Lynx vs. Aces Prediction: WNBA Picks for Saturday, Aug. 15
My Lynx vs. Aces prediction breaks down tonight's matchup between the two betting favorites in the WNBA championship odds.
My WNBA picks back Minnesota as the better team, especially since Napheesa Collier has returned to action. Tipoff from Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas is set for 8 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+).
🏀 Lynx vs. Aces prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Lynx ML (-120 via FanDuel) | 1.2u → 1u | The Lynx have been the class of the league this season, posting a net rating of +10.6. |
| Over 182.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 0.5u → 0.44u | The Over has hit in both head-to-head meetings this year. |
| A'ja Wilson Under 29.5 points + assists (-120 via bet365) | 1u → 0.83u | A'ja Wilson has only cleared this combo line once in her past seven head-to-head matchups with Minnesota. |
Total wagered: 2.7 units | Max profit: 2.27 units
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🏆 Who will win Lynx vs. Aces?
I project the Lynx to win by three points against the Aces on Saturday. Minnesota has dominated this head-to-head matchup in recent seasons, winning seven of the past nine meetings with Las Vegas since the 2024 season. A regular-season showdown means much more to the Lynx, who are in peak form right now.
Score prediction: Lynx 94, Aces 91
💰 Lynx vs. Aces prediction & best bet
Lynx ML (-120)
FanDuel offers a favorable -120 moneyline price to back the Lynx on the road. The same ticket costs as much as -135 in the market. At -125 or better, I prefer taking Minnesota's moneyline instead of laying the points.
The Lynx simply win regular-season games, especially since their best player returned from injury. Since Collier's season debut on July 22, the Lynx are 7-1 with a +12.1 net rating. That stretch includes a 98-87 win over Las Vegas.
Minnesota has only lost two road games all year. I trust the Lynx to take care of business.
🔥 Best Lynx vs. Aces player prop bet
A'ja Wilson Under 29.5 points + assists (-120)
The only argument against A'ja Wilson's MVP case is her performance against Minnesota. It's clear that the Lynx are able to contain her more than most, which matters when they've had Wilson's primary MVP challenger for three straight seasons.
Dating back to 2024, Wilson has failed to clear this points + assists combo line in six of her previous seven matchups against the Lynx. She's averaging 21.9 points and 2.6 assists over that span.
In addition, Jackie Young is on a heater right now for the Aces. She's averaging 25 points and 6.8 assists over the last 10 contests.
Between Young's form and Wilson's struggles against Minnesota, I see multiple paths to this Under.
🚀 Lynx vs. Aces same-game parlay
Because bet365 offers the best price on Wilson's combo line, I've created my Lynx vs. Aces parlay at that shop. This SGP has favorable +525 value because it's not really correlated: the Over on the total and the Under on Wilson's prop contradict each other. I trust my projections, though, so I'm willing to sprinkle a bit on this parlay.
💵 Lynx vs. Aces SGP picks
- Lynx ML (-135)
- A'ja Wilson Under 29.5 points + assists (-120)
- Over 182.5 (-115)
Best odds: +525 via bet365 (0.1u -> 0.52u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 102-111 | +17.67 units ✅ | 12% ✅ |
| Player props | 35-22 | +10.21 units ✅ | 18.4% ✅ |
| Parlays | 8-43 | -1.49 units ❌ | -29.3% ❌ |
📊 Live Lynx vs. Aces odds
📺 How to watch Lynx vs. Aces
- Date: Saturday, Aug. 15
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Michelob Ultra Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: CBS
- Streaming: Paramount+
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