⚽ USA World Cup 2026 Odds & Predictions: Uphill Battle Facing Hosts
Most of the major European action has wrapped up for the season with just a few key matches remaining, so it's time to shift all of our attention to the FIFA 2026 World Cup. We're digging deep on the chances for success for the USA Men's National Team, checking out the best USA World Cup odds and highlighting some markets to target.
The roster will be officially released on Tuesday at an event in New York City, although some of the info has already leaked. Can the hosts make a run and cash outright tickets at +6000, or should we dig into some other markets to find the best value?
📊 USA World Cup odds 2026
The best World Cup betting sites will offer plenty of markets, but here are some of the best from DraftKings; odds updated May 25 and subject to change:
| Market | USA Odds | Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| To win outright (Champion) | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
| To reach final | +1800 | 5.26% | $180 |
| To reach semi final | +850 | 10.53% | $85 |
| To reach quarter final | +275 | 26.67% | $27.50 |
| To reach last 16 | +125 | 44.44% | $12.50 |
Stage of elimination
In a similar vein you can bet where a team will be eliminated as opposed to how far they'll advance in the tournament.
| Stage of elimination | Odds | Probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 32 | +170 | 37.04% | $17 |
| Last 16 | +220 | 31.25% | $22 |
| Group Stage | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
| Quarter-finals | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
| Semi-finals | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Runner-up | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Outright Winner | +6000 | 1.64% | $600 |
🏆 USA World Cup 2026 predictions and best bets
USA to reach last 16 (+125)
No. 16 USA drew into Group D, which isn't necessarily an easy draw as it is also home to No. 22 Turkey and No. 27 Australia. With that said, it would be shocking if the USA didn't emerge from one of the top two spots.
Finishing D1 or D2 would set up pretty fine-looking matchups in the Round of 32. A first-place finish would result in a matchup with the 3rd place finisher from B/E/F/I/J; a second-place finish would tee up a likely tilt with either Egypt or Iran (assuming Belgium finishes first in Group G).
It's impossible at this point to do a proper breakdown of the roster and how it will match up against particular opponents - there are so many scenarios.
But the new format means you don't necessarily need to be elite to get as deep as the Round of 16. The USA roster will be deep enough to get at least this far. A first-place finish in their Group, which is very likely, would set up an almost certain Round of 16 meeting with Belgium. I'm not interested in pushing my luck beyond that, so my favorite play for the USA, based on the latest World Cup odds, is to reach the last 16.
⚽ USA World Cup 2026 roster
While the roster is not confirmed yet, the belief is that it's mostly been leaked. Mauricio Pochettino's 26-man roster was first reported by The Guardian, and will be officially announced on Tuesday, May 26.
| Player (Position) | Parent club | Number of Caps |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady (Goalkeeper) | Chicago Fire | 0 |
| Matt Freese (Goalkeeper) | New York City | 14 |
| Matt Turner (Goalkeeper) | New England Revolution | 53 |
| Max Arfsten (Defender) | Columbus Crew | 18 |
| Sergiño Dest (Defender) | PSV | 37 |
| Alex Freeman (Defender) | Villarreal | 15 |
| Mark McKenzie (Defender) | Toulouse | 27 |
| Tim Ream (Defender) | Charlotte FC | 80 |
| Chris Richards (Defender) | Crystal Palace | 36 |
| Antonee Robinson (Defender) | Fulham | 52 |
| Miles Robinson (Defender) | FC Cincinnati | 38 |
| Joe Scally (Defender) | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 24 |
| Auston Trusty (Defender) | Celtic | 6 |
| Tyler Adams (Midfielder) | AFC Bournemouth | 52 |
| Sebastian Berhalter (Midfielder) | Vancouver Whitecaps | 11 |
| Weston McKennie (Midfielder) | Juventus | 64 |
| Cristian Roldan (Midfielder) | Seattle Sounders | 45 |
| Brenden Aaronson (Attacking midfielder/winger) | Leeds United | 57 |
| Christian Pulisic (Attacking midfielder/winger) | Milan | 84 |
| Gio Reyna (Attacking midfielder/winger) | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 36 |
| Malik Tillman (Attacking midfielder/winger) | Bayer Leverkusen | 28 |
| Tim Weah (Attacking midfielder/winger) | Marseille | 49 |
| Alejandro Zendejas (Attacking midfielder/winger) | Club América | 13 |
| Folarin Balogun (Striker) | AS Monaco | 25 |
| Ricardo Pepi (Striker) | PSV | 35 |
| Haji Wright (Striker) | Coventry City | 20 |
USA World Cup Group Stage schedule
The USA's three games against Paraguay, Australia, and Turkey are set for the following dates:
- June 12, 2026: vs. Paraguay (SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif.)
- June 19, 2026: vs. Australia (Lumen Field, Seattle)
- June 25, 2026: vs. Turkey (SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Calif.)
❓ FIFA World Cup 2026 FAQ
Who is the favorite to win the World Cup?
Spain is the World Cup odds favorite, with odds of +450 at bet365. Those odds imply an 18.18% win probability.
Who won the last World Cup?
Argentina won the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
Where is the 2026 World Cup?
Canada, Mexico, and the United States, will host the 2026 World Cup, with 16 cities holding matches. The host cities are:
- Toronto (Canada)
- Vancouver (Canada)
- Guadalajara (Mexico)
- Mexico City (Mexico)
- Monterrey (Mexico)
- Atlanta
- Boston
- Dallas
- Houston
- Kansas City
- Los Angeles
- Miami
- New York / New Jersey
- Philadelphia
- Seattle
- San Francisco / Bay Area
When is the 2026 World Cup?
The 2026 World Cup is set to run from June 11, 2026, until the final on July 19, 2026.
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