly Sun |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.44 units
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🏆 Who will win Sun vs. Valkyries?
Connecticut is 1-6, with its one win coming against a Seattle Storm team that was dealing with several injuries. Golden State's ferocious defense should take care of business against a Sun team whose average point differential is -13.
Score prediction: Valkyries 82, Sun 65
💰 Sun vs. Valkyries prediction & best bet
Valkyries -12.5 (-125)
In their second season in the W, the Valkyries look poised to make the playoffs for a second straight season. The trio of Veronica Burton, Kayla Thornton, and Gabby Williams has Golden State No. 2 in the W in net rating (+7.2) behind a defense that's No. 3 in defensive rating (100.8).
Connecticut's offense is going to struggle to touch 70-plus points against Golden State. The Sun are last in the league in offensive rating (94.7), effective field-goal percentage (45%), 3-point rate (27.4%), and free-throw rate (27.4%).
Their defense isn't much better, ranking bottom four in most key categories.
📈 More WNBA action
For more WNBA action, don't miss my Fire vs. Liberty prediction, which includes a player prop for Bridget Carleton.
🔥 Best Sun vs. Valkyries player prop bet
Veronica Burton Over 21.5 points + assists (-132)
Before being selected by the Valkyries in the 2024 WNBA expansion draft, Burton was toiling away on Connecticut's bench. Now, she's the face of Golden State's franchise and looks even better this year after winning WNBA Most Improved Player last year.
The former 7th overall pick is one of four players averaging 15-plus points and six-plus assists thus far, averaging a combined 21.4 per game.
Burton's fourth in the league in assist rate (36.7), and shouldn't have a hard time racking up apples against a Sun defense that allows 90.3 PPG and 20.7 APG.
🚀 Sun vs. Valkyries same-game parlay
Golden State is one of the best teams in the W, thanks to an efficient offense and a top-notch defense. The Sun are the worst team in the league and won't be capable of keeping up with Burton and Co.
💵 Sun vs. Valkyries SGP picks
- Valkyries -13.5 (-104)
- Under 159.5 (-106)
- Veronica Burton Over 21.5 points + assists (-132)
Best odds: +543 via FanDuel (0.2u -> 1.08u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-34 | -0.33 units ❌ | -0.6% ❌ |
| Spread picks | 8-6 | +1.25 units ✅ | 8.9% ✅ |
| Player props | 9-8 | -0.46 units ❌ | -2.7% ❌ |
| Parlays | 3-12 | -0.41 units ❌ | -11.1% ❌ |
📊 Live Sun vs. Valkyries odds
📺 How to watch Sun vs. Valkyries
- Date: Monday, May 25
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Chase Center (San Francisco)
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass, Fubo
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