Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Wednesday, Aug. 12
📡 SBR Edge: Keep Fading Castillo
My best NRFI bets today feature Reds vs. White Sox YRFI (-120) and Royals vs. Dodgers NRFI (+124). White Sox starter Luis Castillo has allowed a first-inning run in two of his last three starts, while L.A. hasn't scored one in five straight games.
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: Aug. 12
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Reds vs. White Sox YRFI (-120 via BetMGM) | 2.4u β 2u | Castillo has allowed a first-inning run in 2 of his last 3 starts. |
| Royals vs. Dodgers NRFI (+124 via FanDuel) | 1.21u β 1.5u | The Dodgers haven't scored a first-inning run in 5 straight games. |
Total wagered: 3.61 units | Max profit: 3.5 units
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π° Best NRFI bet today
Reds vs. White Sox YRFI (7:40 p.m. ET)
- Rhett Lowder (5.26 ERA) vs. Luis Castillo (5.30 ERA)
- NRFI records: Reds (58-60) vs. White Sox (53-65)
This is a great line at BetMGM, as FanDuel, one of the best books for pricing props, has it at -139.
Reds starter Rhett Lowder has allowed at least two earned runs in four straight starts, including eight on July 18. Meanwhile, Castillo has allowed a first-inning run in two of his last three starts and at least three earned runs in four straight. His recent struggles are hard to ignore, and the YRFI has hit in back-to-back White Sox games.
Reds vs. White Sox YRFI (-120) at BetMGM is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
📡 SBR Edge: De La Cruz Back for More
The last time Castillo faced the Reds (July 21), he allowed a leadoff home run to Elly De La Cruz, who is +340 at BetMGM to homer again today. For more home run analysis, see our best home run predictions from MLB expert Sean Tomlinson.
π₯ More NRFI picks today
Royals vs. Dodgers NRFI (10:10 p.m. ET)
- Daniel Lynch IV (2.45 ERA) vs. Eric Lauer (4.89 ERA)
- NRFI records: Royals (60-61) vs. Dodgers (60-60)
Everyone loves the YRFI on Royals vs. Dodgers, but the Yes price on this line has gone too far.
I don't trust this Dodgers offense enough early in games to lay -160 on the YRFI. Los Angeles has not scored a first-inning run in any of its last five games, and Royals starter Daniel Lynch IV didn't allow a run in the first inning during his only start of the season, last time out against the Cubs.
Dodgers starter Eric Lauer's 4.89 ERA is a concern, but he faces a Royals lineup that leaves the ninth-most RISP in MLB. Royals vs. Dodgers NRFI (+124) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
⚾️ More MLB props today
Our Mike Spector features two player props on Zack Wheeler and Brandon Marsh in his Phillies vs. Cardinals prediction.
π Best NRFI parlay today
Parlaying these two bets at BetMGM pays +280.
💵 Best NRFI parlay today
- Reds vs. White Sox YRFI
- Royals vs. Dodgers NRFI
Best odds: +280 via BetMGM
π΅ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 25.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-35-4 | -4.02 units β | -9.4% β |
| Player props | 7-26-3 | -2.36 units β | -9.8% |
| Game props | 3-3 | -1.48 units β | -12.4% β |
| Moneylines | 1-1-1 | +0.11 units β | 1.7% β |
| Parlays | 0-5 | -0.3 units β | -100% β |
β NRFI betting FAQ
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of a NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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