🏀 Sparks vs. Storm Prediction: Tonight's WNBA Odds & Expert Picks (June 10)
Nneka Ogwumike returns to Seattle tonight, but my Sparks vs. Storm prediction targets a player prop on her teammate instead. I also offer a best bet on the spread for tonightβs nationally televised WNBA Commissioner's Cup matchup.
The Sparks are a 7.5-point betting favorite over the Storm, with tipoff from Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle set for 10 p.m. ET (USA Network).
π Sparks vs. Storm prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| π° Pick | βοΈ Bet size (units) | π§ Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Sparks -7.5 (-108 via FanDuel) | 2.16u β 2u | The Storm have lost 5 of their last 6 games by 10+ points. |
| Over 169.5 (-114 via FanDuel) | 0.57u β 0.5u | The Over is 6-3 in the Sparks' last 9 games. |
| Kelsey Plum Over 5.5 assists (-141 via DraftKings) | 1.14u β 1u | Plum has recorded 6+ assists in 6 straight games. |
Total wagered: 3.87 units | Max profit: 3.5 units
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π Who will win Sparks vs. Storm?
The Sparks beat the Fire by 12 points as a 7.5-point favorite on Sunday, and the Storm and Fire are comparable in talent, which is why they have the same WNBA championship odds.
Meanwhile, if you've been betting the Storm, you've seen how uncompetitive they've been in recent games. They've lost six in a row and have a -7 point differential on the season. They also only have wins over the Mystics and Sun, who are both bottom-six teams in my power rankings.
Score prediction: Sparks 92, Storm 81
π° Sparks vs. Storm prediction & best bet
Sparks -7.5 (-108)
The Storm were once 3-4 on the season, but they have been burning cash ever since. They've lost five of their last six games by 10 or more points and just gave up 101 points to the Aces on Monday.
While, granted, the Aces are a top-two team in the WNBA - and the Sparks are not - Los Angeles' offense is comparable. The Aces average just 1.5 more points per game (90.2 vs. 88.7), and the Sparks actually make more 3-pointers (8.5 vs. 8.1).
📡 SBR Edge: Back Sparks' offense with Plum
The Sparks have scored 92 or more points in five of their last six games when Kelsey Plum plays, and it will be tough for the Storm to keep things close if they hit that mark. Seattle is 0-2 when its opponent scores 92+ points, losing by 10 or more in each outing.
π₯ Best Sparks vs. Storm player prop bet
Kelsey Plum Over 5.5 assists (-141)
Obviously, Plum leads L.A. with 6.4 assists per game, but weβre not too concerned with averages when playing an assists prop. These -141 odds from DraftKings for Plum to record six or more assists carry an implied probability of 58.51%, so thatβs how often we have to cash on this prop to break even.
She has cashed this bet in six of her eight games this season (75%), and her having recorded six or more assists in six straight games only shows that sheβs trending in the right direction. She had seven assists and attempted just 10 shots against Portland on Sunday, so look for her to prioritize getting her teammates involved once again. Plum Over 5.5 assists (-141) is the best line available, but if youβre not comfortable laying -141 on a bet, thereβs also value in playing Over 6.5 (+122) on any of the best sports betting sites.
π Sparks vs. Storm same-game parlay
Parlaying these two bets at FanDuel pays +171; odds subject to change.
💵 Sparks vs. Storm SGP picks
- Sparks -7.5
- Kelsey Plum Over 5.5 assists
Odds: +171 via FanDuel
π΅ My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-18 | -5.86 units β | -19.8% β |
| Spreads | 3-4 | -1.32 units β | -10.3% β |
| Totals | 2-6 | -1.36 units β | -24.1% β |
| Player props | 3-5 | -3.25 units β | -33.2% β |
| Parlays | 1-3 | +0.08 units β | 6% β |
π Live Sparks vs. Storm odds
ποΈ Sparks vs. Storm betting splits
Public wagering percentages via DraftKings (last updated at 6:29 p.m. ET).
| Team / bet type | Current line | Public bet % |
|---|---|---|
| Sparks | ||
| π‘ Moneyline | -305 | 92% |
| π‘ Spread | -7.5 (-108) | 47% |
| π‘ Total | o169.5 (-110) | 41% |
| Storm | ||
| π’ Moneyline | +245 | 8% |
| π’ Spread | +7.5 (-112) | 53% |
| π’ Total | u169.5 (-110) | 59% |
π Sparks vs. Storm injuries
Injury report last updated at 6:29 p.m. ET.
Sparks
- None
Storm
- Ezi Magbegor (foot) - out
- Taina Mair (coach's decision) - out
πΊ How to watch Sparks vs. Storm
- Date: Wednesday, June 10
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle)
- TV: USA Network
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