⚾ Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions (June 18)
🤑 Best NRFI Bets Today for Thursday (June 18)
We wanted to right the ship yesterday, and we did just that, sweeping the board while having ourselves a huge bounce-back night. On Thursday, we’re targeting strong pitching matchups between the Orioles vs. Mariners and Cardinals vs. Royals. The formula continues to work for us this season, so let's continue to grow that wallet with our best NRFI bets today.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: June 18
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Orioles vs. Mariners NRFI (-135) | 2u → 1.48u | Mariners own .154 xBA vs. Baz |
| Cardinals vs. Royals NRFI (-120) | 1u -> .83u | Cardinals own .190 xBA vs. Cameron |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.31 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today (Thursday)
Orioles vs. Mariners NRFI (-135) - 4:10 p.m. ET
- Shane Baz (4.08 ERA) vs. Bryan Woo (4.28 ERA)
- NRFI records: Orioles (42-33) vs. Mariners (34-41)
Honey, wake up, it's Woo day - and we're going to take advantage. If you've been following, you know I hardly miss a Woo start, even if he's struggling a tad this year. He's striking this Orioles team out at a 26% rate across 60 plate appearances, which should be enough to kick-start our way to six simple outs. The Mariners ace is also featured in my best strikeout props today.
On the other side, we'll rock with Baz, who's limited the Mariners to a .231 xwOBA. With Julio Rodriguez and Josh Naylor likely out today, the first inning should be a breeze.
💣️ More MLB player props for Thursday
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's best home run predictions if you're looking to cash in on this fine Thursday.
Cardinals vs. Royals NRFI (-120) - 7:40 p.m. ET
- Matthew Liberatore (4.71 ERA) vs. Noah Cameron (4.11 ERA)
- NRFI records: Cardinals (39-33) vs. Royals (39-36)
Can we sweep the board one more time? If we do, it'll be because of Cameron, who's absolutely owned these Cardinals over the course of his career. St. Louis owns just a .190 xBA and .237 xwOBA across 43 plate appearances against the lefty, setting us up for success in Kansas City tonight. Liberatore will be getting the job done for us - he's limited Bobby Witt Jr. to a 1-for-7 mark, with the Royals owning just a .257 xBA overall. Let's fire this up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 42-38 | +1.13 units |
| NRFI picks | 40-36 | +0.75 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (June 18)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Placing a high-variance bet like a No Run First Inning (NRFI) requires a deep dive into the data every single day. You need to look at how the pitcher matches up with the lineup - specifically the top three hitters - while tracking strikeout rates, expected batting averages, and team NRFI trends. Run through this checklist before every wager, and scale your unit sizing accordingly.
❓ NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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