🏀 Mystics vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, June 14

My Mystics vs. Liberty prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight.
New York Liberty center Jonquel Jones (35), seen here reacting to a call during a game, is featured in our Mystics vs. Liberty prediction.
Pictured: New York Liberty center Jonquel Jones (35), seen here reacting to a call during a game, is featured in our Mystics vs. Liberty prediction. Photo by John Jones / Imagn Images.
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The New York Liberty are fully healthy for the first time all year and have won six straight games entering their home meeting with the Washington Mystics today. Tipoff from Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y., is set for 3 p.m. ET (NBA TV).

With the Liberty looking like WNBA championship odds favorites again, the market has steamed today's spread to -13.5. As a result, I prefer to fade New York in my Mystics vs. Liberty prediction.


🏀 Mystics vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Bet size (units) 🧠 Why I bet this
Mystics +13.5 (-115 via bet365) 1u → 0.87u New York is 1-3 as a double-digit favorite this season.
Liberty Under 90.5 points (-122 via BetRivers) 1u → 0.82u The Liberty have only scored more than 90 points in regulation in five of their 13 contests.
Jonquel Jones Under 25.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 via theScore Bet) 1u → 0.87u Since 2024, Jonquel Jones has only cleared this combo line 10 times in 21 games with Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu.

Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.56 units

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🏆 Who will win Mystics vs. Liberty?

With a clean injury report for the first time all year, the Liberty should take care of business in a 10-point win over the Mystics. New York has won six in a row entering today, but only two of those victories were by more than 10 points.

Score prediction: Liberty 87, Mystics 77


💰 Mystics vs. Liberty prediction & best bet

Mystics +13.5 (-115)

The spread for this game has climbed from 9.5 to as high as 13.5 in the market. As such, there is now value in taking the points on what could be an inflated line.

The Liberty haven't fared well as a big favorite this year, going 1-3 against the spread when laying double digits. They've actually lost outright twice as a double-digit favorite. Plus, this is their highest spread all year.

With Sabrina Ionescu getting added to the lineup today, I project some growing pains. I'll fade the Liberty covering a huge number.


🔥 Best Mystics vs. Liberty player prop bet

Jonquel Jones Under 25.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115)

It's inevitable that someone will see a dip in production on a team with as much star power as the Liberty.

Jonquel Jones is more of the third star behind Breanna Stewart and Ionescu. Since 2024, Jones has played 21 games with both New York players and has cleared this PRA line just 10 times. She averages 12.7 points and 26.9 minutes per contest over that span.

Jones has only played one game with both Stewart and Ionescu in 2026, but finished below this line in that matchup. Her PRA prop closed at 24.5 in that game, which is where most of the market is trading this total. I'll take the discounted Under, but I'd be comfortable playing it down to 24.5 as well.


🚀 Mystics vs. Liberty same-game parlay

My stance for today's game is that the Liberty are slightly overvalued, especially given that it's Ionescu's second game of the year. I need to see more of this fully healthy team before I trust them to lay such a big number. I expect some growing pains for New York's offense, which should keep Washington in it enough to come through for this parlay featuring three correlated wagers.

💵 Mystics vs. Liberty SGP picks

  • Mystics +13.5 (-115)
  • Liberty Under 89.5 (-105)
  • Jonquel Jones Under 24.5 PRA (-104)

Best odds: +360 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 0.36u)


💵 My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 40-44 +9.32 units ✅ 14.9% ✅
Player props 16-8 +6.79 units ✅ 28.3% ✅
Parlays 2-19 -1.39 units ❌ -66% ❌

📊 Live Mystics vs. Liberty odds


📺 How to watch Mystics vs. Liberty

  • Date: Sunday, June 14
  • Tipoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, N.Y.)
  • TV: NBA TV