🏀 Fire vs. Sparks Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, June 7
The Portland Fire (6-6) and Los Angeles Sparks (4-6) are set to battle at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles on NBA TV.
Los Angeles is a 7.5-point favorite, but my Fire vs. Sparks prediction has no faith in the home team's ability to cover that number. I like the idea of taking the points with the Fire and backing their best player in this matchup between WNBA championship odds long shots.
🏀 Fire vs. Sparks prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Fire +7.5 (-105 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.95u | Los Angeles is 0-3 ATS as a betting favorite, including two outright losses. |
| Over 176.5 (-108 via DraftKings) | 0.5u → 0.46u | There have been at least 179 total points scored in all four of the Sparks' wins, averaging 188.5 total points. |
| Bridget Carleton Over 13.5 points (-118 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.85u | The top pick in the expansion draft is averaging 15.3 points per game against teams in the bottom five in defensive rating. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.26 units
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🏆 Who will win Fire vs. Sparks?
I predict the Sparks to win by five points in a high-scoring affair against the Fire on Sunday. Los Angeles typically wins track meets, as its four victories this season have averaged 188.5 points.
Score prediction: Sparks 92, Fire 87
💰 Fire vs. Sparks prediction & best bet
Fire +7.5 (-105)
I don't trust the Sparks as a big favorite. They've only been favored three times all year, including as large as a 7.5-point favorite in both meetings with the Toronto Tempo.
Not only are the Sparks 0-3 against the spread as a favorite, but they've suffered two outright losses when laying points. A lot of that comes down to a volatile style of play, with the team ranking last in defensive rating and sixth in offensive rating.
I'd back the underdog at +6.5 or better.
🔥 Best Fire vs. Sparks player prop bet
Bridget Carleton Over 13.5 points (-118)
Fire forward Bridget Carleton, who was the No. 1 pick in this year's expansion draft, has proven she can be a top offensive option. Carleton is averaging 13.9 points per contest over 11 games, up from 6.5 points with the Minnesota Lynx in 2025.
This will be Carleton's most favorable matchup of the season. She's averaging 15.3 points against teams that rank in the bottom five in defensive rating, clearing this line in two of those three contests. Los Angeles ranks 13th in defending spot-up shooters, per Props Madness, which is how Carleton earns 25% of her scoring production.
With this line being as high as 14.5 in the market, FanDuel is offering a favorable price to back Portland's top option.
🚀 Fire vs. Sparks same-game parlay
The game script for Sunday is clear. I expect the Fire to push the Sparks in what should be a high-scoring affair. Carleton will need to play a key part in her team's chances of staying within striking distance on the road. Despite how correlated this parlay is tonight, Caesars offers +400 odds for this ticket. Yes please.
💵 Fire vs. Sparks SGP picks
- Fire +7.5 (-105)
- Over 176.5 (-110)
- Bridget Carleton Over 13.5 points (-130
Best odds: +400 via Caesars (0.1u -> 0.4u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-31 | +11.22 units ✅ | 23.6% ✅ |
| Player props | 12-5 | +6.13 units ✅ | 35% ✅ |
| Parlays | 2-15 | -0.99 units ❌ | -58% ❌ |
📊 Live Fire vs. Sparks odds
📺 How to watch Fire vs. Sparks
- Date: Sunday, June 7
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles)
- TV: NBA TV
- Streaming: N/A
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