🏀 Fever vs. Liberty Prediction: Tonight's Best WNBA Picks (Saturday, June 6)

My Fever vs. Liberty prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing in the WNBA tonight.
Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22), seen here looking on during a game, is featured in our Fever vs. Liberty prediction.
Pictured: Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22), seen here looking on during a game, is featured in our Fever vs. Liberty prediction. Photo by Trevor Ruszkowski / Imagn Images.
Enjoying SBR content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

My Fever vs. Liberty prediction backs the home team tonight in New York, which is also the favorite in our WNBA championship odds.

The Liberty are a 3.5-point betting favorite as they look to extend their winning streak to four games for the first time this season. Tipoff from Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y., is set for 8 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+).


πŸ€ Fever vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

πŸ’° Pick βš–οΈ Units 🧠 Why I bet this
Liberty -3.5 (-105 via BetMGM) 2.1u β†’ 2u Liberty have gone 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games after losing 3 straight from May 21-25
Over 174.5 (-110 via BetMGM) 0.55u β†’ 0.5u Fever have allowed 90+ points in 2 of their last 3 games, and both were against worse offenses
Caitlin Clark Over 19.5 points (-104 via DraftKings) 1.56u β†’ 1.5u Clark has scored 20 or more points in 3 of her 5 games against higher-ranked defenses

Total wagered: 4.21 units | Max profit: 4 units

📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)


πŸ† Who will win Fever vs. Liberty?

The Liberty have shorter championship odds, are at home, and have won three straight games.

Yes, Sabrina Ionescu (back) won’t play tonight, but she hasn’t contributed during New York’s current win streak anyway. Jonquel Jones has been dominant on the boards, averaging 12.7 rebounds over the last three games, while the Liberty have been scoring by committee, with Jones (16 PPG), Marine Johannes (14 PPG), and Breanna Stewart (13 PPG) all contributing.

The Fever, meanwhile, have dropped two of their last three games, including a 100–84 loss as an 11.5-point favorite against the Fire on May 25.

Score prediction: Liberty 93, Fever 86


πŸ’° Fever vs. Liberty prediction & best bet

Liberty -3.5 (-105)

The Liberty’s three-game losing skid from May 21–25 has really reignited this team, as they have gone on to cover three in a row. They have covered by an average margin of 4.5 points per game, and they were favored by at least 4.5 points in each outing.

The Fever have been up and down this season - they lost two of their first three games, as well as two of their last three - and they have been worse on the road, going just 1–2 straight up and 1-1-1 against the spread.

💵 SBR Edge: Line-shopping to increase EV

The best line in the market is Liberty -3.5 (-105) at BetMGM, but if you don’t have an MGM account, there is still value on Liberty -3.5 (-112) at DraftKings.


πŸ”₯ Best Fever vs. Liberty player prop bet

Caitlin Clark Over 19.5 points (-104)

We’ve seen high-volume guards get lower points totals when facing the Liberty - Marina Mabrey was lined at 18.5 instead of 19.5 when she faced New York on Wednesday.

Yes, the Liberty are an above-average defense - they allow the sixth-fewest PPG at 83.1 - but Clark has been in tougher situations and has outperformed this projection. She has scored 20 or more points in three of her five games against better-ranked defenses than the Liberty (i.e., teams that allow fewer than 83.1 PPG).

The best line available on the top sports betting sites is Clark Over 19.5 points (+104), but I'm going to use Over 19.5 (-104) at DraftKings for my personal tracking. More readers have access to a DK account, and it would be misleading to track a bet at a sportsbook that most people don't even have in their state.


πŸš€ Fever vs. Liberty same-game parlay

Parlaying these bets pays +291 on FanDuel.

💵 Fever vs. Liberty SGP picks

  • Liberty -3.5
  • Caitlin Clark Over 19.5 points

Best odds: +291 via FanDuel


πŸ’΅ My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks have been tracked since May 8.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 8-10 +2.38 units βœ… 13.8% βœ…
Spreads 2-2 +0.98 units βœ… 15.1% βœ…
Totals 2-3 +0.3 units βœ… 7.5% βœ…
Player props 3-2 +1.02 units βœ… 18.5% βœ…
Parlays 1-3 +0.08 units βœ… 6% βœ…

πŸ“Š Live Fever vs. Liberty odds


πŸ“ˆ Fever vs. Liberty betting trends

  • The Fever are 1-1-1 ATS in their last 3 games.
  • The Fever are 1-1-1 ATS in road games.
  • The Over is 3-1 in the Fever's last 4 games.
  • The Liberty are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games.
  • The Liberty are 4-3 ATS in home games.
  • The Under is 5-1 in the Liberty's last 6 games.
  • The Liberty are 2-0 ATS in the last 2 head-to-head meetings.
  • The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 head-to-head meetings.

πŸš‘ Fever vs. Liberty injuries

Injury report last updated at 5:18 p.m. ET.

Fever

  • Caitlin Clark (back) - probable

Liberty

  • Sabrina Ionescu (back) - out

πŸ“Ί How to watch Fever vs. Liberty

  • Date: Saturday, June 6
  • Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, N.Y.)
  • TV: CBS
  • Streaming: Paramount+