Lynx vs. Sun Prediction: WNBA Picks for Wednesday, July 8
📡 SBR Edge: Lynx Struggle Again Without Miles
My Lynx vs. Sun prediction includes Sun +7.5 (-112) and Courtney Williams Over 18.5 points (-122). The Lynx struggled without Olivia Miles in the first game of this two-game set, and I don't expect that to change today. Meanwhile, Williams should continue to see more touches with Miles out again today.
🏀 Lynx vs. Sun prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Units | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Sun +7.5 (-112 via DraftKings) | 2.24u → 2 | The Lynx should struggle to score without Miles' dribble penetration. |
| Under 167 (-105 via Caesars) | 0.53u → 0.5u | The Sun have allowed 86 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games. |
| Courtney Williams Over 18.5 points (-122 via Caesars) | 1.83u → 1.5u | Williams attempted 21 shots without Miles on Monday. |
Total wagered: 4.6 units | Max profit: 4 units
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🏆 Who will win Lynx vs. Sun?
I like the Lynx to beat the Sun by five points today in a low-scoring game. While Miles is out for Minnesota, the Lynx are the favorite in the WNBA championship odds, so they should still be favored over the Sun, who have the longest odds to win outright. While Minnesota will likely win straight up, the spread is too high, which is why I'm taking the points with my best bet.
Score prediction: Lynx 85, Sun 80
💰 Lynx vs. Sun prediction & best bet
Sun +7.5 (-112)
Connecticut won straight up in the opener of this two-game home-and-home series. While it needed some luck to pull off the upset, it was clear Minnesota wasn't as dangerous without Miles.
Her dribble penetration not only leads to more points in the paint, but it also creates open looks for 3-point shooters. Minnesota was outscored 42-30 in the paint and shot just 33% from deep, and I expect that to continue without Miles.
Sun +7.5 (-112) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting sites. I would make this line Sun +5.5 (-105) at fair odds.
🔥 Best Lynx vs. Sun player prop bet
Courtney Williams Over 18.5 points (-122)
While it's unlikely the Lynx will be able to replace Miles' production, her absence does mean that secondary scorers like Natasha Howard (17.2 PPG), Williams (16.2 PPG), and Kayla McBride (15.4 PPG) will get more opportunities. Williams scored 23 points on a team-high 21 shot attempts on Monday, and I expect her to lead the team in field goal attempts once again today, setting us up to cash her Over.
Williams Over 19.5 points (+110) is actually the best line available among the top sports betting apps, as buying from 19.5 to 18.5 isn't worth 32 cents. However, I'll use Over 18.5 (-122) at Caesars for my personal tracking since it's a widely available line, and it would be misleading to recommend a bet that most readers can't get down on.
🚀 Lynx vs. Sun same-game parlay
Parlaying these three bets at FanDuel pays +586.
💵 Lynx vs. Sun SGP picks
- Sun +7.5
- Under 167.5
- Courtney Williams Over 18.5 points
Odds: +586 via FanDuel
📊 Live Lynx vs. Sun odds
🚑 Lynx vs. Sun injuries
Injury report last updated at 2:09 p.m. ET.
Lynx
- Emma Cechova (knee) - out
- Napheesa Collier (ankle) - out
- Olivia Miles (calf) - doubtful
Sun
- Aneesah Morrow (personal) - out
📺 How to watch Lynx vs. Sun
- Date: Wednesday, July 8
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Mohegan Sun Arena (Uncasville, Conn.)
- TV: USA Network
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